Search Results - "Tavlas, George"
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On the Controversy over the Origins of the Chicago Plan for 100% Reserves: Sorry, Frederick Soddy, it was Knight and (Most Probably) Simons
Published in Journal of money, credit and banking (01-09-2024)“…The idea of 100% reserve requirements against demand deposits received a renewed impetus in recent years. In 1933, a group of University of Chicago economists,…”
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Retrospectives: On the Evolution of the Rules versus Discretion Debate in Monetary Policy
Published in The Journal of economic perspectives (01-07-2022)“…Episodes of macroeconomic upheaval associated with monetary policy failure have provided the stage for important debates on rules versus discretion. We discuss…”
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Drivers and spillover effects of inflation: The United States, the euro area, and the United Kingdom
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-03-2023)“…We investigate the drivers of the recent inflation in three currency areas: the United States, the euro area, and the United Kingdom. To do so, we use a VAR…”
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Quantifying spillovers among regions
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-02-2024)Get full text
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In Old Chicago: Simons, Friedman, and the Development of Monetary-Policy Rules
Published in Journal of money, credit and banking (01-02-2015)“…This paper examines the different policy rules proposed by Henry Simons, who, beginning in the mid-1930s, advocated a price-level stabilization rule, and by…”
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Inflation forecasting with rolling windows: An appraisal
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-07-2024)“…We examine the performance of rolling windows procedures in forecasting inflation. We implement rolling windows augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) tests and then…”
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Forecasting inflation: The use of dynamic factor analysis and nonlinear combinations
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-04-2023)“…This paper considers the problem of forecasting inflation in the United States, the euro area, and the United Kingdom in the presence of possible structural…”
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How Friedman and Schwartz Became Monetarists
Published in Journal of money, credit and banking (01-06-2018)“…During the early-1940s, both Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz downplayed the role of money in the economy. By the mid-1950s, they had not only become what…”
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Forecasting in turbulent times
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-07-2024)“…Since the beginning of this century, the global economy has been hit by a series of unforeseen shocks, including the Global Financial Crisis, the euro area's…”
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Advances in forecasting: An introduction in light of the debate on inflation forecasting
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-04-2023)“…The sharp rise in inflation during the past few years has engendered comparisons with the great inflation of the 1970s and early 1980s. Like that earlier…”
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The Greek financial crisis: Growing imbalances and sovereign spreads
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-04-2012)“…We discuss the origins of the Greek financial crisis as manifested in the growing fiscal and current-account deficits since euro-area entry in 2001. We then…”
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An evaluation of the inflation forecasting performance of the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-07-2024)“…We provide an overview of the formulation of the forecasts of the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England. We also provide…”
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Nonlinear forecast combinations: An example using euro-area real GDP growth
Published in Journal of economic behavior & organization (01-12-2020)“…The forecasting literature shows that when a number of different forecasters produce forecasts of the same variable it is almost always possible to produce a…”
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The effectiveness of the ECB's asset purchase programs of 2009 to 2012
Published in Journal of macroeconomics (01-03-2016)“…We examine the impact of the ECB's Securities Market Program (SMP) and the ECB's two Covered Bond Purchase Programs (CBPPs) on sovereign bond spreads and…”
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An investigation into feedback and spatial relationships between banks’ share prices and sovereign bond spreads during the euro crisis
Published in Journal of financial stability (01-12-2022)“…We examine (1) spillover effects between euro-area sovereigns and banking systems within national jurisdictions and (2) cross-country spillovers among ten…”
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Self-fulfilling dynamics: The interactions of sovereign spreads, sovereign ratings and bank ratings during the euro financial crisis
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-05-2017)“…•We investigate the existence of feedback loops during the euro-area crisis.•We examine interactions among sovereign spreads, sovereign ratings and bank…”
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Financial risks, monetary policy in the QE era, and regulation
Published in Journal of financial stability (01-12-2022)“…At the beginning of the present century, the literature on financial integration focused on the benefits of increased integration. In particular, the…”
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Ten years after the start of the euro crisis: lessons for financial markets and macroeconomic policies
Published in Oxford economic papers (01-10-2021)“…Abstract The papers in this Special Issue take stock of the functioning of the euro area during its crisis, which encompassed mainly the years 2009–15. They…”
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Cross-country spillovers of national financial markets and the effectiveness of ECB policies during the euro-area crisis
Published in Oxford economic papers (01-10-2021)“…Abstract We investigate spillover effects between sovereign ratings and sovereign spreads for five euro-area countries—Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and…”
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