Forecasting coal production until 2100

A model capable of projecting mineral resources production has been developed. The model includes supply and demand interactions, and has been applied to all coal producing countries. A model of worldwide coal production has been developed for three scenarios. The ultimately recoverable resources (U...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:	Fuel (Guildford) Vol. 88; no. 11; pp. 2059 - 2067
Main Authors:	Mohr, S.H., Evans, G.M.
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	English
Published:	Kidlington Elsevier Ltd 01-11-2009 Elsevier
Subjects:	Applied sciences Coal Coal production Coal reserves Economic data Energy Energy economics Exact sciences and technology Fossil fuels and derived products General, economic and professional studies Peak coal Coal reserves Peak coal Coal production Coal industry Lignite Coal 2010 Modeling Forecasting
Online Access:	Get full text
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Summary:	A model capable of projecting mineral resources production has been developed. The model includes supply and demand interactions, and has been applied to all coal producing countries. A model of worldwide coal production has been developed for three scenarios. The ultimately recoverable resources (URR) estimates used in the scenarios ranged from 700 Gt to 1243 Gt. The model indicates that worldwide coal production will peak between 2010 and 2048 on a mass basis and between 2011 and 2047 on an energy basis. The Best Guess scenario, assumed a URR of 1144 Gt and peaks in 2034 on a mass basis, and in 2026 on an energy basis.
Bibliography:	ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 23 ObjectType-Article-2 ObjectType-Feature-1
ISSN:	0016-2361 1873-7153
DOI:	10.1016/j.fuel.2009.01.032