Persistence and volatility spillovers of bitcoin price to gold and silver prices

• Published in: Resources policy Vol. 79; p. 103011
• Main Authors: Yaya, OlaOluwa S., Lukman, Adewale F., Vo, Xuan Vinh
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier Ltd 01-12-2022
• Subjects: Bitcoin; CCC-VARMA-GARCH model; Commodity markets; Portfolio management; Volatility spillovers; Commodity markets; CCC-VARMA-GARCH model; C22; Portfolio management; Bitcoin; Volatility spillovers
• ISSN: 0301-4207; 1873-7641
• DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.103011

The paper investigates persistence, returns and volatility spillovers from the bitcoin market to the gold and silver markets using daily datasets from January 2, 2018 to July 31, 2020 by employing the fractional persistence framework. The results show strong price persistence with bitcoin posing the highest volatility persistence, while silver poses the lowest volatility persistence. The results of multivariate GARCH modelling, using the CCC-VARMA-GARCH model and other lower variants indicate the impossibility of returns spillover between the bitcoin and gold (or silver) market, while there exist bi-directional volatility spillovers. Appropriate portfolio management and hedging strategies render towards the end of the paper require more gold and silver investments in the portfolio of bitcoin to fully have the diversification advantage and reduce risk to the minimum without reducing the expected returns of their portfolio.
•No Bitcoin returns spillover to Gold and Silver.•Volatility spillovers from the Bitcoin market to the Gold and Silver markets are bidirectional.•For investment and diversification advantage, more Gold and Silver should be invested in a portfolio containing Bitcoin.