Search Results - "Tversky, Amos"
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Context-Dependent Preferences
Published in Management science (01-10-1993)“…The standard theory of choice—based on value maximization—associates with each option a real value such that, given an offered set, the decision maker chooses…”
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Choice in Context: Tradeoff Contrast and Extremeness Aversion
Published in Journal of marketing research (01-08-1992)Get full text
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Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty
Published in Journal of risk and uncertainty (01-10-1992)“…We develop a new version of prospect theory that employs cumulative rather than separable decision weights and extends the theory in several respects. This…”
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Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability
Published in Psychological review (01-10-1994)“…This article presents a new theory of subjective probability according to which different descriptions of the same event can give rise to different judgments…”
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Choice under Conflict: The Dynamics of Deferred Decision
Published in Psychological science (01-11-1992)“…Choice often produces conflict. This notion, however, plays no role in classical decision theory, in which each alternative is assigned a value, and the…”
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The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence
Published in Cognitive psychology (01-07-1992)“…Tests the hypotheses that overconfidence occurs when strength is high and weight is low and that underconfidence occurs when weight is high and strength is low…”
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A Belief-Based Account of Decision Under Uncertainty
Published in Management science (01-07-1998)“…We develop a belief-based account of decision under uncertainty. This model predicts decisions under uncertainty from (i) judgments of probability, which are…”
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The Disjunction Effect in Choice under Uncertainty
Published in Psychological science (01-09-1992)“…One of the basic axioms of the rational theory of decision under uncertainty is Savage's (1954) sure-thing principle (STP). It states that if prospect x is…”
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Thinking through Uncertainty: Nonconsequential Reasoning and Choice
Published in Cognitive psychology (01-10-1992)“…Nonconsequential behavior was explored for 80 Princeton University undergraduates on reasoning and decision-making tasks (Prisoner's Dilemma, Newcomb's…”
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Preference and Belief: Ambiguity and Competence in Choice under Uncertainty
Published in Journal of risk and uncertainty (01-01-1991)“…We investigate the relation between judgments of probability and preferences between bets. A series of experiments provides support for the competence…”
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An Axiomatization of Cumulative Prospect Theory
Published in Journal of risk and uncertainty (01-10-1993)“…This paper presents a method for axiomatizing a variety of models for decision making under uncertainty, including Expected Utility and Cumulative Prospect…”
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12
Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment
Published in Psychological review (01-10-1983)“…Perhaps the simplest and the most basic qualitative law of probability is the conjunction rule: The probability of a conjunction, P (A&B), cannot exceed the…”
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13
On the Framing of Multiple Prospects
Published in Psychological science (01-05-1992)“…We investigated decisions involving multiple independent uncertain prospects. At the extremes, a decision maker may either consider each prospect as a separate…”
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Anomalies: Preference Reversals
Published in The Journal of economic perspectives (01-04-1990)“…The preference reversal phenomenon has been established in numerous studies during the last two decades, but its causes have only recently been uncovered. This…”
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15
The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (30-01-1981)“…The psychological principles that govern the perception of decision problems and the evaluation of probabilities and outcomes produce predictable shifts of…”
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Affect, generalization, and the perception of risk
Published in Journal of personality and social psychology (01-07-1983)“…Investigated the role of affect in judgments of risk in 4 experiments. 557 Ss were recruited on college campuses and read paragraphs modeled after newspaper…”
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Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions
Published in The Journal of business (Chicago, Ill.) (01-10-1986)“…Alternative descriptions of a decision problem often give rise to different preferences, contrary to the principle of invariance that underlies the rational…”
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Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
Published in Econometrica (01-03-1979)“…This paper presents a critique of expected utility theory as a descriptive model of decision making under risk, and develops an alternative model, called…”
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On the elicitation of preferences for alternative therapies
Published in The New England journal of medicine (27-05-1982)“…We investigated how variations in the way information is presented to patients influence their choices between alternative therapies. Data were presented…”
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Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (27-09-1974)“…This article described three heuristics that are employed in making judgements under uncertainty: (i) representativeness, which is usually employed when people…”
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