On the Effect of Intermittent Nonstationarity of Long-Term Changes in the River Runoff
Based on the analysis of 162 longest (more than 100 years each) series of annual, maximal, and minimal runoff in rivers of different genetic types, the regularities of changes in the degree of stationarity/nonstationarity of the runoff changes are studied. It is shown that changes in the average ann...
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| Published in: | Water resources Vol. 45; no. Suppl 2; pp. 99 - 109 |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
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Pleiades Publishing
01-12-2018
Springer Nature B.V |
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| Abstract | Based on the analysis of 162 longest (more than 100 years each) series of annual, maximal, and minimal runoff in rivers of different genetic types, the regularities of changes in the degree of stationarity/nonstationarity of the runoff changes are studied. It is shown that changes in the average annual and maximum runoff in the rivers of the “main” type—non-effluent, unregulated, as well as in the rivers of glacial feeding—throughout the period of observations generally correspond to the stationarity hypothesis. On the contrary, for a significant part of the runoff series of all types of effluents and regulated rivers, as well as the minimum flow of rivers of the main type, the alternation of segments of realizations of stationary and nonstationary processes with respect to mathematical expectation, is typical. To describe this effect, we propose the concept of “intermittent” nonstationarity. The nonstationarity parameters of the indicated type are compared with the nonstationarity parameters of the monotonous type. |
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| AbstractList | Based on the analysis of 162 longest (more than 100 years each) series of annual, maximal, and minimal runoff in rivers of different genetic types, the regularities of changes in the degree of stationarity/nonstationarity of the runoff changes are studied. It is shown that changes in the average annual and maximum runoff in the rivers of the “main” type—non-effluent, unregulated, as well as in the rivers of glacial feeding—throughout the period of observations generally correspond to the stationarity hypothesis. On the contrary, for a significant part of the runoff series of all types of effluents and regulated rivers, as well as the minimum flow of rivers of the main type, the alternation of segments of realizations of stationary and nonstationary processes with respect to mathematical expectation, is typical. To describe this effect, we propose the concept of “intermittent” nonstationarity. The nonstationarity parameters of the indicated type are compared with the nonstationarity parameters of the monotonous type. |
| Author | Solomonova, I. V. Yushkov, V. P. Dobrovolski, S. G. |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: I. V. surname: Solomonova fullname: Solomonova, I. V. organization: Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences – sequence: 2 givenname: V. P. surname: Yushkov fullname: Yushkov, V. P. organization: Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences – sequence: 3 givenname: S. G. surname: Dobrovolski fullname: Dobrovolski, S. G. email: sgdo@bk.ru organization: Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences |
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| Copyright | Pleiades Publishing, Ltd. 2018 Water Resources is a copyright of Springer, (2018). All Rights Reserved. |
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| References_xml | – ident: 8012_CR6 – ident: 8012_CR16 – ident: 8012_CR19 – ident: 8012_CR17 – volume-title: Korrelyatsionnaya teoriya statsionarnykh sluchaynykh funktsiy. S primerami iz meteorologii (Correlation Theory of Stationary Random Functions with Examples from Meteorology) year: 1981 ident: 8012_CR21 contributor: fullname: A.M. Yaglom – ident: 8012_CR5 – volume-title: An introduction to the theory of stationary random functions year: 1962 ident: 8012_CR20 contributor: fullname: A.M. Yaglom – volume: 13 start-page: 183 year: 1975 ident: 8012_CR18 publication-title: Rev. Geophys. Space Phys. doi: 10.1029/RG013i001p00183 contributor: fullname: T.J. Ulrych – ident: 8012_CR13 – volume-title: Basic results year: 1987 ident: 8012_CR22 contributor: fullname: A.M. Yaglom – volume-title: Mnogoletniye kolebaniya rechnogo stoka. Zakonomernosti i regulirovaniye (Long-Term Variations of River Runoff: Regularities and Regulation) year: 1976 ident: 8012_CR14 contributor: fullname: D.Ya. Ratkovich – volume-title: Modeli vremennykh ryadov (Models of Time Series) year: 1992 ident: 8012_CR12 contributor: fullname: V.Ye. Privalsky – volume: V start-page: 473 year: 1976 ident: 8012_CR7 publication-title: Tellus contributor: fullname: K. Hasselmann – ident: 8012_CR8 doi: 10.1007/978-94-009-8514-8_28 – volume-title: Global’nyye izmeneniya rechnogo stoka (Global River Runoff Variations) year: 2011 ident: 8012_CR3 contributor: fullname: S.G. Dobrovolski – volume-title: Stochastic climate theory, Heidelberg et al. year: 2000 ident: 8012_CR2 doi: 10.1007/978-3-662-04119-2 contributor: fullname: S.G. Dobrovolski – ident: 8012_CR11 – volume-title: Statisticheskiye metody analiza gidrometeorologicheskoy informatsii (Statistical Methods for the Analysis of Hydrometeorological Data) year: 2008 ident: 8012_CR10 contributor: fullname: V.N. Malinin – ident: 8012_CR1 – volume-title: Aktual’nyye problemy vodoobespecheniya (Urgent Problems of Water Supply) year: 2003 ident: 8012_CR15 contributor: fullname: D.Ya. Ratkovich – volume-title: Global’naya gidrologiya (Global Hydrology) year: 2017 ident: 8012_CR4 contributor: fullname: S.G. Dobrovolski – volume-title: Osnovnyye ponyatiya teorii veroyatnostey (Principles of Probability Theory) year: 1974 ident: 8012_CR9 contributor: fullname: A.N. Kolmogorov |
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| SubjectTerms | Annual Aquatic Pollution Earth and Environmental Science Earth Sciences Effluents Glacial periods Hydrogeology Hydrology/Water Resources Long-term changes Maximum runoff Minimum flow Parameters Regulated rivers River discharge River flow River regulations River runoff Rivers Runoff Waste Water Technology Water Management Water Pollution Control |
| Title | On the Effect of Intermittent Nonstationarity of Long-Term Changes in the River Runoff |
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