The age patterns of severe malaria syndromes in sub-Saharan Africa across a range of transmission intensities and seasonality settings

• Published in: Malaria journal Vol. 9; no. 1; p. 282
• Main Authors: Roca-Feltrer, Arantxa, Carneiro, Ilona, Smith, Lucy, Schellenberg, Joanna Rm Armstrong, Greenwood, Brian, Schellenberg, David
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: England BioMed Central Ltd 13-10-2010; BioMed Central; BMC
• Subjects: Adolescent; Africa South of the Sahara - epidemiology; Age; Age Factors; Age groups; Anaemia; Anemia - epidemiology; Anemia - pathology; Child; Child, Preschool; Disease transmission; Epidemiology; Health aspects; Human diseases; Humans; Infant; Infant, Newborn; Literature reviews; Malaria; Malaria, Cerebral - epidemiology; Malaria, Falciparum - complications; Malaria, Falciparum - epidemiology; Malaria, Falciparum - pathology; Malaria, Falciparum - transmission; Methods; Parasites; Plasmodium falciparum; Probability theory; Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Adult - epidemiology; Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Adult - parasitology; Risk factors; Seasonal variations; Seasonality; Seasons; Symptoms; Vector-borne diseases; Africa South of the Sahara; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa
• DOI: 10.1186/1475-2875-9-282
• EISSN: 1475-2875

A greater understanding of the relationship between transmission intensity, seasonality and the age-pattern of malaria is needed to guide appropriate targeting of malaria interventions in different epidemiological settings.
A systematic literature review identified studies which reported the age of paediatric hospital admissions with cerebral malaria (CM), severe malarial anaemia (SMA), or respiratory distress (RD). Study sites were categorized into a 3 × 2 matrix of Plasmodium falciparum transmission intensity and seasonality. Probability distributions were fitted by maximum likelihood methods, and best fitting models were used to estimate median ages and to represent graphically the age-pattern of each outcome for each transmission category in the matrix.
A shift in the burden of CM towards younger age groups was seen with increasing intensity of transmission, but this was not the case for SMA or RD. Sites with 'no marked seasonality' showed more evidence of skewed age-patterns compared to areas of 'marked seasonality' for all three severe malaria syndromes.
Although the peak age of CM will increase as transmission intensity decreases in Africa, more than 75% of all paediatric hospital admissions of severe malaria are likely to remain in under five year olds in most epidemiological settings.