Search Results - "Venditti, Fabrizio"
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From oil to consumer energy prices: How much asymmetry along the way?
Published in Energy economics (01-11-2013)“…A longstanding question in macroeconomics is whether fuel prices react more to increases than to decreases of the price of oil. This paper analyzes the…”
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The time varying effect of oil price shocks on euro-area exports
Published in Journal of economic dynamics & control (01-10-2015)“…In this paper we provide novel evidence on changes in the relationship between the real price of oil and real exports in the euro area. By combining robust…”
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3
Oil price shocks in real time
Published in Journal of monetary economics (01-05-2024)“…Oil prices contain information on global shocks of key relevance for monetary policy decisions. We propose a novel approach to identify these shocks at the…”
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Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility
Published in Journal of business & economic statistics (02-01-2016)“…In this article, we develop a mixed frequency dynamic factor model in which the disturbances of both the latent common factor and of the idiosyncratic…”
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5
Failing to Forecast Low Inflation and Phillips Curve Instability: A Euro-Area Perspective
Published in International finance (Oxford, England) (01-03-2015)“…Professional forecasters failed to anticipate the sharp fall in inflation in the euro area in 2013–2014. We investigate whether this forecasting failure can be…”
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6
The fundamentals of safe assets
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-04-2020)“…We study what makes government bonds a safe asset. Building on a sample of monthly changes in government bond yields in 40 advanced and emerging countries, we…”
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7
Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach
Published in Journal of applied econometrics (Chichester, England) (01-11-2019)“…Summary In this paper we introduce a nonparametric estimation method for a large Vector Autoregression (VAR) with time‐varying parameters. The estimators and…”
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Measuring Financial Conditions using Equal Weights Combination
Published in IMF economic review (01-12-2022)“…In this paper, we assess the merits of financial condition indices (FCIs) constructed using equal weights averaging versus alternatives that use data reduction…”
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Short-term inflation forecasting: The M.E.T.A. approach
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-10-2017)“…Forecasting inflation is an important and challenging task. This paper assumes that the core inflation components evolve as a multivariate local level process…”
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10
Strategic interactions and price dynamics in the global oil market
Published in Energy economics (01-03-2022)“…In a simplified theoretical framework, we model the strategic interactions between OPEC and non-OPEC producers and the implications for the global oil market…”
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11
Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: A Score-Driven State Space Model
Published in Journal of business & economic statistics (02-10-2021)“…Abstract-In this article, we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with time-varying system matrices, where time variation is driven by the…”
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12
Forecasting economic activity with targeted predictors
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-01-2015)“…In this paper we explore the forecasting performances of methods based on a pre-selection of monthly indicators from large panels of time series. After a…”
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Essays on models with time-varying parameters for forecasting and policy analysis
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Dissertation -
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Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?
Published in Empirical economics (01-06-2013)“…The ECB target is set in terms of the year on year growth rate of the euro area Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices. Nonetheless, a good deal of attention is…”
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15
Semantic Integration of Peer to Peer Systems: A Doxastic Approach
Published in 2008 IEEE International Conference on Semantic Computing (01-08-2008)“…Peer to peer information integration takes place when, within internetworking systems, a dependency between provided and consumed information is maintained. At…”
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