Search Results - "Trufin, Julien"
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1
Dispersive order comparisons on extreme order statistics from homogeneous dependent random vectors
Published in Dependence modeling (04-12-2021)“…In this paper, we investigate sufficient conditions for preservation property of the dispersive order for the smallest and largest order statistics of…”
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2
On a risk measure inspired from the ruin probability and the expected deficit at ruin
Published in Scandinavian actuarial journal (25-11-2016)“…In this paper, we study a risk measure derived from ruin theory defined as the amount of capital needed to cope in expectation with the first occurrence of a…”
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3
Convex and Lorenz orders under balance correction in nonlife insurance pricing: Review and new developments
Published in Insurance, mathematics & economics (01-09-2024)“…By exploiting massive amounts of data, machine learning techniques provide actuaries with predictors exhibiting high correlation with claim frequencies and…”
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4
Model selection with Pearson’s correlation, concentration and Lorenz curves under autocalibration
Published in European actuarial journal (01-12-2023)“…Wüthrich (Eur Actuar J, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13385-022-00339-9 , 2023) established that the Gini index is a consistent scoring rule in the class of…”
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5
Bounds on Multivariate Kendall’s Tau and Spearman’s Rho for Zero-Inflated Continuous Variables and their Application to Insurance
Published in Methodology and computing in applied probability (01-06-2022)“…In this note, we derive upper bounds on Kendall’s tau and Spearman’s rho for multivariate zero-inflated continuous variables often encountered in insurance. A…”
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6
Autocalibration and Tweedie-dominance for insurance pricing with machine learning
Published in Insurance, mathematics & economics (01-11-2021)“…Boosting techniques and neural networks are particularly effective machine learning methods for insurance pricing. Often in practice, the sum of fitted values…”
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7
Best upper and lower bounds on Spearman’s rho for zero-inflated continuous variables and their application to insurance
Published in European actuarial journal (01-06-2022)“…In this note, we establish the best lower and upper bounds on Spearman’s rho for zero-inflated continuous random variables studied by Pimentel (Kendall’s Tau…”
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8
Generalization error for Tweedie models: decomposition and error reduction with bagging
Published in European actuarial journal (01-06-2021)“…Wüthrich and Buser (DOI:10.2139/ssrn.2870308, 2020) studied the generalization error for Poisson regression models. This short note aims to extend their…”
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9
Model selection based on Lorenz and concentration curves, Gini indices and convex order
Published in Insurance, mathematics & economics (01-11-2019)“…In order to determine an appropriate amount of premium, statistical goodness-of-fit criteria must be supplemented with actuarial ones when assessing…”
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10
Boosting cost-complexity pruned trees on Tweedie responses: the ABT machine for insurance ratemaking
Published in Scandinavian actuarial journal (27-05-2024)“…This paper proposes a new boosting machine based on forward stagewise additive modeling with cost-complexity pruned trees. In the Tweedie case, it deals…”
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11
Testing for more positive expectation dependence with application to model comparison
Published in Insurance, mathematics & economics (01-11-2021)“…Modern data science tools are effective to produce predictions that strongly correlate with responses. Model comparison can therefore be based on the strength…”
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12
Testing for auto-calibration with Lorenz and Concentration curves
Published in Insurance, mathematics & economics (01-07-2024)“…Dominance relations and diagnostic tools based on Lorenz and Concentration curves in order to compare competing estimators of the regression function have…”
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13
From regulatory life tables to stochastic mortality projections: The exponential decline model
Published in Insurance, mathematics & economics (01-11-2016)“…Often in actuarial practice, mortality projections are obtained by letting age-specific death rates decline exponentially at their own rate. Many life tables…”
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14
Beyond the Tweedie Reserving Model: The Collective Approach to Loss Development
Published in North American actuarial journal (02-10-2017)“…This article proposes a new loss reserving approach, inspired from the collective model of risk theory. According to the collective paradigm, we do not relate…”
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15
Response versus gradient boosting trees, GLMs and neural networks under Tweedie loss and log-link
Published in Scandinavian actuarial journal (26-11-2022)“…Thanks to its outstanding performances, boosting has rapidly gained wide acceptance among actuaries. To speed up calculations, boosting is often applied to…”
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16
Some Expressions of a Generalized Version of the Expected Time in the Red and the Expected Area in Red
Published in Methodology and computing in applied probability (01-06-2022)“…In this paper, we study a generalized version of the expected time in the red and the expected area in red introduced in Loisel ( 2005 ). We derive some…”
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17
Bivariate Poisson Credibility Model and Bonus–Malus Scale for Claim and Near-Claim Events
Published in North American actuarial journal (21-05-2024)Get full text
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18
Bounds on Spearman’s rho when at least one random variable is discrete
Published in European actuarial journal (01-06-2022)“…Spearman’s rho is one of the most popular dependence measures used in practice to describe the association between two random variables. However, in case of at…”
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19
Model points and Tail-VaR in life insurance
Published in Insurance, mathematics & economics (01-09-2015)“…Often, actuaries replace a group of heterogeneous life insurance contracts (different age at policy issue, contract duration, sum insured, etc.) with a…”
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20
Multivariate modelling of multiple guarantees in motor insurance of a household
Published in European actuarial journal (01-12-2019)“…Actuarial risk classification is usually performed at a guarantee and policyholder level: for each policyholder, the claim frequencies corresponding to each…”
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