Nonlinear interest rate effects of global oil price changes: the comparison of net oil-consuming and net oil-producing countries

In this article, we test nonlinear causality between global oil price (OP) changes and short-term real interest rate (IR) in large net oil-consuming and net oil-producing countries. Applying nonlinear nonparametric Hiemstra-Jones model and nonlinear parametric Mackey-Glass model, we find no evidence...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Applied economics letters Vol. 22; no. 9; pp. 693 - 699
Main Authors: Sotoudeh, M. Ali, Worthington, Andrew C.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: London Routledge 13-06-2015
Taylor & Francis LLC
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Summary:In this article, we test nonlinear causality between global oil price (OP) changes and short-term real interest rate (IR) in large net oil-consuming and net oil-producing countries. Applying nonlinear nonparametric Hiemstra-Jones model and nonlinear parametric Mackey-Glass model, we find no evidence to suggest that potential direct effects of global OP changes on short-term IR are nonlinear in net oil-consuming countries. In contrast, we find such effects to be nonlinear and asymmetric in net oil-producing countries.
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ISSN:1350-4851
1466-4291
DOI:10.1080/13504851.2014.969821