Redesigning harvest strategies for sustainable fishery management in the face of extreme environmental variability

Short‐lived, fast‐growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties in exact stock–environment relationships have meant that environmental variability and extremes have been difficult to integrate directly into fisheri...

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Published in:Conservation biology Vol. 36; no. 3; pp. e13864 - n/a
Main Authors: Blamey, Laura K., Plagányi, Éva E., Hutton, Trevor, Deng, Roy A., Upston, Judy, Jarrett, Annie
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: United States Blackwell Publishing Ltd 01-06-2022
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Abstract Short‐lived, fast‐growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties in exact stock–environment relationships have meant that environmental variability and extremes have been difficult to integrate directly into fisheries management. We applied a management strategy evaluation approach for one of Australia's large prawn stocks to test the robustness of harvest control rules to environmental variability. The model ensemble included coupled environmental‐population models and an alternative catchability scenario fitted to historical catch per unit effort data. We compared the efficacy of alternative management actions to conserve marine resources under a variable environment while accounting for fisher livelihoods. Model fits to catch per unit effort were reasonably good and similar across operating models (OMs). For models that were coupled to the environment, environmental parameters for El Niño years were estimated with good associated precision, and OM3 had a lower AIC score (77.61)  than the base model (OM1, 80.39), whereas OM2 (AIC 82.41) had a similar AIC score, suggesting the OMs were all plausible model alternatives. Our model testing resulted in a plausible subset of management options, and stakeholders selected a permanent closure of the first fishing season based on overall performance of this option; ability to reduce the risk of fishery closure and stock collapse; robustness to uncertainties; and ease of implementation. Our simulation approach enabled the selection of an optimal yet pragmatic solution for addressing economic and conservation objectives under a variable environment with extreme events. Rediseño de las Estrategias de Captura para el Manejo de Pesquerías Sustentables de Caraa una Variabilidad Ambiental Extrema Resumen Las especies de vida corta y rápido crecimiento que contribuyen enormemente a la captura mundial de las pesquerías son sensibles a las fluctuaciones en el ambiente. La incertidumbre en torno a las relaciones exactas entre el ambiente y el stock ha representado una dificultad para integrar directamente la variabilidad y los extremos ambientales a la gestión de las pesquerías. Aplicamos un enfoque de evaluación de estrategia de manejo (EEM) para uno de los stocks de camarones de Australia y así analizar la solidez de las reglas de control de captura para la variabilidad ambiental. El ensamblado modelo incluyó modelos ambientales‐poblacionales emparejados y un escenario alternativo de capturabilidad ajustado a los datos históricos de esfuerzo de captura por unidad. Comparamos la eficiencia de acciones alternativas de manejo para conservar los recursos marinos bajo un ambiente variable teniendo en cuenta el sustento de los pescadores. Los ajustes del modelo para el esfuerzo de captura por unidad fueron razonablemente buenos y similares en los modelos operantes (MO). Para los modelos que estuvieron emparejados con el ambiente, los parámetros ambientales para los años de El Niño estuvieron estimados con una buena precisión asociada, y el MO3 tuvo un puntaje AIC menor (77.61) que el modelo base (MO1, 80.39), mientras que el MO2 (AIC 82.41) tuvo un puntaje AIC similar, lo que sugiere que los MO eran todos modelos plausibles alternativos. Nuestro análisis de los modelos resultó en un subconjunto plausible de opciones de manejo, y los actores seleccionaron un cierre permanente de la primera temporada de pesca con base en el desempeño general de esta opción, la habilidad para reducir el riesgo del cierre de la pesquería y el colapso del stock, la solidez ante las incertidumbres y la facilidad de implementación. Nuestra estrategia de simulación permitió la selección de una solución óptima pero pragmática para abordar los objetivos económicos y de conservación bajo un ambiente variable con eventos extremos. Article Impact statement: Simulation testing shows a seasonal closure protects fisher livelihoods and the stock in years with extreme environmental conditions. 【摘要】 寿命短、生长快的物种对全球捕捞渔业贡献巨大, 但对环境的波动十分敏感。这些物种种群与环境关系之间的不确定性意味着难以将环境的可变性和极端情况直接纳入渔业管理之中。本研究对澳大利亚的一个大型对虾种群采用了管理策略评估 (MSE) 的方法, 以检验控制捕捞的规则应对环境变化的稳健性。该模型组合包括环境‐种群耦合模型和拟合单位捕捞量渔获的历史数据的可捕量替代方案。我们在考虑渔民生计的同时, 比较了在多变环境下保护海洋资源的替代管理行动的有效性。单位捕捞量渔获的模型拟合结果相当好, 且在不同的操控模型 (operating models, OMs) 中都相近。在与环境耦合的模型中, 厄尔尼诺年的环境参数估算后的关联精度很高, OM3 的 AIC 值 (77.61) 低于基础模型 (OM1, 80.39), 而 OM2(AIC 82.41) 的 AIC 值与 OM1 相近, 表明这些操控模型都是合理的替代选择。我们的模型测试还得到了一部分合理的管理方案, 利益相关者根据管理方案的总体表现、降低渔业关闭和种群崩溃风险的能力、面对不确定性的稳健性以及实施管理的便利性等因素, 选择了在第一个捕捞季永久禁渔。本研究提出的模拟方法使我们能够选择一个最优且实际的解决方案, 从而在可能发生极端事件的可变环境中实现经济和保护目标。 【翻译: 胡怡思; 审校: 聂永刚】
AbstractList Abstract Short‐lived, fast‐growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties in exact stock–environment relationships have meant that environmental variability and extremes have been difficult to integrate directly into fisheries management. We applied a management strategy evaluation approach for one of Australia's large prawn stocks to test the robustness of harvest control rules to environmental variability. The model ensemble included coupled environmental‐population models and an alternative catchability scenario fitted to historical catch per unit effort data. We compared the efficacy of alternative management actions to conserve marine resources under a variable environment while accounting for fisher livelihoods. Model fits to catch per unit effort were reasonably good and similar across operating models (OMs). For models that were coupled to the environment, environmental parameters for El Niño years were estimated with good associated precision, and OM3 had a lower AIC score (77.61)  than the base model (OM1, 80.39), whereas OM2 (AIC 82.41) had a similar AIC score, suggesting the OMs were all plausible model alternatives. Our model testing resulted in a plausible subset of management options, and stakeholders selected a permanent closure of the first fishing season based on overall performance of this option; ability to reduce the risk of fishery closure and stock collapse; robustness to uncertainties; and ease of implementation. Our simulation approach enabled the selection of an optimal yet pragmatic solution for addressing economic and conservation objectives under a variable environment with extreme events. Rediseño de las Estrategias de Captura para el Manejo de Pesquerías Sustentables de Caraa una Variabilidad Ambiental Extrema Resumen Las especies de vida corta y rápido crecimiento que contribuyen enormemente a la captura mundial de las pesquerías son sensibles a las fluctuaciones en el ambiente. La incertidumbre en torno a las relaciones exactas entre el ambiente y el stock ha representado una dificultad para integrar directamente la variabilidad y los extremos ambientales a la gestión de las pesquerías. Aplicamos un enfoque de evaluación de estrategia de manejo (EEM) para uno de los stocks de camarones de Australia y así analizar la solidez de las reglas de control de captura para la variabilidad ambiental. El ensamblado modelo incluyó modelos ambientales‐poblacionales emparejados y un escenario alternativo de capturabilidad ajustado a los datos históricos de esfuerzo de captura por unidad. Comparamos la eficiencia de acciones alternativas de manejo para conservar los recursos marinos bajo un ambiente variable teniendo en cuenta el sustento de los pescadores. Los ajustes del modelo para el esfuerzo de captura por unidad fueron razonablemente buenos y similares en los modelos operantes (MO). Para los modelos que estuvieron emparejados con el ambiente, los parámetros ambientales para los años de El Niño estuvieron estimados con una buena precisión asociada, y el MO3 tuvo un puntaje AIC menor (77.61) que el modelo base (MO1, 80.39), mientras que el MO2 (AIC 82.41) tuvo un puntaje AIC similar, lo que sugiere que los MO eran todos modelos plausibles alternativos. Nuestro análisis de los modelos resultó en un subconjunto plausible de opciones de manejo, y los actores seleccionaron un cierre permanente de la primera temporada de pesca con base en el desempeño general de esta opción, la habilidad para reducir el riesgo del cierre de la pesquería y el colapso del stock, la solidez ante las incertidumbres y la facilidad de implementación. Nuestra estrategia de simulación permitió la selección de una solución óptima pero pragmática para abordar los objetivos económicos y de conservación bajo un ambiente variable con eventos extremos. Article Impact statement : Simulation testing shows a seasonal closure protects fisher livelihoods and the stock in years with extreme environmental conditions. 【摘要】 寿命短、生长快的物种对全球捕捞渔业贡献巨大, 但对环境的波动十分敏感。这些物种种群与环境关系之间的不确定性意味着难以将环境的可变性和极端情况直接纳入渔业管理之中。本研究对澳大利亚的一个大型对虾种群采用了管理策略评估 (MSE) 的方法, 以检验控制捕捞的规则应对环境变化的稳健性。该模型组合包括环境‐种群耦合模型和拟合单位捕捞量渔获的历史数据的可捕量替代方案。我们在考虑渔民生计的同时, 比较了在多变环境下保护海洋资源的替代管理行动的有效性。单位捕捞量渔获的模型拟合结果相当好, 且在不同的操控模型 (operating models, OMs) 中都相近。在与环境耦合的模型中, 厄尔尼诺年的环境参数估算后的关联精度很高, OM3 的 AIC 值 (77.61) 低于基础模型 (OM1, 80.39), 而 OM2(AIC 82.41) 的 AIC 值与 OM1 相近, 表明这些操控模型都是合理的替代选择。我们的模型测试还得到了一部分合理的管理方案, 利益相关者根据管理方案的总体表现、降低渔业关闭和种群崩溃风险的能力、面对不确定性的稳健性以及实施管理的便利性等因素, 选择了在第一个捕捞季永久禁渔。本研究提出的模拟方法使我们能够选择一个最优且实际的解决方案, 从而在可能发生极端事件的可变环境中实现经济和保护目标。 【翻译: 胡怡思; 审校: 聂永刚】
Short‐lived, fast‐growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties in exact stock–environment relationships have meant that environmental variability and extremes have been difficult to integrate directly into fisheries management. We applied a management strategy evaluation approach for one of Australia's large prawn stocks to test the robustness of harvest control rules to environmental variability. The model ensemble included coupled environmental‐population models and an alternative catchability scenario fitted to historical catch per unit effort data. We compared the efficacy of alternative management actions to conserve marine resources under a variable environment while accounting for fisher livelihoods. Model fits to catch per unit effort were reasonably good and similar across operating models (OMs). For models that were coupled to the environment, environmental parameters for El Niño years were estimated with good associated precision, and OM3 had a lower AIC score (77.61)  than the base model (OM1, 80.39), whereas OM2 (AIC 82.41) had a similar AIC score, suggesting the OMs were all plausible model alternatives. Our model testing resulted in a plausible subset of management options, and stakeholders selected a permanent closure of the first fishing season based on overall performance of this option; ability to reduce the risk of fishery closure and stock collapse; robustness to uncertainties; and ease of implementation. Our simulation approach enabled the selection of an optimal yet pragmatic solution for addressing economic and conservation objectives under a variable environment with extreme events. Rediseño de las Estrategias de Captura para el Manejo de Pesquerías Sustentables de Caraa una Variabilidad Ambiental Extrema Resumen Las especies de vida corta y rápido crecimiento que contribuyen enormemente a la captura mundial de las pesquerías son sensibles a las fluctuaciones en el ambiente. La incertidumbre en torno a las relaciones exactas entre el ambiente y el stock ha representado una dificultad para integrar directamente la variabilidad y los extremos ambientales a la gestión de las pesquerías. Aplicamos un enfoque de evaluación de estrategia de manejo (EEM) para uno de los stocks de camarones de Australia y así analizar la solidez de las reglas de control de captura para la variabilidad ambiental. El ensamblado modelo incluyó modelos ambientales‐poblacionales emparejados y un escenario alternativo de capturabilidad ajustado a los datos históricos de esfuerzo de captura por unidad. Comparamos la eficiencia de acciones alternativas de manejo para conservar los recursos marinos bajo un ambiente variable teniendo en cuenta el sustento de los pescadores. Los ajustes del modelo para el esfuerzo de captura por unidad fueron razonablemente buenos y similares en los modelos operantes (MO). Para los modelos que estuvieron emparejados con el ambiente, los parámetros ambientales para los años de El Niño estuvieron estimados con una buena precisión asociada, y el MO3 tuvo un puntaje AIC menor (77.61) que el modelo base (MO1, 80.39), mientras que el MO2 (AIC 82.41) tuvo un puntaje AIC similar, lo que sugiere que los MO eran todos modelos plausibles alternativos. Nuestro análisis de los modelos resultó en un subconjunto plausible de opciones de manejo, y los actores seleccionaron un cierre permanente de la primera temporada de pesca con base en el desempeño general de esta opción, la habilidad para reducir el riesgo del cierre de la pesquería y el colapso del stock, la solidez ante las incertidumbres y la facilidad de implementación. Nuestra estrategia de simulación permitió la selección de una solución óptima pero pragmática para abordar los objetivos económicos y de conservación bajo un ambiente variable con eventos extremos. Article Impact statement: Simulation testing shows a seasonal closure protects fisher livelihoods and the stock in years with extreme environmental conditions. 【摘要】 寿命短、生长快的物种对全球捕捞渔业贡献巨大, 但对环境的波动十分敏感。这些物种种群与环境关系之间的不确定性意味着难以将环境的可变性和极端情况直接纳入渔业管理之中。本研究对澳大利亚的一个大型对虾种群采用了管理策略评估 (MSE) 的方法, 以检验控制捕捞的规则应对环境变化的稳健性。该模型组合包括环境‐种群耦合模型和拟合单位捕捞量渔获的历史数据的可捕量替代方案。我们在考虑渔民生计的同时, 比较了在多变环境下保护海洋资源的替代管理行动的有效性。单位捕捞量渔获的模型拟合结果相当好, 且在不同的操控模型 (operating models, OMs) 中都相近。在与环境耦合的模型中, 厄尔尼诺年的环境参数估算后的关联精度很高, OM3 的 AIC 值 (77.61) 低于基础模型 (OM1, 80.39), 而 OM2(AIC 82.41) 的 AIC 值与 OM1 相近, 表明这些操控模型都是合理的替代选择。我们的模型测试还得到了一部分合理的管理方案, 利益相关者根据管理方案的总体表现、降低渔业关闭和种群崩溃风险的能力、面对不确定性的稳健性以及实施管理的便利性等因素, 选择了在第一个捕捞季永久禁渔。本研究提出的模拟方法使我们能够选择一个最优且实际的解决方案, 从而在可能发生极端事件的可变环境中实现经济和保护目标。 【翻译: 胡怡思; 审校: 聂永刚】
Short‐lived, fast‐growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties in exact stock–environment relationships have meant that environmental variability and extremes have been difficult to integrate directly into fisheries management. We applied a management strategy evaluation approach for one of Australia's large prawn stocks to test the robustness of harvest control rules to environmental variability. The model ensemble included coupled environmental‐population models and an alternative catchability scenario fitted to historical catch per unit effort data. We compared the efficacy of alternative management actions to conserve marine resources under a variable environment while accounting for fisher livelihoods. Model fits to catch per unit effort were reasonably good and similar across operating models (OMs). For models that were coupled to the environment, environmental parameters for El Niño years were estimated with good associated precision, and OM3 had a lower AIC score (77.61) than the base model (OM1, 80.39), whereas OM2 (AIC 82.41) had a similar AIC score, suggesting the OMs were all plausible model alternatives. Our model testing resulted in a plausible subset of management options, and stakeholders selected a permanent closure of the first fishing season based on overall performance of this option; ability to reduce the risk of fishery closure and stock collapse; robustness to uncertainties; and ease of implementation. Our simulation approach enabled the selection of an optimal yet pragmatic solution for addressing economic and conservation objectives under a variable environment with extreme events.
Short-lived, fast-growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties in exact stock-environment relationships have meant that environmental variability and extremes have been difficult to integrate directly into fisheries management. We applied a management strategy evaluation approach for one of Australia's large prawn stocks to test the robustness of harvest control rules to environmental variability. The model ensemble included coupled environmental-population models and an alternative catchability scenario fitted to historical catch per unit effort data. We compared the efficacy of alternative management actions to conserve marine resources under a variable environment while accounting for fisher livelihoods. Model fits to catch per unit effort were reasonably good and similar across operating models (OMs). For models that were coupled to the environment, environmental parameters for El Niño years were estimated with good associated precision, and OM3 had a lower AIC score (77.61)  than the base model (OM1, 80.39), whereas OM2 (AIC 82.41) had a similar AIC score, suggesting the OMs were all plausible model alternatives. Our model testing resulted in a plausible subset of management options, and stakeholders selected a permanent closure of the first fishing season based on overall performance of this option; ability to reduce the risk of fishery closure and stock collapse; robustness to uncertainties; and ease of implementation. Our simulation approach enabled the selection of an optimal yet pragmatic solution for addressing economic and conservation objectives under a variable environment with extreme events.
Author Hutton, Trevor
Blamey, Laura K.
Plagányi, Éva E.
Deng, Roy A.
Upston, Judy
Jarrett, Annie
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  givenname: Éva E.
  orcidid: 0000-0002-4740-4200
  surname: Plagányi
  fullname: Plagányi, Éva E.
  organization: Oceans and Atmosphere
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  givenname: Trevor
  surname: Hutton
  fullname: Hutton, Trevor
  organization: Oceans and Atmosphere
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  givenname: Roy A.
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  surname: Deng
  fullname: Deng, Roy A.
  organization: Oceans and Atmosphere
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  organization: Oceans and Atmosphere
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  givenname: Annie
  surname: Jarrett
  fullname: Jarrett, Annie
  organization: NPF Industry Pty Ltd
BackLink https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34929068$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed
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CitedBy_id crossref_primary_10_3354_meps14227
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ISSN 0888-8892
IngestDate Fri Aug 16 21:07:33 EDT 2024
Tue Nov 19 03:36:44 EST 2024
Fri Aug 23 01:58:17 EDT 2024
Wed Oct 16 00:41:12 EDT 2024
Sat Aug 24 01:08:32 EDT 2024
IsPeerReviewed true
IsScholarly true
Issue 3
Keywords southern oscillation index
índice
北极甜虾水产业
南方涛动指数
estrategia
northern prawn fishery
招募
precautionary approach
de camarón
de precaución
对虾属(Penaeus)
norteño
recruitment
reclutamiento
澳大利亚
de oscilación
Australia
Penaeus
austral, pesquería
预防方法
Language English
License 2021 Society for Conservation Biology.
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Notes Article Impact statement
Simulation testing shows a seasonal closure protects fisher livelihoods and the stock in years with extreme environmental conditions.
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2022-Jun
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  year: 2022
  text: June 2022
PublicationDecade 2020
PublicationPlace United States
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PublicationTitle Conservation biology
PublicationTitleAlternate Conserv Biol
PublicationYear 2022
Publisher Blackwell Publishing Ltd
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References 2021; 8
2021; 7
2002; 59
2019; 6
2019a; 217
2019; 5
2009a; 66
2019b; 76
2017; 27
2018; 564
2015; 96
2011; 31
2013; 70
2020; 227
2020; 585
1994
2005; 27
2016; 17
1957
2016; 141
2004; 309
2010; 67
2020; 8
2020a; 78
2011; 109
2018; 4
2016; 3
2019; 20
2013; 119
2020
2014; 15
2020b
2019
1999; 56
2011; 68
2012; 27
2018; 94
2013; 110
2019; 217
2007; 64
2018; 99
2014; 71
e_1_2_6_32_1
e_1_2_6_10_1
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Herring S. C. (e_1_2_6_20_1) 2018; 99
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Herring S. C. (e_1_2_6_21_1) 2015; 96
e_1_2_6_41_1
Plagányi É. (e_1_2_6_36_1) 2020
e_1_2_6_40_1
Somers I. (e_1_2_6_45_1) 1994
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e_1_2_6_28_1
Blamey L. K. (e_1_2_6_8_1) 2020
e_1_2_6_27_1
e_1_2_6_46_1
e_1_2_6_26_1
e_1_2_6_47_1
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SSID ssj0009514
Score 2.483562
Snippet Short‐lived, fast‐growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties in exact...
Short-lived, fast-growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties in exact...
Abstract Short‐lived, fast‐growing species that contribute greatly to global capture fisheries are sensitive to fluctuations in the environment. Uncertainties...
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crossref
pubmed
wiley
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Index Database
Publisher
StartPage e13864
SubjectTerms austral, pesquería
Australia
Capture fisheries
Catch per unit effort
Catchability
Conservation of Natural Resources - methods
de camarón
de oscilación
de precaución
Economics
El Nino
El Nino phenomena
Environment models
Environmental factors
estrategia
Fisheries
Fisheries management
Fishery management
Freshwater crustaceans
Livelihoods
Marine crustaceans
Marine resources
Marine resources management
Model testing
Models, Theoretical
norteño
northern prawn fishery
Penaeus
precautionary approach
reclutamiento
recruitment
Risk reduction
Robust control
Robustness
southern oscillation index
Stocks
Sustainable fisheries
Uncertainty
Variability
índice
北极甜虾水产业
南方涛动指数
对虾属(Penaeus)
招募
澳大利亚
预防方法
Title Redesigning harvest strategies for sustainable fishery management in the face of extreme environmental variability
URI https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111%2Fcobi.13864
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34929068
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2670015002
https://search.proquest.com/docview/2612392907
Volume 36
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