Search Results - "Tildesley, Michael J"

Modelling optimal vaccination strategy for SARS-CoV-2 in the UK by Moore, Sam, Hill, Edward M, Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J, Keeling, Matt J

“…The COVID-19 outbreak has highlighted our vulnerability to novel infections. Faced with this threat and no effective treatment, in line with many other…”
Get full text

Identification of dynamical changes of rabies transmission under quarantine: Community-based measures towards rabies elimination by Rysava, Kristyna, Tildesley, Michael J

“…Quarantine has been long used as a public health response to emerging infectious diseases, particularly at the onset of an epidemic when the infected…”
Get full text

Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics by Dyson, Louise, Hill, Edward M., Moore, Sam, Curran-Sebastian, Jacob, Tildesley, Michael J., Lythgoe, Katrina A., House, Thomas, Pellis, Lorenzo, Keeling, Matt J.

“…Viral reproduction of SARS-CoV-2 provides opportunities for the acquisition of advantageous mutations, altering viral transmissibility, disease severity,…”
Get full text

Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK: Short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies by Keeling, Matt J, Hill, Edward M, Gorsich, Erin E, Penman, Bridget, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alex, Leng, Trystan, McKimm, Hector, Tamborrino, Massimiliano, Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J

“…Efforts to suppress transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the UK have seen non-pharmaceutical interventions being invoked. The most severe measures to date include all…”
Get full text

Modelling the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the spread of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia by Althobaity, Yehya, Tildesley, Michael J.

“…Countries around the world have implemented a series of interventions to contain the pandemic of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), and significant lessons can be…”
Get full text

Comparison of the 2021 COVID-19 roadmap projections against public health data in England by Keeling, Matt J., Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., Hill, Edward M., Moore, Samuel

“…Control and mitigation of the COVID-19 pandemic in England has relied on a combination of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). Some of…”
Get full text

Prospects for detecting early warning signals in discrete event sequence data: Application to epidemiological incidence data by Southall, Emma, Tildesley, Michael J, Dyson, Louise

“…Early warning signals (EWS) identify systems approaching a critical transition, where the system undergoes a sudden change in state. For example, monitoring…”
Get full text

Assessing the impact of lateral flow testing strategies on within-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission and absences: A modelling study by Leng, Trystan, Hill, Edward M, Thompson, Robin N, Tildesley, Michael J, Keeling, Matt J, Dyson, Louise

“…Rapid testing strategies that replace the isolation of close contacts through the use of lateral flow device tests (LFTs) have been suggested as a way of…”
Get full text

Quantifying pupil-to-pupil SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of lateral flow testing in English secondary schools by Leng, Trystan, Hill, Edward M., Holmes, Alex, Southall, Emma, Thompson, Robin N., Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matt J., Dyson, Louise

“…A range of measures have been implemented to control within-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission in England, including the self-isolation of close contacts and twice…”
Get full text

The impact of school reopening on the spread of COVID-19 in England by Keeling, Matt J, Tildesley, Michael J, Atkins, Benjamin D, Penman, Bridget, Southall, Emma, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alex, McKimm, Hector, Gorsich, Erin E, Hill, Edward M, Dyson, Louise

“…By mid-May 2020, cases of COVID-19 in the UK had been declining for over a month; a multi-phase emergence from lockdown was planned, including a scheduled…”
Get full text

When should lockdown be implemented? Devising cost-effective strategies for managing epidemics amid vaccine uncertainty by Doyle, Nathan J, Cumming, Fergus, Thompson, Robin N, Tildesley, Michael J

“…During an infectious disease outbreak, public health policy makers are tasked with strategically implementing interventions whilst balancing competing…”
Get full text

Adaptive management and the value of information: learning via intervention in epidemiology by Shea, Katriona, Tildesley, Michael J, Runge, Michael C, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Ferrari, Matthew J

“…Optimal intervention for disease outbreaks is often impeded by severe scientific uncertainty. Adaptive management (AM), long-used in natural resource…”
Get full text

Modelling the Influence of Climate and Vector Control Interventions on Arbovirus Transmission by Fairbanks, Emma L, Daly, Janet M, Tildesley, Michael J

“…Most mathematical models that assess the vectorial capacity of disease-transmitting insects typically focus on the influence of climatic factors to predict…”
Get full text

An analysis of school absences in England during the COVID-19 pandemic by Southall, Emma, Holmes, Alex, Hill, Edward M, Atkins, Benjamin D, Leng, Trystan, Thompson, Robin N, Dyson, Louise, Keeling, Matt J, Tildesley, Michael J

“…The introduction of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19 infection, in the UK in early 2020, resulted in the introduction of several control policies to…”
Get full text

Modelling seasonality of Lassa fever incidences and vector dynamics in Nigeria by McKendrick, James Q, Tennant, Warren S. D, Tildesley, Michael J

“…Lassa fever (Lf) is a viral haemorrhagic disease endemic to West Africa and is caused by the Lassa mammarenavirus . The rodent Mastomys natalensis serves as…”
Get full text

Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks by Probert, William J M, Jewell, Chris P, Werkman, Marleen, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Goto, Yoshitaka, Runge, Michael C, Sekiguchi, Satoshi, Shea, Katriona, Keeling, Matt J, Ferrari, Matthew J, Tildesley, Michael J

“…In the event of a new infectious disease outbreak, mathematical and simulation models are commonly used to inform policy by evaluating which control strategies…”
Get full text

A network modelling approach to assess non-pharmaceutical disease controls in a worker population: An application to SARS-CoV-2 by Hill, Edward M, Atkins, Benjamin D, Keeling, Matt J, Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J

“…As part of a concerted pandemic response to protect public health, businesses can enact non-pharmaceutical controls to minimise exposure to pathogens in…”
Get full text

Modelling African horse sickness emergence and transmission in the South African control area using a deterministic metapopulation approach by de Klerk, Joanna N, Gorsich, Erin E, Grewar, John D, Atkins, Benjamin D, Tennant, Warren S. D, Labuschagne, Karien, Tildesley, Michael J

“…African horse sickness is an equine orbivirus transmitted by Culicoides Latreille biting midges. In the last 80 years, it has caused several devastating…”
Get full text

A comparative analysis of epidemiological characteristics of MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 in Saudi Arabia by Althobaity, Yehya, Wu, Jianhong, Tildesley, Michael J.

“…In this study, we determine and compare the incubation duration, serial interval, pre-symptomatic transmission, and case fatality rate of MERS-CoV and COVID-19…”
Get full text

Modeling Treatment Strategies to Inform Yaws Eradication by Holmes, Alex, Tildesley, Michael J, Solomon, Anthony W, Mabey, David C W, Sokana, Oliver, Marks, Michael, Dyson, Louise

“…Yaws is a neglected tropical disease targeted for eradication by 2030. To achieve eradication, finding and treating asymptomatic infections as well as clinical…”
Get full text