Why India needs to extend the nationwide lockdown

• Published in: The American journal of emergency medicine Vol. 38; no. 7; pp. 1528 - 1529
• Main Author: Lamba, Ishan
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States Elsevier Inc 01-07-2020; Elsevier Limited
• Subjects: Bayesian analysis; Betacoronavirus; Communicable Disease Control; Corona; Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology; Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control; Coronavirus Infections - transmission; Coronaviruses; Covid; COVID-19; Disease transmission; Emergency medical care; Global economy; Humans; India - epidemiology; Infections; Lockdown; Mathematical models; Pandemics; Pandemics - prevention & control; Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology; Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control; Pneumonia, Viral - transmission; Population Density; Prediction models; Predictive model; SARS-CoV-2; India; Italy; China; Covid; Lockdown; Corona; Predictive model
• ISSN: 0735-6757; 1532-8171
• DOI: 10.1016/j.ajem.2020.04.026

China and Italy have been some of the worst hit while the first world economic superpowers like United States of America and United Kingdom have had an onerous load on their respective healthcare systems. Emphasizing the importance of social distancing as the only effective tool against COVID for now, they have formulated various predictive models based on Bayesian imputational analysis. Seventeen cases and three fatalities [5] out of the largest slum dwelling in India-Dharavi, with a population density of a staggering 870,000/mile2 (335,907/km2) [6], is a data set that should be a cause for serious concern.