Search Results - "Wheatcroft, Edward"
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1
Assessing the Significance of Model Selection in Ecology
Published in European journal of ecology (31-12-2020)“…Model Selection is a key part of many ecological studies, with Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) being by far the most commonly used technique for this…”
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2
The Role of Low Temperature Waste Heat Recovery in Achieving 2050 Goals: A Policy Positioning Paper
Published in Energies (Basel) (01-04-2020)“…Urban waste heat recovery, in which low temperature heat from urban sources is recovered for use in a district heat network, has a great deal of potential in…”
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3
Contracts, Business Models and Barriers to Investing in Low Temperature District Heating Projects
Published in Applied sciences (01-08-2019)“…Approximately 1.2 EJ of energy are potentially available for recovery each year from urban heat sources in the EU. This corresponds to more than 10 percent of…”
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4
Model-Based Contract Design for Low Energy Waste Heat Contracts: The Route to Pricing
Published in Energies (Basel) (01-06-2021)“…Urban Waste Heat Recovery, heat recovery from low-temperature urban sources such as data centres and metro systems, has a great deal of potential in terms of…”
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5
A profitable model for predicting the over/under market in football
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-07-2020)“…The over/under 2.5 goals betting market allows gamblers to bet on whether the total number of goals in a football match will exceed 2.5. In this paper, a set…”
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6
Interpreting the skill score form of forecast performance metrics
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-04-2019)“…Performance measures of point forecasts are expressed commonly as skill scores, in which the performance gain from using one forecasting system over another is…”
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7
Forecasting football matches by predicting match statistics
Published in Journal of sports analytics (05-08-2021)“…This paper considers the use of observed and predicted match statistics as inputs to forecasts for the outcomes of football matches. It is shown that, were it…”
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8
Comparing district heating options under uncertainty using stochastic ordering
Published in Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks (01-06-2022)“…District heating is expected to play an important role in the decarbonisation of the energy sector in the coming years since low carbon sources such as waste…”
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9
Effects of weather and hunting on wild reindeer population dynamics in Hardangervidda National Park
Published in Population ecology (01-01-2020)“…Wild reindeer have a range that extends across the circumpolar region. In the last few decades, however, populations of wild reindeer have been on the decline…”
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10
Probability distortion with applications to investment bias
Published in Journal of statistics & management systems (03-04-2021)“…Cognitive bias is thought to play an important role in cost and time overrun in infrastructure projects. It is common for project appraisers to make overly…”
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Journal Article -
11
Assessing the Significance of Model Selection in Ecology
Published 16-04-2020“…Model Selection is a key part of many ecological studies, with Akaike's Information Criterion the most commonly used technique. Typically, a number of…”
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Journal Article -
12
Forecasting football matches by predicting match statistics
Published 24-01-2020“…This paper considers the use of observed and predicted match statistics as inputs to forecasts of the outcomes of football matches. It is shown that, were it…”
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Journal Article -
13
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of football matches: The case against the Ranked Probability Score
Published 23-08-2019“…A scoring rule is a function of a probabilistic forecast and a corresponding outcome that is used to evaluate forecast performance. A wide range of scoring…”
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14
Improving predictability of the future by grasping probability less tightly
Published 01-01-2015“…In the last 30 years, whilst there has been an explosion in our ability to make quantative predictions, less progress has been made in terms of building useful…”
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Dissertation -
15
A Probabilistic Model for Predicting Shot Success in Football
Published 06-01-2021“…Football forecasting models traditionally rate teams on past match results, that is based on the number of goals scored. Goals, however, involve a high element…”
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16
Comparing district heating options under uncertainty using stochastic ordering
Published 09-03-2020“…District heating is a network of pipes through which heat is delivered from a centralised source. It is expected to play an important role in the…”
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17
Majorisation as a theory for uncertainty
Published 21-07-2020“…Majorisation, also called rearrangement inequalities, yields a type of stochastic ordering in which two or more distributions can be compared. In this paper we…”
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18
The role of low temperature waste heat recovery in achieving 2050 goals: a policy positioning paper
Published 13-12-2019“…Urban waste heat recovery, in which low temperature heat from urban sources is recovered for use in a district heat network, has a great deal of potential in…”
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Journal Article -
19
The Scenario Culture
Published 27-11-2019“…Scenario Analysis is a risk assessment tool that aims to evaluate the impact of a small number of distinct plausible future scenarios. In this paper, we…”
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Journal Article