A simple model for COVID-19

A simple model for COVID-19

An SL1L2I1I2A1A2R epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, with foc...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Infectious disease modelling Vol. 5; pp. 309 - 315
Main Authors: Arino, Julien, Portet, Stéphanie
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: China Elsevier B.V 01-01-2020
KeAi Publishing
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd
Subjects:
Asymptomatic infections
COVID-19
Erlang distribution
Mathematical model
Special issue on Modelling and Forecasting the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Transmission; Edited by Prof. Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Prof. Gerardo Chowell-Puente, Prof. Ping Yan, Prof. Jianhong Wu
COVID-19
Asymptomatic infections
Mathematical model
Erlang distribution
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:An SL1L2I1I2A1A2R epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, with focus on properties important in the context of current COVID-19 pandemic.
Bibliography:ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
content type line 23
ISSN:2468-0427
2468-2152
2468-0427
DOI:10.1016/j.idm.2020.04.002