A machine learning approach to predict drilling rate using petrophysical and mud logging data

Predicting the drilling rate of penetration (ROP) is one approach to optimizing drilling performance. However, as ROP behavior is unique to specific geological conditions its application is not straightforward. Moreover, ROP is typically affected by various operational factors (e.g. bit type, weight...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:	Earth science informatics Vol. 12; no. 3; pp. 319 - 339
Main Authors:	Sabah, Mohammad, Talebkeikhah, Mohsen, Wood, David A., Khosravanian, Rasool, Anemangely, Mohammad, Younesi, Alireza
Format:	Journal Article
Language:	English
Published:	Berlin/Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg 01-09-2019 Springer Nature B.V
Subjects:	Algorithms Artificial intelligence Artificial neural networks Basis functions Data logging Data mining Drilling machines (tools) Drilling muds Drilling rate Earth and Environmental Science Earth Sciences Earth System Sciences Flow rates Flow velocity Flow-density-speed relationships Fluid flow Gamma rays Genetic algorithms Geology Information Systems Applications (incl.Internet) Learning theory Machine learning Mathematical models Multilayers Neural networks Ontology Particle swarm optimization Pore pressure Pore water pressure Predictions Radial basis function Research Article Simulation and Modeling Space Exploration and Astronautics Space Sciences (including Extraterrestrial Physics Support vector machines Wave velocity Weight Feature selection ranking Machine-learning predictions Rate of penetration Data mining ROP variables Data filtering
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Summary:	Predicting the drilling rate of penetration (ROP) is one approach to optimizing drilling performance. However, as ROP behavior is unique to specific geological conditions its application is not straightforward. Moreover, ROP is typically affected by various operational factors (e.g. bit type, weight-on-bit, rotation rate, etc.) as well as the geological characteristics of the rocks being penetrated. This makes ROP prediction an intricate and multi-faceted problem. Here we compare data mining methods with several machine learning algorithms to evaluate their accuracy and effectiveness in predicting ROP. The algorithms considered are: artificial neural networks (ANN) applying a multi-layer perceptron (MLP); ANN applying a radial basis function (RBF); support vector regression (SVR), and an hybrid MLP trained using a particle swarm optimization algorithm (MLP-PSO). Data preparation prior to executing the algorithms involves applying a Savitzky–Golay (SG) smoothing filter to remove noise from petrophysical well-logs and drilling data from the mud-logs. A genetic algorithm is applied to tune the machine learning algorithms by identifying and ranking the most influential input variables on ROP. This tuning routine identified and selected eight input variables which have the greatest impact on ROP. These are: weight on bit, bit rotational speed, pump flow rate, pump pressure, pore pressure, gamma ray, density log and sonic wave velocity. Results showed that the machine learning algorithms evaluated all predicted ROP accurately. Their performance was improved when applied to filtered data rather than raw well-log data. The MLP-PSO model as a hybrid ANN demonstrated superior accuracy and effectiveness compared to the other ROP-prediction algorithms evaluated, but its performance is rivalled by the SVR model.
ISSN:	1865-0473 1865-0481
DOI:	10.1007/s12145-019-00381-4