Search Results - "Watson, Mark"

IDENTIFICATION AND ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC CAUSAL EFFECTS IN MACROECONOMICS USING EXTERNAL INSTRUMENTS by Stock, James H., Watson, Mark W.

“…External sources of as-if randomness — that is, external instruments — can be used to identify the dynamic causal effects of macroeconomic shocks. One method…”
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Two-dimensional turbulence in a massless fluid with a relativistic lattice Boltzmann model by Watson, Mark

“…We investigate a relativistic adaptation of the lattice Boltzmann method that reproduces the equations of motion for a turbulent, two-dimensional, massless…”
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Presidents and the US Economy: An Econometric Exploration by Blinder, Alan S., Watson, Mark W.

“…The US economy has performed better when the president of the United States is a Democrat rather than a Republican, almost regardless of how one measures…”
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Disentangling the Channels of the 2007–09 Recession [with Comments and Discussion] by STOCK, JAMES H., WATSON, MARK W., BLINDER, ALAN S., SIMS, CHRISTOPHER A.

“…This paper examines the macroeconomic dynamics of the 2007–09 recession in the United States and the subsequent slow recovery. Using a dynamic factor model…”
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Inflation Persistence, the NAIRU, and the Great Recession by Watson, Mark W.

“…The rate of inflation fell far less over the period 2007-2013 than in the period 1979-1985 despite similar large increases in the unemployment rate. This paper…”
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Generalized Shrinkage Methods for Forecasting Using Many Predictors by Stock, James H., Watson, Mark W.

“…This article provides a simple shrinkage representation that describes the operational characteristics of various forecasting methods designed for a large…”
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Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast? by STOCK, JAMES H., WATSON, MARK W.

“…We examine whether the U.S. rate of price inflation has become harder to forecast and, to the extent that it has, what changes in the inflation process have…”
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Heteroskedasticity-Robust Standard Errors for Fixed Effects Panel Data Regression by Stock, James H., Watson, Mark W.

“…The conventional heteroskedasticity-robust (HR) variance matrix estimator for cross-sectional regression (with or without a degrees-of-freedom adjustment),…”
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NEARLY OPTIMAL TESTS WHEN A NUISANCE PARAMETER IS PRESENT UNDER THE NULL HYPOTHESIS by Elliott, Graham, Müller, Ulrich K., Watson, Mark W.

“…This paper considers nonstandard hypothesis testing problems that involve a nuisance parameter. We establish an upper bound on the weighted average power of…”
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N‑Electron Valence State Perturbation Theory Based on a Density Matrix Renormalization Group Reference Function, with Applications to the Chromium Dimer and a Trimer Model of Poly(p‑Phenylenevinylene) by Guo, Sheng, Watson, Mark A, Hu, Weifeng, Sun, Qiming, Chan, Garnet Kin-Lic

“…The strongly contracted variant of second-order N-electron valence state perturbation theory (NEVPT2) is an efficient perturbative method to treat dynamic…”
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HAR Inference: Recommendations for Practice by Lazarus, Eben, Lewis, Daniel J., Stock, James H., Watson, Mark W.

“…The classic papers by Newey and West (1987) and Andrews (1991) spurred a large body of work on how to improve heteroscedasticity- and autocorrelation-robust…”
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Inference in Structural Vector Autoregressions identified with an external instrument by Montiel Olea, José L., Stock, James H., Watson, Mark W.

“…This paper studies Structural Vector Autoregressions in which a structural shock of interest (e.g., an oil supply shock) is identified using an external…”
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High-mobility Ambipolar Transistors and High-gain Inverters from a Donor-Acceptor Copolymer Semiconductor by Kim, Felix Sunjoo, Guo, Xugang, Watson, Mark D., Jenekhe, Samson A.

“…High‐performance ambipolar transistors and inverters are demonstrated using a new donor–acceptor copolymer semiconductor. The ambipolar transistors show…”
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Spatial Unit Roots and Spurious Regression by Müller, Ulrich K., Watson, Mark W.

“…This paper proposes a model for, and investigates the consequences of, strong spatial dependence in economic variables. Our findings echo those of the…”
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Naphthalene Diimide-Based Polymer Semiconductors: Synthesis, Structure–Property Correlations, and n-Channel and Ambipolar Field-Effect Transistors by Guo, Xugang, Kim, Felix Sunjoo, Seger, Mark J, Jenekhe, Samson A, Watson, Mark D

“…A series of nine alternating donor–acceptor copolymer semiconductors based on naphthalene diimide (NDI) acceptor and seven different thiophene moieties with…”
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CORE INFLATION AND TREND INFLATION by Stock, James H., Watson, Mark W.

“…This paper examines empirically whether the measurement of trend inflation can be improved by using disaggregated data on sectoral inflation to construct…”
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Comprehensive evidence implies a higher social cost of CO2 by Rennert, Kevin, Errickson, Frank, Prest, Brian C., Rennels, Lisa, Newell, Richard G., Pizer, William, Kingdon, Cora, Wingenroth, Jordan, Cooke, Roger, Parthum, Bryan, Smith, David, Cromar, Kevin, Diaz, Delavane, Moore, Frances C., Müller, Ulrich K., Plevin, Richard J., Raftery, Adrian E., Ševčíková, Hana, Sheets, Hannah, Stock, James H., Tan, Tammy, Watson, Mark, Wong, Tony E., Anthoff, David

“…The social cost of carbon dioxide (SC-CO 2 ) measures the monetized value of the damages to society caused by an incremental metric tonne of CO 2 emissions and…”
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A conserved role of the insulin-like signaling pathway in diet-dependent uric acid pathologies in Drosophila melanogaster by Lang, Sven, Hilsabeck, Tyler A, Wilson, Kenneth A, Sharma, Amit, Bose, Neelanjan, Brackman, Deanna J, Beck, Jennifer N, Chen, Ling, Watson, Mark A, Killilea, David W, Ho, Sunita, Kahn, Arnold, Giacomini, Kathleen, Stoller, Marshall L, Chi, Thomas, Kapahi, Pankaj

“…Elevated uric acid (UA) is a key risk factor for many disorders, including metabolic syndrome, gout and kidney stones. Despite frequent occurrence of these…”
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Slack and Cyclically Sensitive Inflation by STOCK, JAMES H., WATSON, MARK W.

“…We investigate the flattening Phillips relation by making two departures from standard specifications. First, we measure slack using real activity variables…”
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Multiconformation, Density Functional Theory-Based pK a Prediction in Application to Large, Flexible Organic Molecules with Diverse Functional Groups by Bochevarov, Art D, Watson, Mark A, Greenwood, Jeremy R, Philipp, Dean M

“…We consider the conformational flexibility of molecules and its implications for micro- and macro-pK a. The corresponding formulas are derived and discussed…”
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