Climate Change Vulnerability and Key Adaptation Trajectory of the Regional Economic System
From the microperspective, climate change restricts human life in many aspects, and it affects the regional economic system from the macroperspective. The paper presents an inoperability input-output model (IIM) that is an extension approach of the Leontief input-output model. The IIM is able to pro...
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| Published in: | Discrete dynamics in nature and society Vol. 2021; pp. 1 - 14 |
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2021
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| Abstract | From the microperspective, climate change restricts human life in many aspects, and it affects the regional economic system from the macroperspective. The paper presents an inoperability input-output model (IIM) that is an extension approach of the Leontief input-output model. The IIM is able to provide a feasible methodology for measuring the impact of vulnerable economic factors on the whole economic system and identifying the key adaptation trajectory of the economic system. The IIM is applied in Tianjin to explore its dilemmas facing the increased demand for electricity, water, and public health service sectors under the RCP2.5, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 climate scenarios. The results indicated that the inoperability ranking of all economic sectors is the same under the three climate scenarios. The key adaptation trajectory in Tianjin is S40, S27, S25, S17, S12, S02, S21, S16, S09, S24, S29, S33, S19, S13, and S15 sector in order. The costs required by the key adaptation trajectory to adapt to climate change account for more than 90% of that required by the whole economic system. These results can be helpful for policy-makers to prioritize sectors in terms of climate adaptation and understand the efficacy of climate change risk mitigation strategies. |
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| AbstractList | From the microperspective, climate change restricts human life in many aspects, and it affects the regional economic system from the macroperspective. The paper presents an inoperability input-output model (IIM) that is an extension approach of the Leontief input-output model. The IIM is able to provide a feasible methodology for measuring the impact of vulnerable economic factors on the whole economic system and identifying the key adaptation trajectory of the economic system. The IIM is applied in Tianjin to explore its dilemmas facing the increased demand for electricity, water, and public health service sectors under the RCP2.5, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 climate scenarios. The results indicated that the inoperability ranking of all economic sectors is the same under the three climate scenarios. The key adaptation trajectory in Tianjin is S40, S27, S25, S17, S12, S02, S21, S16, S09, S24, S29, S33, S19, S13, and S15 sector in order. The costs required by the key adaptation trajectory to adapt to climate change account for more than 90% of that required by the whole economic system. These results can be helpful for policy-makers to prioritize sectors in terms of climate adaptation and understand the efficacy of climate change risk mitigation strategies. |
| Author | Peng, Yufang Chen, Weidong Wei, Pengbang |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Pengbang orcidid: 0000-0003-2811-1207 surname: Wei fullname: Wei, Pengbang organization: College of Management and EconomicsTianjin UniversityTianjin 300072Chinatju.edu.cn – sequence: 2 givenname: Yufang orcidid: 0000-0001-7318-1779 surname: Peng fullname: Peng, Yufang organization: College of Management and EconomicsTianjin UniversityTianjin 300072Chinatju.edu.cn – sequence: 3 givenname: Weidong orcidid: 0000-0003-1919-7635 surname: Chen fullname: Chen, Weidong organization: College of Management and EconomicsTianjin UniversityTianjin 300072Chinatju.edu.cn |
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| Cites_doi | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138845 10.1080/19475705.2018.1536079 10.1002/joc.4043 10.1007/s10653-018-0235-4 10.1016/S0140-6736(09)60922-3 10.1007/s10584-011-0299-y 10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4 10.1007/s10584-020-02681-x 10.1155/2020/4904829 10.1002/wcc.322 10.1080/17565529.2019.1664379 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100222 10.1088/1748-9326/abb330 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.01.002 10.1007/s10584-019-02602-7 10.1080/17565529.2016.1146118 10.1007/s10584-014-1239-4 10.1017/CBO9780511626982 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2008.01046.x 10.1061/(asce)1076-0342(2001)7:1(1) 10.1177/0958305X18776538 10.1080/09535314.2012.761179 10.1073/pnas.1804667115 10.1016/j.energy.2014.09.001 10.1016/j.resconrec.2015.10.017 10.1038/s41560-020-0558-0 10.1007/s10584-014-1158-4 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.10.013 10.1007/s11027-010-9246-x 10.3390/su12093804 10.1002/ird.1958 10.1257/app.3.4.152 10.1038/nclimate3378 10.1080/19436149.2015.1046706 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9be1 10.1007/s10653-020-00554-x 10.2166/wcc.2013.118 10.1080/17565529.2018.1562865 10.1109/tsmca.2009.2030587 10.1080/13549839.2016.1216954 10.1002/sys.20051 10.1007/BF01887911 10.1002/joc.5188 10.1073/pnas.1613193114 10.1007/s10113-011-0249-2 10.1257/pol.20170046 10.1080/17565529.2019.1638225 10.1007/s11027-018-9789-9 |
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| Copyright | Copyright © 2021 Pengbang Wei et al. Copyright © 2021 Pengbang Wei et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
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| SubjectTerms | Adaptation Climate change Consumption Economic factors Economic models Emission standards Greenhouse effect Health services Impact analysis Literature reviews Public health Regional development |
| Title | Climate Change Vulnerability and Key Adaptation Trajectory of the Regional Economic System |
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