Recidivism rates of sex offenders managed under the Dangerous Prisoners (Sexual Offenders) Act 2003: an evaluation of actuarial justice

According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered 'dangerous' if there is an 'unacceptable risk' that he will commit 'serious sexual harm'. Current legislation operates within an actuarial justice framework, whereby increa...

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Published in:	Psychiatry, psychology, and law Vol. 28; no. 2; pp. 310 - 323
Main Authors:	Rowlands, M.T., Palk, G., Young, R. McD
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	English
Published:	England Routledge 01-04-2021 Australian Academic Press Group Pty Ltd
Subjects:	actuarial justice Courts Dangerous offenders Dangerous Prisoners (Sexual Offenders) Act 2003 dangerous sex offenders dangerousness DPSOA Efficacy Evaluation Law and legislation Legislation Offending Prisoners Recidivism Sex crimes sex offender legislation Sex offenders sex offending Social aspects Violence against Women AUSTRALIA Queensland recidivism sex offender legislation actuarial justice sex offending dangerousness DPSOA Dangerous Prisoners (Sexual Offenders) Act 2003 dangerous sex offenders
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Abstract	According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered 'dangerous' if there is an 'unacceptable risk' that he will commit 'serious sexual harm'. Current legislation operates within an actuarial justice framework, whereby increasing resources are spent on those considered at greater risk. There is limited research on the efficacy of this approach. The current study examines sexual recidivism rates of a sample of DPSOA offenders. Court files of 104 community-supervised dangerous sex offenders (M age = 50.7 SD = 10.8) were examined to determine date and type of re-offending. Recidivism was operationalised as time until arrest (for a sexual conviction/contravention). The overall level of sexual recidivism was low (7.69%). Kaplan-Meier analyses of survival curves identified no difference in rates between risk categories. While this likely suggests that they are not dangerous or an unacceptable risk, the strict conditions of supervision may be effective in preventing sexual re-offending. Further, limitations in empirically understanding the construct need to be considered.
AbstractList	According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered 'dangerous' if there is an 'unacceptable risk' that he will commit 'serious sexual harm'. Current legislation operates within an actuarial justice framework, whereby increasing resources are spent on those considered at greater risk. There is limited research on the efficacy of this approach. The current study examines sexual recidivism rates of a sample of DPSOA offenders. Court files of 104 community-supervised dangerous sex offenders ('Mage' 1/4 50.7 'SD'1/410.8) were examined to determine date and type of reoffending. Recidivism was operationalised as time until arrest (for a sexual conviction/ contravention). The overall level of sexual recidivism was low (7.69%). Kaplan-Meier analyses of survival curves identified no difference in rates between risk categories. While this likely suggests that they are not dangerous or an unacceptable risk, the strict conditions of supervision may be effective in preventing sexual re-offending. Further, limitations in empirically understanding the construct need to be considered. According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered ‘dangerous’ if there is an ‘unacceptable risk’ that he will commit ‘serious sexual harm’. Current legislation operates within an actuarial justice framework, whereby increasing resources are spent on those considered at greater risk. There is limited research on the efficacy of this approach. The current study examines sexual recidivism rates of a sample of DPSOA offenders. Court files of 104 community-supervised dangerous sex offenders (Mage = 50.7 SD = 10.8) were examined to determine date and type of re-offending. Recidivism was operationalised as time until arrest (for a sexual conviction/contravention). The overall level of sexual recidivism was low (7.69%). Kaplan–Meier analyses of survival curves identified no difference in rates between risk categories. While this likely suggests that they are not dangerous or an unacceptable risk, the strict conditions of supervision may be effective in preventing sexual re-offending. Further, limitations in empirically understanding the construct need to be considered. According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered 'dangerous' if there is an 'unacceptable risk' that he will commit 'serious sexual harm'. Current legislation operates within an actuarial justice framework, whereby increasing resources are spent on those considered at greater risk. There is limited research on the efficacy of this approach. The current study examines sexual recidivism rates of a sample of DPSOA offenders. Court files of 104 community-supervised dangerous sex offenders (M age = 50.7 SD = 10.8) were examined to determine date and type of re-offending. Recidivism was operationalised as time until arrest (for a sexual conviction/contravention). The overall level of sexual recidivism was low (7.69%). Kaplan-Meier analyses of survival curves identified no difference in rates between risk categories. While this likely suggests that they are not dangerous or an unacceptable risk, the strict conditions of supervision may be effective in preventing sexual re-offending. Further, limitations in empirically understanding the construct need to be considered. According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered 'dangerous' if there is an 'unacceptable risk' that he will commit 'serious sexual harm'. Current legislation operates within an actuarial justice framework, whereby increasing resources are spent on those considered at greater risk. There is limited research on the efficacy of this approach. The current study examines sexual recidivism rates of a sample of DPSOA offenders. Court files of 104 community-supervised dangerous sex offenders (M age = 50.7 SD = 10.8) were examined to determine date and type of re-offending. Recidivism was operationalised as time until arrest (for a sexual conviction/contravention). The overall level of sexual recidivism was low (7.69%). Kaplan-Meier analyses of survival curves identified no difference in rates between risk categories. While this likely suggests that they are not dangerous or an unacceptable risk, the strict conditions of supervision may be effective in preventing sexual re-offending. Further, limitations in empirically understanding the construct need to be considered. According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered 'dangerous' if there is an 'unacceptable risk' that he will commit 'serious sexual harm'. Current legislation operates within an actuarial justice framework, whereby increasing resources are spent on those considered at greater risk. There is limited research on the efficacy of this approach. The current study examines sexual recidivism rates of a sample of DPSOA offenders. Court files of 104 community-supervised dangerous sex offenders ( = 50.7 = 10.8) were examined to determine date and type of re-offending. Recidivism was operationalised as time until arrest (for a sexual conviction/contravention). The overall level of sexual recidivism was low (7.69%). Kaplan-Meier analyses of survival curves identified no difference in rates between risk categories. While this likely suggests that they are not dangerous or an unacceptable risk, the strict conditions of supervision may be effective in preventing sexual re-offending. Further, limitations in empirically understanding the construct need to be considered. According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered ‘dangerous’ if there is an ‘unacceptable risk’ that he will commit ‘serious sexual harm’. Current legislation operates within an actuarial justice framework, whereby increasing resources are spent on those considered at greater risk. There is limited research on the efficacy of this approach. The current study examines sexual recidivism rates of a sample of DPSOA offenders. Court files of 104 community-supervised dangerous sex offenders ( M age = 50.7 SD = 10.8) were examined to determine date and type of re-offending. Recidivism was operationalised as time until arrest (for a sexual conviction/contravention). The overall level of sexual recidivism was low (7.69%). Kaplan–Meier analyses of survival curves identified no difference in rates between risk categories. While this likely suggests that they are not dangerous or an unacceptable risk, the strict conditions of supervision may be effective in preventing sexual re-offending. Further, limitations in empirically understanding the construct need to be considered.
Author	G Palk M T Rowlands R McD Young
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Keywords	recidivism sex offender legislation actuarial justice sex offending dangerousness DPSOA Dangerous Prisoners (Sexual Offenders) Act 2003 dangerous sex offenders
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Notes	PSYCHIATRY, PSYCHOLOGY AND LAW, Vol. 28, No. 2, Apr 2021, 310-323 Informit, Melbourne (Vic) PSYCHIATRY, PSYCHOLOGY AND LAW, Vol. 28, No. 2, Apr 2021, [310]-323 ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 23
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References	CIT0050 CIT0030 CIT0010 CIT0032 CIT0012 CIT0034 CIT0011 CIT0033 Greenberg S.R.R. (CIT0009) 2002; 14 Marshall W.L. (CIT0023) 1991; 29 Langevin R. (CIT0019) 2004; 46 McSherry B. (CIT0024) 2014 McSherry B. (CIT0025) 2009 Cipolla C. (CIT0002) 2011; 32 Kingston D.A. (CIT0018) 2008; 14 CIT0014 CIT0036 CIT0013 CIT0016 CIT0038 CIT0015 CIT0037 Proulx J. (CIT0039) 1997; 9 Nicholaichuk T. (CIT0031) 2013; 59 Harsch S. (CIT0052) 2006; 29 CIT0041 CIT0040 CIT0021 CIT0042 CIT0045 Vrieze S.I. (CIT0049) 2010; 22 Murray J. (CIT0028) 2010; 6 Maltz M.D. (CIT0022) 2001 CIT0047 CIT0046 CIT0005 Müller J.L. (CIT0027) 2013; 31 CIT0026 CIT0048 CIT0007 CIT0029 CIT0006 CIT0008 Zara G. (CIT0051) 2016
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Snippet	According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered 'dangerous' if there is an 'unacceptable risk' that he will... According to the 'Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act' 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered 'dangerous' if there is an 'unacceptable risk' that he will... According to the Dangerous Prisoners Sexual Offenders Act 2003 (DPSOA), an offender is considered ‘dangerous’ if there is an ‘unacceptable risk’ that he will...
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SubjectTerms	actuarial justice Courts Dangerous offenders Dangerous Prisoners (Sexual Offenders) Act 2003 dangerous sex offenders dangerousness DPSOA Efficacy Evaluation Law and legislation Legislation Offending Prisoners Recidivism Sex crimes sex offender legislation Sex offenders sex offending Social aspects Violence against Women
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Title	Recidivism rates of sex offenders managed under the Dangerous Prisoners (Sexual Offenders) Act 2003: an evaluation of actuarial justice
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