Sensitivity Study of North Atlantic Summer Cyclone Activity in Dynamical Downscaled Simulations

• Published in: Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres Vol. 124; no. 14; pp. 7599 - 7616
• Main Authors: Zhang, Minghong, Perrie, William, Long, Zhenxia
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Washington Blackwell Publishing Ltd 27-07-2019
• Subjects: Atmospheric moisture; Boundary layers; Cloud parameterization; Clouds; Cyclogenesis; Cyclone intensities; Cyclone tracks; Cyclones; Cyclonic activity; dynamical downscaling; Experiments; Geophysics; Heating; North Atlantic cyclones; Parameterization; physical parameterizations Polar WRF; Planetary boundary layer; Potential vorticity; Reanalysis; Sensitivity; Simulation; Static stability; Summer; Vertical mixing; Vertical stability; Vorticity; Weather forecasting
• ISSN: 2169-897X; 2169-8996
• DOI: 10.1029/2018JD029766

We conduct a sensitivity study of the North Atlantic cyclone climate, with respect to the cumulus parameterization (CP) and planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes, applied in the dynamical downscaling of HadGEM2‐ES simulations using Polar Weather Research and Forecasting. A set of seven sensitivity experiments is conducted for 1979–2004 using these CP and PBL schemes. CP schemes are Kain‐Fritsch (KF), Zhang‐McFarlane (ZM), and the modified Tiedtke (TZ). PBL schemes are the local Mellor‐Yamada‐Janjić (MYJ), Mellor‐Yamada‐Nakanishi‐Niino Level 2.5 (MYNN2) schemes, and nonlocal Yonsei University (YSU) scheme. In terms of cyclone intensities, our results show that the fine‐resolution Weather Research and Forecasting simulations capture higher intensities of summer cyclones than the HadGEM2‐ES results, in better agreement with the ERA‐Interim reanalysis, and exhibit a weak sensitivity to CP and PBL schemes. However, the frequency of summer cyclones is quite sensitive to CP and PBL schemes. Four KF experiments suggest comparable numbers of cyclone tracks as derived from ERA‐Interim reanalysis data, which is about 21% more than the ZM‐MYJ or TZ experiments and 11% more than HadGEM2‐ES results. Larger tropospheric potential vorticity and more cyclogenesis in the KF simulation than in TZ or ZM simulations are associated with different cyclone triggering functions and different vertical distributions of heating. We also find increased cyclone activities over the North Atlantic in the YSU or MYNN2 schemes compared to MYJ, but results also depend on the KF CP scheme. This can be attributed to stronger vertical mixing in YSU and MYNN schemes, resulting in smaller static stability and enhanced atmospheric moisture.
Key Points
The frequency of North Atlantic cyclones exhibits large sensitivity to the cumulus (CP) and planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes
The intensity of North Atlantic summer cyclones is insensitive to the CP and PBL schemes
Lapse rate of potential temperature associated with CP, static stability, and turbulent moisture in the PBL has impact on cyclone activities