Search Results - "Widlansky, Matthew J"

Increase in sea level variability with ocean warming associated with the nonlinear thermal expansion of seawater by Widlansky, Matthew J., Long, Xiaoyu, Schloesser, Fabian

“…Sea level variability increasingly contributes to coastal flooding and erosion as global sea levels rise, partly due to the thermal expansion of seawater,…”
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Multi-year predictability of climate, drought, and wildfire in southwestern North America by Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu, Timmermann, Axel, Widlansky, Matthew J., Balmaseda, Magdalena A., Stott, Lowell

“…Past severe droughts over North America have led to massive water shortages and increases in wildfire frequency. Triggering sources for multi-year droughts in…”
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More extreme swings of the South Pacific convergence zone due to greenhouse warming by Cai, Wenju, Lengaigne, Matthieu, Borlace, Simon, Collins, Matthew, Cowan, Tim, McPhaden, Michael J., Timmermann, Axel, Power, Scott, Brown, Josephine, Menkes, Christophe, Ngari, Arona, Vincent, Emmanuel M., Widlansky, Matthew J.

“…The South Pacific convergence zone is a region of high precipitation spanning a vast swath of the Pacific Ocean that can shift northwards and become…”
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A Drift-Free Decadal Climate Prediction System for the Community Earth System Model by Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu, Timmermann, Axel, Widlansky, Matthew J., Zhang, Shaoqing, Balmaseda, Magdalena A.

“…Performance of a newly developed decadal climate prediction system is examined using the low-resolution Community Earth System Model (CESM). To identify key…”
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Assessment of 21st Century Changing Sea Surface Temperature, Rainfall, and Sea Surface Height Patterns in the Tropical Pacific Islands Using CMIP6 Greenhouse Warming Projections by Dhage, Laxmikant, Widlansky, Matthew J.

“…Tropical Pacific Islands face unknown rates of future warming due to increased greenhouse gas emissions, but almost certain changing climate stresses…”
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On the location and orientation of the South Pacific Convergence Zone by Widlansky, Matthew J, Webster, Peter J, Hoyos, Carlos D

“…Three semi-permanent cloud bands exist in the Southern Hemisphere extending southeastward from the equator, through the tropics, and into the subtropics. The…”
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Future extreme sea level seesaws in the tropical Pacific by Widlansky, Matthew J, Timmermann, Axel, Cai, Wenju

“…Global mean sea levels are projected to gradually rise in response to greenhouse warming. However, on shorter time scales, modes of natural climate variability…”
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Multimodel Ensemble Sea Level Forecasts for Tropical Pacific Islands by Widlansky, Matthew J., Marra, John J., Chowdhury, Md. Rashed, Stephens, Scott A., Miles, Elaine R., Fauchereau, Nicolas, Spillman, Claire M., Smith, Grant, Beard, Grant, Wells, Judith

“…Sea level anomaly extremes impact tropical Pacific Ocean islands, often with too little warning to mitigate risks. With El Niño, such as the strong 2015/16…”
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Changes in South Pacific rainfall bands in a warming climate by Widlansky, Matthew J., Timmermann, Axel, Stein, Karl, McGregor, Shayne, Schneider, Niklas, England, Matthew H., Lengaigne, Matthieu, Cai, Wenju

“…The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) is the largest rainband in the Southern Hemisphere and provides most of the rainfall to southwest Pacific island…”
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The Role of Tropical–Extratropical Interaction and Synoptic Variability in Maintaining the South Pacific Convergence Zone in CMIP5 Models by Niznik, Matthew J., Lintner, Benjamin R., Matthews, Adrian J., Widlansky, Matthew J.

“…The South Pacific convergence zone (SPCZ) is simulated as too zonal a feature in the current generation of climate models, including those in phase 5 of the…”
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Improved capabilities of global ocean reanalyses for analysing sea level variability near the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico Coastal U.S by Feng, Xue, Widlansky, Matthew J., Balmaseda, Magdalena A., Zuo, Hao, Spillman, Claire M., Smith, Grant, Long, Xiaoyu, Thompson, Philip, Kumar, Arun, Dusek, Gregory, Sweet, William

“…Realistic representation of monthly sea level anomalies in coastal regions has been a challenge for global ocean reanalyses. This is especially the case in…”
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Quantifying the Benefits of Altimetry Assimilation in Seasonal Forecasts of the Upper Ocean by Widlansky, Matthew J., Long, Xiaoyu, Balmaseda, Magdalena A., Spillman, Claire M., Smith, Grant, Zuo, Hao, Yin, Yonghong, Alves, Oscar, Kumar, Arun

“…Satellite altimetry measurements of sea surface height provide near‐global ocean state observations on sub‐monthly time scales, which are not always utilized…”
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Seasonal Forecasting Skill of Sea‐Level Anomalies in a Multi‐Model Prediction Framework by Long, Xiaoyu, Widlansky, Matthew J., Spillman, Claire M., Kumar, Arun, Balmaseda, Magdalena, Thompson, Philip R., Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu, Smith, Grant A., Huang, Bohua, Shin, Chul‐Su, Merrifield, Mark A., Sweet, William V., Leuliette, Eric, Annamalai, H. S., Marra, John J., Mitchum, Gary

“…Coastal high water level events are increasing in frequency and severity as global sea‐levels rise, and are exposing coastlines to risks of flooding. Yet,…”
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Rapid increases and extreme months in projections of United States high-tide flooding by Thompson, Philip R., Widlansky, Matthew J., Hamlington, Benjamin D., Merrifield, Mark A., Marra, John J., Mitchum, Gary T., Sweet, William

“…Coastal locations around the United States, particularly along the Atlantic coast, are experiencing recurrent flooding at high tide. Continued sea-level rise…”
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Higher Sea Levels at Hawaii Caused by Strong El Niño and Weak Trade Winds by Long, Xiaoyu, Widlansky, Matthew J., Schloesser, Fabian, Thompson, Philip R., Annamalai, H., Merrifield, Mark A., Yoon, Hyang

“…Hawaii experienced record-high sea levels during 2017, which followed the 2015 strong El Niño and coincided with weak trade winds in the tropical northeastern…”
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Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of North American coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments by Jacox, Michael G., Alexander, Michael A., Siedlecki, Samantha, Chen, Ke, Kwon, Young-Oh, Brodie, Stephanie, Ortiz, Ivonne, Tommasi, Desiree, Widlansky, Matthew J., Barrie, Daniel, Capotondi, Antonietta, Cheng, Wei, Di Lorenzo, Emanuele, Edwards, Christopher, Fiechter, Jerome, Fratantoni, Paula, Hazen, Elliott L., Hermann, Albert J., Kumar, Arun, Miller, Arthur J., Pirhalla, Douglas, Pozo Buil, Mercedes, Ray, Sulagna, Sheridan, Scott C., Subramanian, Aneesh, Thompson, Philip, Thorne, Lesley, Annamalai, Hariharasubramanian, Aydin, Kerim, Bograd, Steven J., Griffis, Roger B., Kearney, Kelly, Kim, Hyemi, Mariotti, Annarita, Merrifield, Mark, Rykaczewski, Ryan

“…•Marine ecosystem forecasts can aid ocean resource and coastal community management.•A range of statistical and dynamical forecast methods can be…”
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An Interhemispheric Tropical Sea Level Seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa by Widlansky, Matthew J., Timmermann, Axel, McGregor, Shayne, Stuecker, Malte F., Cai, Wenju

“…During strong El Niño events, sea level drops around some tropical western Pacific islands by up to 20–30 cm. Such events (referred to astaimasain Samoa)…”
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A novel statistical approach to predict seasonal high tide flooding by Dusek, Gregory, Sweet, William V., Widlansky, Matthew J., Thompson, Philip R., Marra, John J.

“…Sea level rise is increasing the frequency of high tide flooding in coastal communities across the United States. Although the occurrence and severity of…”
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THE CURIOUS CASE OF THE EL NIÑO THAT NEVER HAPPENED: A Perspective from 40 Years of Progress in Climate Research and Forecasting by McPhaden, Michael J., Timmermann, Axel, Widlansky, Matthew J., Balmaseda, Magdalena A., Stockdale, Timothy N.

“…Forty years ago, Klaus Wyrtki of the University of Hawaii launched an “El Niño Watch” expedition to the eastern equatorial Pacific to document oceanographic…”
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A Statistical Model for Frequency of Coastal Flooding in Honolulu, Hawaii, During the 21st Century by Thompson, Philip R., Widlansky, Matthew J., Merrifield, Mark A., Becker, Janet M., Marra, John J.

“…The state of Hawaii and city of Honolulu experienced an unprecedented number of minor flooding episodes during 2017 due to the combination of seasonal high…”
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