Tracing Down Real Socio-Economic Trends From Household Data With Erratic Sampling Frames: The Case of the Democratic Republic of the Congo

• Published in: Journal of Asian and African studies (Leiden) Vol. 53; no. 4; pp. 532 - 552
• Main Authors: Marivoet, Wim, De Herdt, Tom
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: London, England SAGE Publications 01-06-2018; Sage Publications Ltd. (UK); SAGE PUBLICATIONS, INC
• Subjects: Analysis; Assets; Bias; Economic trends; Enrollments; Household surveys; Households; Immunization; Ownership; Political aspects; Polls & surveys; Population; Reliability; Sampling; Social economics; Socioeconomic factors; Socioeconomics; Stratification; Trends; Congo (Kinshasa); Congo-Democratic Republic of Congo; Household surveys; population estimates; assets; the Democratic Republic of the Congo; sampling
• ISSN: 0021-9096; 1745-2538
• DOI: 10.1177/0021909617698842

By means of the latest seven national household surveys of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, this article uncovers the very volatile sampling frame used underneath all survey designs. As a result, the reliability of much associated survey information as well as any corresponding temporal analysis are seriously jeopardized. Relying on recent vaccination, school enrolment and election data, the article proposes a post-stratification technique to retroactively control for these erratic variations in sampling frame in an attempt to identify real socio-economic trends. Although the proposed technique did not restore full comparability of survey data in all respects, it has been able to eliminate an essential part of the spuriousness as illustrated by assessing trends in asset ownership under both the biased and stabilized sampling frames.