Multi-hazard assessment of increased flooding hazard due to earthquake-induced damage to the natural drainage system

•Probabilistic multi-hazard simulation framework for quantification of increased flooding hazard (IFH).•The methodology allows modelling earthquake-altered fluvial flooding.•A part of christchurch (New Zealand) prone to heavy fluvial flooding was selected as case study.•Earthquake-induced damage to...

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Published in:Reliability engineering & system safety Vol. 237; p. 109348
Main Authors: Cavalieri, Francesco, Franchin, Paolo, Giovinazzi, Sonia
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier Ltd 01-09-2023
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Abstract •Probabilistic multi-hazard simulation framework for quantification of increased flooding hazard (IFH).•The methodology allows modelling earthquake-altered fluvial flooding.•A part of christchurch (New Zealand) prone to heavy fluvial flooding was selected as case study.•Earthquake-induced damage to the natural drainage system may have a non-negligible impact on fluvial flooding.•Identified the role played by change of river section profile, ground subsidence/uplift and damage to river levees. Major earthquakes can extensively modify the natural and built environment, possibly leading to Increased Flooding Hazard (IFH). This term indicates greater flood heights and/or extents in response to future rainfall events compared to pre-quake scenarios, and therefore higher probability for impacts on buildings and lifelines. This work illustrates a probabilistic multi-hazard framework for assessing to what extent earthquake-induced damage to the natural drainage system (i.e. rivers and open channels) of a city, in terms of change of riverbed, damage to levees and ground subsidence/uplift, could contribute to the IFH phenomenon. The proposed methodology, which allows modelling earthquake-altered pluvial and fluvial flooding, was implemented as an additional module within a recently developed open-source simulation tool. Results are presented in terms of cumulative distribution functions for increased flood height, flooded area and overflow volume, as well as inundation maps to be used for emergency management and mitigation planning purposes. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology to assess IFH is reality-checked using Christchurch, New Zealand, as a test-bed, focussing, in particular, on a portion of Christchurch's natural drainage system.
AbstractList •Probabilistic multi-hazard simulation framework for quantification of increased flooding hazard (IFH).•The methodology allows modelling earthquake-altered fluvial flooding.•A part of christchurch (New Zealand) prone to heavy fluvial flooding was selected as case study.•Earthquake-induced damage to the natural drainage system may have a non-negligible impact on fluvial flooding.•Identified the role played by change of river section profile, ground subsidence/uplift and damage to river levees. Major earthquakes can extensively modify the natural and built environment, possibly leading to Increased Flooding Hazard (IFH). This term indicates greater flood heights and/or extents in response to future rainfall events compared to pre-quake scenarios, and therefore higher probability for impacts on buildings and lifelines. This work illustrates a probabilistic multi-hazard framework for assessing to what extent earthquake-induced damage to the natural drainage system (i.e. rivers and open channels) of a city, in terms of change of riverbed, damage to levees and ground subsidence/uplift, could contribute to the IFH phenomenon. The proposed methodology, which allows modelling earthquake-altered pluvial and fluvial flooding, was implemented as an additional module within a recently developed open-source simulation tool. Results are presented in terms of cumulative distribution functions for increased flood height, flooded area and overflow volume, as well as inundation maps to be used for emergency management and mitigation planning purposes. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology to assess IFH is reality-checked using Christchurch, New Zealand, as a test-bed, focussing, in particular, on a portion of Christchurch's natural drainage system.
ArticleNumber 109348
Author Giovinazzi, Sonia
Franchin, Paolo
Cavalieri, Francesco
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  givenname: Francesco
  orcidid: 0000-0002-4764-3738
  surname: Cavalieri
  fullname: Cavalieri, Francesco
  email: francesco.cavalieri@eucentre.it
  organization: European Centre for Training and Research in Earthquake Engineering (EUCENTRE), Via Adolfo Ferrata 1, 27100 Pavia, Italy
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  givenname: Paolo
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  organization: Department of Structural and Geotechnical Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Gramsci 53, 00197 Rome, Italy
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  givenname: Sonia
  surname: Giovinazzi
  fullname: Giovinazzi, Sonia
  email: sonia.giovinazzi@enea.it
  organization: ENEA, Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development, Via Anguillarese 301, 00123 Rome, Italy
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Keywords Digital elevation model (DEM)
Uncertainty
Ground subsidence/uplift
Overflow
Monte Carlo simulation
River levees
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Snippet •Probabilistic multi-hazard simulation framework for quantification of increased flooding hazard (IFH).•The methodology allows modelling earthquake-altered...
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StartPage 109348
SubjectTerms Digital elevation model (DEM)
Ground subsidence/uplift
Monte Carlo simulation
Overflow
River levees
Uncertainty
Title Multi-hazard assessment of increased flooding hazard due to earthquake-induced damage to the natural drainage system
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