Predicting travel pattern changes of freight trucks in the Tokyo Metropolitan area based on the latest large-scale urban freight survey and route choice modeling
•Analyzed truck route data from a freight survey in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area.•Developed a route choice model with the concept of maximizing overlapping ratio.•Predicted travel pattern changes in freight traffic for some policy scenarios.•Full operation of the three ring roads would smooth urban f...
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| Published in: | Transportation research. Part E, Logistics and transportation review Vol. 129; pp. 305 - 324 |
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
| Format: | Journal Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier Ltd
01-09-2019
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Get full text |
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| Summary: | •Analyzed truck route data from a freight survey in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area.•Developed a route choice model with the concept of maximizing overlapping ratio.•Predicted travel pattern changes in freight traffic for some policy scenarios.•Full operation of the three ring roads would smooth urban freight traffic.•Extension of weight-designated road might increase flow into residential areas.
This study aims at predicting travel pattern changes of freight trucks in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area by taking full advantage of the latest large-scale urban freight survey. We found that travel patterns changed significantly depending on the type of trucks. A route choice model with the concept of the maximum route-overlapping ratio was developed and the calibrated model was found to be appropriate for our analysis. Finally, we analyzed various policy scenarios and found that the full operation of the three ring roads would contribute to smoother traffic whereas the extension of weight-designated road might have a relatively small impact. |
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| ISSN: | 1366-5545 1878-5794 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.tre.2017.12.011 |