Thinking about the Future: Trends and scenarios in Latin America1: Reprinted from Development 47 no 4: 15-25

Thinking about the Future: Trends and scenarios in Latin America1 Reprinted from Development 47 no 4: 15-25

Francisco Sagasti traces the origins of future-oriented exercises, focusing on the emergence of scenario-building techniques. He suggests that as a result of conceptual and methodological advances, and of a multiplicity of experiences covering many years of experience, there is now a rich set of pro...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Development (Society for International Development) Vol. 50; no. S1; p. 120
Main Author: Sagasti, Francisco
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Houndmills Palgrave Macmillan 01-07-2007
Subjects:
Cooperation
Economic growth
Forecasting techniques
Futures
International organizations
Inventory control
Long term planning
Methods
Philosophers
Production planning
Strategic planning
Trends
Online Access:Get full text
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Summary:Francisco Sagasti traces the origins of future-oriented exercises, focusing on the emergence of scenario-building techniques. He suggests that as a result of conceptual and methodological advances, and of a multiplicity of experiences covering many years of experience, there is now a rich set of procedures to anticipate the future. He argues that in Latin America these advances have improved significantly anticipatory decision making that are the essence of planning processes. The challenge is now to more closely relate future-oriented exercises to the messiness and immediacy of political events and decision-making. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
ISSN:1011-6370
1461-7072
DOI:10.1057/palgrave.development.1100091