Exploring the application of latent class cluster analysis for investigating pedestrian crash injury severities in Switzerland

• Published in: Accident analysis and prevention Vol. 85; pp. 219 - 228
• Main Authors: Sasidharan, Lekshmi, Wu, Kun-Feng, Menendez, Monica
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: England Elsevier Ltd 01-12-2015
• Subjects: Accidents, Traffic - statistics & numerical data; Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Binary logit; Child; Child, Preschool; Cluster Analysis; Clusters; Crash injuries; Crashes; Female; Heterogeneity; Humans; Infant; Latent class; Male; Mathematical models; Middle Aged; Pedestrian; Pedestrians; Pedestrians - statistics & numerical data; Police; Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; Safety - statistics & numerical data; Severity; Switzerland; Traffic safety; Walking - injuries; Young Adult; Switzerland; Cluster analysis; Latent class; Pedestrian; Severity; Switzerland; Binary logit; Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve
• ISSN: 0001-4575; 1879-2057
• DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2015.09.020

•A latent class cluster analysis (LCA) model was used in the study.•Homogenous latent class clusters for pedestrian crashes were identified.•Crash injury severity models were developed for the identified clusters.•LCA approach enhances the prediction power of the severity model.
One of the major challenges in traffic safety analyses is the heterogeneous nature of safety data, due to the sundry factors involved in it. This heterogeneity often leads to difficulties in interpreting results and conclusions due to unrevealed relationships. Understanding the underlying relationship between injury severities and influential factors is critical for the selection of appropriate safety countermeasures. A method commonly employed to address systematic heterogeneity is to focus on any subgroup of data based on the research purpose. However, this need not ensure homogeneity in the data. In this paper, latent class cluster analysis is applied to identify homogenous subgroups for a specific crash type-pedestrian crashes. The manuscript employs data from police reported pedestrian (2009–2012) crashes in Switzerland. The analyses demonstrate that dividing pedestrian severity data into seven clusters helps in reducing the systematic heterogeneity of the data and to understand the hidden relationships between crash severity levels and socio-demographic, environmental, vehicle, temporal, traffic factors, and main reason for the crash. The pedestrian crash injury severity models were developed for the whole data and individual clusters, and were compared using receiver operating characteristics curve, for which results favored clustering. Overall, the study suggests that latent class clustered regression approach is suitable for reducing heterogeneity and revealing important hidden relationships in traffic safety analyses.