Acute Gangrenous Cholecystitis: Proposal of a Score and Comparison with Previous Published Scores
Background Gangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. Recent reports show that surgeons are remarkably unsuccessful in diagnosing GC. Methods We conducted a retrospective s...
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Published in: | Journal of gastrointestinal surgery Vol. 25; no. 6; pp. 1479 - 1486 |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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Language: | English |
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01-06-2021
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Abstract | Background
Gangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. Recent reports show that surgeons are remarkably unsuccessful in diagnosing GC.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective study involving 587 patients with AC. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictive factors of GC. We assigned points for the score according to the regression coefficient. The area under the curve (AUC) was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The scoring system was then prospectively validated on a second population. We validated 2 previously published scoring models.
Results
Six independent predictive factors of GC were identified: [3–]4 ASA score, temperature, duration of symptoms, WBC, male gender, and pericholecystic fluid. A predictive score of GC was established based on these independent predictive factors. Sensitivity was 81.4%; specificity was 70%. The AUC of this clinicoradiological score was 0.83. The AUC of our score was higher than that of the first published score (the AUC was 0.75 in the original report and 0.78 in the validation model using our dataset) and that of the second published score (the AUC was 0.77 in the original report and 0.72 in the validation model using our dataset).
Conclusions
The AUC of our score exceeded 0.80, indicating that this score can help in diagnosing patients with GC, and thus in prioritizing these patients for surgery or choosing the adapted technique of drainage in critically ill patients. |
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AbstractList | BackgroundGangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. Recent reports show that surgeons are remarkably unsuccessful in diagnosing GC.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study involving 587 patients with AC. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictive factors of GC. We assigned points for the score according to the regression coefficient. The area under the curve (AUC) was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The scoring system was then prospectively validated on a second population. We validated 2 previously published scoring models.ResultsSix independent predictive factors of GC were identified: [3–]4 ASA score, temperature, duration of symptoms, WBC, male gender, and pericholecystic fluid. A predictive score of GC was established based on these independent predictive factors. Sensitivity was 81.4%; specificity was 70%. The AUC of this clinicoradiological score was 0.83. The AUC of our score was higher than that of the first published score (the AUC was 0.75 in the original report and 0.78 in the validation model using our dataset) and that of the second published score (the AUC was 0.77 in the original report and 0.72 in the validation model using our dataset).ConclusionsThe AUC of our score exceeded 0.80, indicating that this score can help in diagnosing patients with GC, and thus in prioritizing these patients for surgery or choosing the adapted technique of drainage in critically ill patients. Background Gangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. Recent reports show that surgeons are remarkably unsuccessful in diagnosing GC. Methods We conducted a retrospective study involving 587 patients with AC. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictive factors of GC. We assigned points for the score according to the regression coefficient. The area under the curve (AUC) was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The scoring system was then prospectively validated on a second population. We validated 2 previously published scoring models. Results Six independent predictive factors of GC were identified: [3–]4 ASA score, temperature, duration of symptoms, WBC, male gender, and pericholecystic fluid. A predictive score of GC was established based on these independent predictive factors. Sensitivity was 81.4%; specificity was 70%. The AUC of this clinicoradiological score was 0.83. The AUC of our score was higher than that of the first published score (the AUC was 0.75 in the original report and 0.78 in the validation model using our dataset) and that of the second published score (the AUC was 0.77 in the original report and 0.72 in the validation model using our dataset). Conclusions The AUC of our score exceeded 0.80, indicating that this score can help in diagnosing patients with GC, and thus in prioritizing these patients for surgery or choosing the adapted technique of drainage in critically ill patients. Gangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative morbidity and mortality. Recent reports show that surgeons are remarkably unsuccessful in diagnosing GC. We conducted a retrospective study involving 587 patients with AC. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictive factors of GC. We assigned points for the score according to the regression coefficient. The area under the curve (AUC) was determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The scoring system was then prospectively validated on a second population. We validated 2 previously published scoring models. Six independent predictive factors of GC were identified: [3-]4 ASA score, temperature, duration of symptoms, WBC, male gender, and pericholecystic fluid. A predictive score of GC was established based on these independent predictive factors. Sensitivity was 81.4%; specificity was 70%. The AUC of this clinicoradiological score was 0.83. The AUC of our score was higher than that of the first published score (the AUC was 0.75 in the original report and 0.78 in the validation model using our dataset) and that of the second published score (the AUC was 0.77 in the original report and 0.72 in the validation model using our dataset). The AUC of our score exceeded 0.80, indicating that this score can help in diagnosing patients with GC, and thus in prioritizing these patients for surgery or choosing the adapted technique of drainage in critically ill patients. |
Author | Zribi, Slim Kallel, Yessin Bouassida, Mahdi Madhioub, Mouna Mighri, Mohamed Mongi Touinsi, Hassen Slama, Helmi |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Mahdi surname: Bouassida fullname: Bouassida, Mahdi email: bouassidamahdi@yahoo.fr organization: Department of Surgery, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital, Faculty of Medicine of Tunis, Tunis El Manar University – sequence: 2 givenname: Mouna surname: Madhioub fullname: Madhioub, Mouna organization: Faculty of Medicine of Tunis, Tunis El Manar University, Depatment of Gastroenterology, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital – sequence: 3 givenname: Yessin surname: Kallel fullname: Kallel, Yessin organization: Department of Surgery, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital, Depatment of Gastroenterology, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital – sequence: 4 givenname: Slim surname: Zribi fullname: Zribi, Slim organization: Department of Surgery, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital, Depatment of Gastroenterology, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital – sequence: 5 givenname: Helmi surname: Slama fullname: Slama, Helmi organization: Department of Surgery, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital, Depatment of Gastroenterology, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital – sequence: 6 givenname: Mohamed Mongi surname: Mighri fullname: Mighri, Mohamed Mongi organization: Department of Surgery, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital, Depatment of Gastroenterology, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital – sequence: 7 givenname: Hassen surname: Touinsi fullname: Touinsi, Hassen organization: Department of Surgery, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital, Depatment of Gastroenterology, Mohamed Tahar Maamouri Hospital |
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Cites_doi | 10.1111/j.1477-2574.2011.00327.x 10.1007/s00534-005-1042-8 10.1016/S0039-6060(99)70122-4 10.1016/j.giec.2018.12.002 10.1111/hpb.12226 10.1002/jhbp.515 10.1097/SLE.0000000000000236 10.1155/2010/901739 10.1016/j.jviscsurg.2016.11.007 10.1177/000313481207801014 10.1007/s00595-015-1207-2 10.14701/ahbps.2019.23.3.228 10.1055/a-0591-2630 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2003.08.001 10.1016/j.ijsu.2015.11.049 10.1007/s11605-019-04459-8 |
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Gangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative... Gangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative morbidity and... BackgroundGangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative... BACKGROUNDGangrenous cholecystitis (GC) is a particularly severe form of acute cholecystitis (AC) and is associated with an increased risk of postoperative... |
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SubjectTerms | Blood Cholecystectomy Cholecystitis Cholecystitis, Acute - diagnosis Cholecystitis, Acute - surgery Gallbladder Gallbladder diseases Gangrene Gastroenterology Humans Inflammation Laparoscopy Male Medicine Medicine & Public Health Mortality Original Article Retrospective Studies ROC Curve Surgery Ultrasonic imaging |
Title | Acute Gangrenous Cholecystitis: Proposal of a Score and Comparison with Previous Published Scores |
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