Differential plasticity of size and mass to environmental change in a hibernating mammal
Morphological changes following changes in species' distribution and phenology have been suggested to be the third universal response to global environmental change. Although structural size and body mass result from different genetic, physiological, and ecological mechanisms, they are used int...
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Published in: | Global change biology Vol. 22; no. 10; pp. 3286 - 3303 |
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Main Authors: | , , , |
Format: | Journal Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
England
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
01-10-2016
Wiley |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | Get full text |
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Summary: | Morphological changes following changes in species' distribution and phenology have been suggested to be the third universal response to global environmental change. Although structural size and body mass result from different genetic, physiological, and ecological mechanisms, they are used interchangeably in studies evaluating population responses to environmental change. Using a 22‐year (1991–2013) dataset including 1768 individuals, we investigated the coupled dynamics of size and mass in a hibernating mammal, the Alpine marmot (Marmota marmota), in response to local environmental conditions. We (i) quantified temporal trends in both traits, (ii) determined the environmental drivers of trait dynamics, and (iii) identified the life‐history processes underlying the observed changes. Both phenotypic traits were followed through life: we focused on the initial trait value (juvenile size and mass) and later‐life development (annual change in size [Δsize] and mass [Δmass]). First, we demonstrated contrasting dynamics between size and mass over the study period. Juvenile size and subsequent Δsize showed significant declines, whereas juvenile mass and subsequent Δmass remained constant. As a consequence of smaller size associated with a similar mass, individuals were in better condition in recent years. Second, size and mass showed different sensitivities to environmental variables. Both traits benefited from early access to resources in spring, whereas Δmass, particularly in early life, also responded to summer and winter conditions. Third, the interannual variation in both traits was caused by changes in early life development. Our study supports the importance of considering the differences between size and mass responses to the environment when evaluating the mechanisms underlying population dynamics. The current practice of focusing on only one trait in population modeling can lead to misleading conclusions when evaluating species' resilience to contemporary climate change. |
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Bibliography: | istex:414014168A2D622976F8DD0052E73D8DA4D386DB ArticleID:GCB13286 Intra-European Marie Curie Postdoctoral Fellowship - No. 330282 ERC - No. 337785 ark:/67375/WNG-QP89XVGK-0 Appendix S1. Intra-annual variation in size and mass. Fig. S1. Timeline of size and mass estimates shown on the life cycle of alpine marmots. Fig S2. Age-specific viability selection contributions to changes in the mean value of size. Table S1. Age-specific linear mixed models describing interannual variations and long-term temporal trends. Table S2. Age-specific linear mixed models describing the effect of environmental variables. Table S3. Correlation matrix among environmental variables. Table S4. Variance inflation-factors among environmental variables. Table S5. Model selection of the full set of models for all alternatives concerning environmental variables. Table S6. Age-specific linear mixed models testing for long-term linear temporal trend. Table S7. Age-specific linear mixed models testing for environmental effects. AXA research fund Centre for Advanced Study in Oslo Forschungskredit of the University of Zurich - No. 14097 Agence Nationale de la Recherche - No. ANR-13-JSV7-0005 ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 23 |
ISSN: | 1354-1013 1365-2486 |
DOI: | 10.1111/gcb.13286 |