Prediction of extreme climate on the Tibetan Plateau based on NEX-GDDP-CMIP6

As a climate-sensitive and fragile region, how the Tibetan Plateau (TP) responds to global warming would have significant implications for its ecological environment and sustainable socio-economic development. A crucial tool for assessing fine-scale climate impacts is the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 dataset. Thi...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Human and ecological risk assessment Vol. 29; no. 9-10; pp. 1261 - 1275
Main Authors: Airiken, Muhadaisi, Li, Shuangcheng, Abulaiti, Abudurexiti, Wang, Yueyao, Zhang, Lijin
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Boca Raton Taylor & Francis 26-11-2023
Taylor & Francis Ltd
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Summary:As a climate-sensitive and fragile region, how the Tibetan Plateau (TP) responds to global warming would have significant implications for its ecological environment and sustainable socio-economic development. A crucial tool for assessing fine-scale climate impacts is the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 dataset. This study utilized the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 dataset to determine changes in extreme temperature and precipitation indices under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) relative to the baseline warming by 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C. By using the Theil-Sen median trend and Mann-Kendall test methods, the research concluded that warming trends and increased humidity were on an upward trend. These changes led to amplified fluctuations in the frequency, intensity, and duration of multiple extreme indices.
ISSN:1080-7039
1549-7860
DOI:10.1080/10807039.2023.2260493