Application of logistic regression to simulate the influence of rainfall genesis on storm overflow operations: a probabilistic approach

Application of logistic regression to simulate the influence of rainfall genesis on storm overflow operations: a probabilistic approach

One of the key parameters constituting the basis for the operational assessment of stormwater systems is the annual number of storm overflows. Since uncontrolled overflows are a source of pollution washed away from the surface of the catchment area, which leads to imbalanced receiving waters, there...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Hydrology and earth system sciences Vol. 24; no. 2; pp. 595 - 614
Main Authors: SzelÄg, Bartosz, Suligowski, Roman, StudziÅski, Jan, De Paola, Francesco
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Katlenburg-Lindau Copernicus GmbH 12-02-2020
Copernicus Publications
Subjects:
Adaptation
Annual rainfall
Catchment area
Catchment areas
Coefficients
Computer simulation
Duration
Impact analysis
Information systems
Logit models
Nature
Overflow
Pollution
Pollution sources
Precipitation (Meteorology)
Precipitation variability
Probabilistic models
Probability theory
Rain
Rain water
Rainfall
Rainfall forecasting
Rainfall impact
Rainfall intensity
Rainfall simulators
Rainwater
Receiving waters
Regression analysis
Regression models
Simplification
Simulation
Statistical analysis
Stochasticity
Storm forecasting
Storms
Stormwater
Troposphere
Warning systems
Weather forecasting
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Summary:One of the key parameters constituting the basis for the operational assessment of stormwater systems is the annual number of storm overflows. Since uncontrolled overflows are a source of pollution washed away from the surface of the catchment area, which leads to imbalanced receiving waters, there is a need for their prognosis and potential reduction. The paper presents a probabilistic model for simulating the annual number of storm overflows. In this model, an innovative solution is to use the logistic regression method to analyze the impact of rainfall genesis on the functioning of a storm overflow (OV) in the example of a catchment located in the city of Kielce (central Poland).
ISSN:1607-7938
1027-5606
1607-7938
DOI:10.5194/hess-24-595-2020