Search Results - "Traugott, Michael W."

When Polls Disagree: How Competitive Results and Methodological Quality Shape Partisan Perceptions of Polls and Electoral Predictions by Kuru, Ozan, Pasek, Josh, Traugott, Michael W

“…Abstract This study leverages a survey experiment in the lead up to the 2016 U.S. presidential election to evaluate how partisan biases, poll results, and…”
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Voting Technology: The Not-So-Simple Act of Casting a Ballot by Herrnson, Paul S., Richard G. Niemi, Michael J. Hanmer, Benjamin B. Bederson, Frederick C. Conrad, Michael W. Traugott

“…Evaluates five commercially available voting systems, against different criteria (including ease of use, speed, and accuracy) using field and laboratory…”
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When Pundits Weigh In: Do Expert and Partisan Critiques in News Reports Shape Ordinary Individuals' Interpretations of Polls? by Kuru, Ozan, Pasek, Josh, Traugott, Michael W.

“…Journalists rely on polls as they cover public opinion. In order to provide perspectives within the news stories, journalists frequently quote pundits - expert…”
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Public Opinion Polls and Election Forecasting by Traugott, Michael W.

“…With advances in statistical tools and new methodologies, the prominence of preelection polls in their estimation role has slightly diminished, although poll…”
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NEW DIRECTIONS IN PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION RESEARCH by Traugott, Michael W.

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Web Survey Design and Administration by COUPER, MICK P., TRAUGOTT, MICHAEL W., LAMIAS, MARK J.

“…Many claims are being made about the advantages of conducting surveys on the Web. However, there has been little research on the effects of format or design on…”
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The Dynamics of Poll Performance During the 2008 Presidential Nomination Contest by Traugott, Michael W., Wlezien, Christopher

“…This analysis focuses on estimation difficulties pollsters had in the primaries in 2008 in light of recent trends in improved polling accuracy in general…”
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The Accuracy of the National Preelection Polls in the 2004 Presidential Election by Traugott, Michael W.

“…The 2004 presidential election campaign provided a venue for a wide variety of polling, and it was not without its controversies. In the end, the final…”
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A Review and Proposal for a New Measure of Poll Accuracy by Martin, Elizabeth A., Traugott, Michael W., Kennedy, Courtney

“…This article proposes a new measure of the predictive accuracy (A) of election polls that permits examination of both accuracy and bias, and it applies the new…”
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Electronic voting eliminates hanging chads but introduces new usability challenges by Conrad, Frederick G., Bederson, Benjamin B., Lewis, Brian, Peytcheva, Emilia, Traugott, Michael W., Hanmer, Michael J., Herrnson, Paul S., Niemi, Richard G.

“…The arrival of electronic voting has generated considerable controversy, mostly about its vulnerability to fraud. By comparison, virtually no attention has…”
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Who Votes by Mail?: A Dynamic Model of the Individual-Level Consequences of Voting-by-Mail Systems by BERINSKY, ADAM J., BURNS, NANCY, TRAUGOTT, MICHAEL W.

“…Election administrators and public officials often consider changes in electoral laws, hoping that these changes will increase voter turnout and make the…”
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Losing Fewer Votes: The Impact of Changing Voting Systems on Residual Votes by Hammer, Michael J., Park, Won-Ho, Traugott, Michael W., Niemi, Richard G., Herrnson, Paul S., Bederson, Benjamin B., Conrad, Frederick C.

“…Problems in the 2000 presidential election, especially in Florida, initiated a large-scale shift toward new voting technology. Using cross-sectional and…”
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Reducing Vote Overreporting in Surveys: Social Desirability, Memory Failure, and Source Monitoring by Belli, Robert F., Traugott, Michael W., Young, Margaret, McGonagle, Katherine A.

“…Split-ballot telephone survey data obtained in 1996 from 1,483 respondents in OR & from a 1996/97 national survey of consumer attitudes (N = 1,329) are used to…”
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MOTIVATED REASONING IN THE PERCEIVED CREDIBILITY OF PUBLIC OPINION POLLS by KURU, OZAN, PASEK, JOSH, TRAUGOTT, MICHAEL W.

“…How do citizens' motivations shape their perceptions of poll reports? Increasingly, scholars are finding that citizens engage in motivated reasoning, whereby…”
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The Impact of Voting by Mail on Voter Behavior by Hanmer, Michael J., Traugott, Michael W.

“…Most of the studies of voter behavior have dealt with voter turnout, but few have looked at other aspects of voting behavior that could be linked to balloting…”
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Voters' Evaluations of Electronic Voting Systems: Results From a Usability Field Study by Herrnson, Paul S., Niemi, Richard G., Hanmer, Michael J., Francia, Peter L., Bederson, Benjamin B., Conrad, Frederick G., Traugott, Michael W.

“…Electronic voting systems were developed, in part, to make voting easier and to boost voters' confidence in the election process. Using three new approaches to…”
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Assessing poll performance in the 2000 campaign by Traugott, M W

“…This paper provides an examination of issues involving the national preelection polls, the state-level election polls, and some aggregate data models. The…”
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Trends: Assessing Poll Performance in the 2000 Campaign by Traugott, Michael W.

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Comments on the Keynote by Langer, Gary

“…Langer comments on a speech by Lang. Lang's most basic concern is that public opinion as expressed in polls is substantively inadequate to direct public…”
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Group Cues and Ideological Constraint: A Replication of Political Advertising Effects Studies in the Lab and in the Field by Valentino, Nicholas A., Traugott, Michael W., Hutchings, Vincent L.

“…This project seeks theoretical and methodological advances in the study of political advertising effects during election campaigns. On the theoretical side, we…”
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