Desalinhamento cambial, volatilidade cambiale crescimento econômico: uma análise para aeconomia brasileira (1995-2011)/Exchange rate misalignment, exchange rate volatility and economic growth: an analysis for the Brazilian economy

The goal of this work is to investigate the relevance of exchange rate misalignment and volatility for the Brazilian growth rate for the period of 1995 to 2011. The evidence suggest: i) the exchange rate misalignment is relevant to explain economic growth for the Brazilian economy and exchange rate...

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Published in:Revista de economia política Vol. 36; no. 4; p. 704
Main Authors: Flávio Vilela Vieira, Aderbal Oliveira Damasceno
Format: Journal Article
Language:Portuguese
Published: Sao Paulo Centro de Economia Politica 01-10-2016
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Summary:The goal of this work is to investigate the relevance of exchange rate misalignment and volatility for the Brazilian growth rate for the period of 1995 to 2011. The evidence suggest: i) the exchange rate misalignment is relevant to explain economic growth for the Brazilian economy and exchange rate under depreciation (over appreciation) foster (mitigates) economic growth; ii) exchange rate volatility is relevant to explain economic growth for the Brazilian economy and higher (lower) exchange rate volatility mitigates (foster) economic growth; iii) changes in the investment rate and the growth rate of exports have positive estimated coefficients for the growth model. As a recommendation policy, the suggestion is to keep the real exchange rate at a competitive level with low volatility.
ISSN:0101-3157