Trajectory of risky decision making for potential gains and losses from ages 5 to 85

The ability to make advantageous decisions in the face of uncertainty is an essential human skill, yet the development of such abilities over the lifespan is still not well understood. In the current study, from childhood through older adulthood, we tracked the developmental trajectory of risk takin...

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Published in:Journal of behavioral decision making Vol. 24; no. 4; pp. 331 - 344
Main Authors: Weller, Joshua A., Levin, Irwin P., Denburg, Natalie L.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Chichester, UK John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 01-10-2011
Wiley Periodicals Inc
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Abstract The ability to make advantageous decisions in the face of uncertainty is an essential human skill, yet the development of such abilities over the lifespan is still not well understood. In the current study, from childhood through older adulthood, we tracked the developmental trajectory of risk taking for gains and losses, and expected value (EV) sensitivity in risky choices. In the gain domain, risk‐taking decreased consistently across the lifespan. In the loss domain, risk‐taking was relatively constant across ages, a result we attribute to the pervasiveness of loss aversion. EV sensitivity showed an inverted‐U‐shaped function, increasing from childhood to adulthood but then decreasing for the elderly, which occurred for both risky gains and risky losses. This finding is consistent with neuropsychological and neuroanatomical evidence concerning the role of the frontal lobe in decision making, which is relatively late to develop during childhood but may degrade earlier in the later years. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
AbstractList The ability to make advantageous decisions in the face of uncertainty is an essential human skill, yet the development of such abilities over the lifespan is still not well understood. In the current study, from childhood through older adulthood, we tracked the developmental trajectory of risk taking for gains and losses, and expected value (EV) sensitivity in risky choices. In the gain domain, risk‐taking decreased consistently across the lifespan. In the loss domain, risk‐taking was relatively constant across ages, a result we attribute to the pervasiveness of loss aversion. EV sensitivity showed an inverted‐U‐shaped function, increasing from childhood to adulthood but then decreasing for the elderly, which occurred for both risky gains and risky losses. This finding is consistent with neuropsychological and neuroanatomical evidence concerning the role of the frontal lobe in decision making, which is relatively late to develop during childhood but may degrade earlier in the later years. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
The ability to make advantageous decisions in the face of uncertainty is an essential human skill, yet the development of such abilities over the lifespan is still not well understood. In the current study, from childhood through older adulthood, we tracked the developmental trajectory of risk taking for gains and losses, and expected value (EV) sensitivity in risky choices. In the gain domain, risk-taking decreased consistently across the lifespan. In the loss domain, risk-taking was relatively constant across ages, a result we attribute to the pervasiveness of loss aversion. EV sensitivity showed an inverted-U-shaped function, increasing from childhood to adulthood but then decreasing for the elderly, which occurred for both risky gains and risky losses. This finding is consistent with neuropsychological and neuroanatomical evidence concerning the role of the frontal lobe in decision making, which is relatively late to develop during childhood but may degrade earlier in the later years. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
The ability to make advantageous decisions in the face of uncertainty is an essential human skill, yet the development of such abilities over the lifespan is still not well understood. In the current study, from childhood through older adulthood, we tracked the developmental trajectory of risk taking for gains and losses, and expected value (EV) sensitivity in risky choices. In the gain domain, risk-taking decreased consistently across the lifespan. In the loss domain, risk-taking was relatively constant across ages, a result we attribute to the pervasiveness of loss aversion. EV sensitivity showed an inverted-U-shaped function, increasing from childhood to adulthood but then decreasing for the elderly, which occurred for both risky gains and risky losses. This finding is consistent with neuropsychological and neuroanatomical evidence concerning the role of the frontal lobe in decision making, which is relatively late to develop during childhood but may degrade earlier in the later years. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT] Copyright John Wiley & Sons. Reproduced with permission. An electronic version of this article can be accessed via http://www.interscience.wiley.com
Author Denburg, Natalie L.
Levin, Irwin P.
Weller, Joshua A.
Author_xml – sequence: 1
  givenname: Joshua A.
  surname: Weller
  fullname: Weller, Joshua A.
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  givenname: Irwin P.
  surname: Levin
  fullname: Levin, Irwin P.
  organization: Department of Psychology, University of Iowa, E11 Seashore Hall, Iowa City, Iowa, USA
– sequence: 3
  givenname: Natalie L.
  surname: Denburg
  fullname: Denburg, Natalie L.
  organization: Department of Neurology and Neuroscience, University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics, Iowa City, Iowa, USA
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2009; 46
2002; 15
2000; 4
2004; 25
1997; 275
2005; 64
2005; 20
2003; 16
2004; 1021
2008; 33
1996; 103
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2007; 78
2003; 53
2002; 49
2006; 61
2000
2002; 83
1999; 19
2000; 54
2003; 7
2006; 26
2002; 88
2008; 22
2007; 2
2007; 20
1979; 163
2001; 14
2003; 43
1998; 13
2007; 18
1989; 60
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2001; 72
2004; 40
2006; 13
2000; 26
2007; 1121
2002; 5
2000; 64
2003; 35
2006; 7
2008; 15
2005; 43
2006
1996; 120
1992
1991
2001; 22
2006; 313
1996; 12
1999
2007; 16
2004; 10
2004; 55
2009; 35
2009; 30
1989; 11
1979; 47
2005; 9
1991; 64
2005; 3
2005; 15
1998; 76
2005; 11
1994; 5
2009; 37
2005; 58
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2003; 23
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Snippet The ability to make advantageous decisions in the face of uncertainty is an essential human skill, yet the development of such abilities over the lifespan is...
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SubjectTerms Age difference
Behavioral decision theory
children
Cognition & reasoning
cognitive aging
Decision making
Economic psychology
expected value
Life history
Management science
Neuropsychology
older adults
Operations research
Risk
Risk aversion
risk taking
Studies
Title Trajectory of risky decision making for potential gains and losses from ages 5 to 85
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