Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster

California Management Review, vol. 51, no. 2, Winter 2009, 170-193 The Economist recently reported that infrastructure spending is the largest it is ever been as a share of world GDP. With $22 trillion in projected investments over the next ten years in emerging economies alone, the magazine calls i...

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Main Authors: Flyvbjerg, Bent, Garbuio, Massimo, Lovallo, Dan
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: 28-03-2013
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Abstract California Management Review, vol. 51, no. 2, Winter 2009, 170-193 The Economist recently reported that infrastructure spending is the largest it is ever been as a share of world GDP. With $22 trillion in projected investments over the next ten years in emerging economies alone, the magazine calls it the "biggest investment boom in history." The efficiency of infrastructure planning and execution is therefore particularly important at present. Unfortunately, the private sector, the public sector and private/public sector partnerships have a dismal record of delivering on large infrastructure cost and performance promises. This paper explains why and how to solve the problem.
AbstractList California Management Review, vol. 51, no. 2, Winter 2009, 170-193 The Economist recently reported that infrastructure spending is the largest it is ever been as a share of world GDP. With $22 trillion in projected investments over the next ten years in emerging economies alone, the magazine calls it the "biggest investment boom in history." The efficiency of infrastructure planning and execution is therefore particularly important at present. Unfortunately, the private sector, the public sector and private/public sector partnerships have a dismal record of delivering on large infrastructure cost and performance promises. This paper explains why and how to solve the problem.
Author Lovallo, Dan
Garbuio, Massimo
Flyvbjerg, Bent
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BackLink https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1303.7403$$DView paper in arXiv
https://doi.org/10.1225/CMR423$$DView published paper (Access to full text may be restricted)
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Snippet California Management Review, vol. 51, no. 2, Winter 2009, 170-193 The Economist recently reported that infrastructure spending is the largest it is ever been...
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SubjectTerms Quantitative Finance - General Finance
Title Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster
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