Suicide mortality among older adults in Brazil between 2000 and 2019 - estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Older adults present a higher risk of suicide, and Brazil is experiencing a fast population aging. To understand the impact of demographic transition, we compared Brazilian suicide mortality rates (MR) among adults (50+ years) with global rates, those from one high-income country, and those from one...
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Published in: | Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical Vol. 55; no. suppl 1; p. e0322 |
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Abstract | Older adults present a higher risk of suicide, and Brazil is experiencing a fast population aging. To understand the impact of demographic transition, we compared Brazilian suicide mortality rates (MR) among adults (50+ years) with global rates, those from one high-income country, and those from one middle-income country. Looking for regional disparities, the MR was analyzed among older adults (60+ years) by Brazilian states.
This was an ecological study based on estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study, from 2000 to 2019. Age-standardized MR and age-specific MR per 100,000 inhabitants were described, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI).
During the period, the annual estimates and the declining trend in mortality were higher in the world than in the studied countries. In 2019, global age-standardized MR was 9.39 (95% UI 8.48-10.29), compared to 5.68 (95% UI 5.40-6.19), 6.01 (95% UI 5.10-7.04), and 6.63 (95% UI 6.43-6.95) in Brazil, Mexico, and England, respectively. In Brazil, despite a significant decline in national rates, stability was observed in 15 states. An increase in aging was only found for men, who presented 3-4 times higher MR than women. The states' rates presented large differences: in 2019, the rates among men aged 60-64 years varied from 7.24 (95% UI 5.31; 9.85) to 26.32 (95% UI 20.21; 34.50).
The smaller decline in suicide mortality among older Brazilian adults, the increasing risk with aging, and the higher mortality among men indicate the need for specific prevention policies. The variation within states suggests differences in the data quality or in socio-cultural and historical aspects, which requires further investigation. |
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AbstractList | Abstract INTRODUCTION: Older adults present a higher risk of suicide, and Brazil is experiencing a fast population aging. To understand the impact of demographic transition, we compared Brazilian suicide mortality rates (MR) among adults (50+ years) with global rates, those from one high-income country, and those from one middle-income country. Looking for regional disparities, the MR was analyzed among older adults (60+ years) by Brazilian states. METHODS: This was an ecological study based on estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study, from 2000 to 2019. Age-standardized MR and age-specific MR per 100,000 inhabitants were described, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). RESULTS: During the period, the annual estimates and the declining trend in mortality were higher in the world than in the studied countries. In 2019, global age-standardized MR was 9.39 (95% UI 8.48-10.29), compared to 5.68 (95% UI 5.40-6.19), 6.01 (95% UI 5.10-7.04), and 6.63 (95% UI 6.43-6.95) in Brazil, Mexico, and England, respectively. In Brazil, despite a significant decline in national rates, stability was observed in 15 states. An increase in aging was only found for men, who presented 3-4 times higher MR than women. The states’ rates presented large differences: in 2019, the rates among men aged 60-64 years varied from 7.24 (95% UI 5.31; 9.85) to 26.32 (95% UI 20.21; 34.50). CONCLUSIONS: The smaller decline in suicide mortality among older Brazilian adults, the increasing risk with aging, and the higher mortality among men indicate the need for specific prevention policies. The variation within states suggests differences in the data quality or in socio-cultural and historical aspects, which requires further investigation. Older adults present a higher risk of suicide, and Brazil is experiencing a fast population aging. To understand the impact of demographic transition, we compared Brazilian suicide mortality rates (MR) among adults (50+ years) with global rates, those from one high-income country, and those from one middle-income country. Looking for regional disparities, the MR was analyzed among older adults (60+ years) by Brazilian states. This was an ecological study based on estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study, from 2000 to 2019. Age-standardized MR and age-specific MR per 100,000 inhabitants were described, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). During the period, the annual estimates and the declining trend in mortality were higher in the world than in the studied countries. In 2019, global age-standardized MR was 9.39 (95% UI 8.48-10.29), compared to 5.68 (95% UI 5.40-6.19), 6.01 (95% UI 5.10-7.04), and 6.63 (95% UI 6.43-6.95) in Brazil, Mexico, and England, respectively. In Brazil, despite a significant decline in national rates, stability was observed in 15 states. An increase in aging was only found for men, who presented 3-4 times higher MR than women. The states' rates presented large differences: in 2019, the rates among men aged 60-64 years varied from 7.24 (95% UI 5.31; 9.85) to 26.32 (95% UI 20.21; 34.50). The smaller decline in suicide mortality among older Brazilian adults, the increasing risk with aging, and the higher mortality among men indicate the need for specific prevention policies. The variation within states suggests differences in the data quality or in socio-cultural and historical aspects, which requires further investigation. INTRODUCTIONOlder adults present a higher risk of suicide, and Brazil is experiencing a fast population aging. To understand the impact of demographic transition, we compared Brazilian suicide mortality rates (MR) among adults (50+ years) with global rates, those from one high-income country, and those from one middle-income country. Looking for regional disparities, the MR was analyzed among older adults (60+ years) by Brazilian states. METHODSThis was an ecological study based on estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study, from 2000 to 2019. Age-standardized MR and age-specific MR per 100,000 inhabitants were described, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). RESULTSDuring the period, the annual estimates and the declining trend in mortality were higher in the world than in the studied countries. In 2019, global age-standardized MR was 9.39 (95% UI 8.48-10.29), compared to 5.68 (95% UI 5.40-6.19), 6.01 (95% UI 5.10-7.04), and 6.63 (95% UI 6.43-6.95) in Brazil, Mexico, and England, respectively. In Brazil, despite a significant decline in national rates, stability was observed in 15 states. An increase in aging was only found for men, who presented 3-4 times higher MR than women. The states' rates presented large differences: in 2019, the rates among men aged 60-64 years varied from 7.24 (95% UI 5.31; 9.85) to 26.32 (95% UI 20.21; 34.50). CONCLUSIONSThe smaller decline in suicide mortality among older Brazilian adults, the increasing risk with aging, and the higher mortality among men indicate the need for specific prevention policies. The variation within states suggests differences in the data quality or in socio-cultural and historical aspects, which requires further investigation. |
Author | Garcia, Flávia Megda Passos, Valéria Maria de Azeredo Melo, Ana Paula Souto Veloso, Guilherme Augusto Pires, Ademar Moreira Naghavi, Mohsen Reis, Júlia Gondim Maia |
AuthorAffiliation | 2 Faculdade Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Faculdade de Medicina, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil 4 Universidade Federal de São João del-Rei, Faculdade de Medicina, Divinópolis, MG, Brasil 1 Faculdade de Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências da Saúde, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil 3 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Instituto de Ciências Exatas, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Estatística, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil 5 Washington University, Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, USA |
AuthorAffiliation_xml | – name: 3 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Instituto de Ciências Exatas, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Estatística, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil – name: 1 Faculdade de Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências da Saúde, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil – name: 4 Universidade Federal de São João del-Rei, Faculdade de Medicina, Divinópolis, MG, Brasil – name: 5 Washington University, Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, USA – name: 2 Faculdade Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Faculdade de Medicina, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil – name: Faculdade de Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais – name: Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais – name: Faculdade Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais – name: Washington University – name: Universidade Federal de São João del-Rei |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Ademar Moreira orcidid: 0000-0003-4598-4149 surname: Pires fullname: Pires, Ademar Moreira organization: Faculdade de Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências da Saúde, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil – sequence: 2 givenname: Júlia Gondim Maia orcidid: 0000-0001-5028-1654 surname: Reis fullname: Reis, Júlia Gondim Maia organization: Faculdade Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Faculdade de Medicina, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil – sequence: 3 givenname: Flávia Megda orcidid: 0000-0003-0809-8471 surname: Garcia fullname: Garcia, Flávia Megda organization: Faculdade Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Faculdade de Medicina, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil – sequence: 4 givenname: Guilherme Augusto orcidid: 0000-0002-5348-3793 surname: Veloso fullname: Veloso, Guilherme Augusto organization: Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Instituto de Ciências Exatas, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Estatística, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil – sequence: 5 givenname: Ana Paula Souto orcidid: 0000-0002-9955-0824 surname: Melo fullname: Melo, Ana Paula Souto organization: Universidade Federal de São João del-Rei, Faculdade de Medicina, Divinópolis, MG, Brasil – sequence: 6 givenname: Mohsen orcidid: 0000-0002-6209-1513 surname: Naghavi fullname: Naghavi, Mohsen organization: Washington University, Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, Seattle, USA – sequence: 7 givenname: Valéria Maria de Azeredo orcidid: 0000-0003-2829-5798 surname: Passos fullname: Passos, Valéria Maria de Azeredo organization: Faculdade de Ciências Médicas de Minas Gerais, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências da Saúde, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil |
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Keywords | Aged Suicide Epidemiology Public health |
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Notes | ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 23 Conflict of Interest: The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest. Authors’ contribution: AMP and VMAP worked in the conception of the study, on the analysis and interpretation of data, and in the writing of the article. They both approved the final version for publication. JGMR and FMG collaborated in the extraction and interpretation of data. MN and GAV collaborated in the statistical methods and analysis of data. APSM worked in the critical revision and approved the final version for publication. |
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Snippet | Older adults present a higher risk of suicide, and Brazil is experiencing a fast population aging. To understand the impact of demographic transition, we... INTRODUCTIONOlder adults present a higher risk of suicide, and Brazil is experiencing a fast population aging. To understand the impact of demographic... Abstract INTRODUCTION: Older adults present a higher risk of suicide, and Brazil is experiencing a fast population aging. To understand the impact of... |
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SubjectTerms | Aged Brazil - epidemiology Epidemiology Female Global Burden of Disease Humans Major Male Mexico Public health Suicide TROPICAL MEDICINE |
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Title | Suicide mortality among older adults in Brazil between 2000 and 2019 - estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 |
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