Search Results - "Scott Armstrong, J"

Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative by Armstrong, J. Scott, Green, Kesten C., Graefe, Andreas

“…This article proposes a unifying theory, or the Golden Rule, of forecasting. The Golden Rule of Forecasting is to be conservative. A conservative forecast is…”
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Invasion of sorghum in the Americas by a new sugarcane aphid (Melanaphis sacchari) superclone by Nibouche, Samuel, Costet, Laurent, Holt, Jocelyn R, Jacobson, Alana, Pekarcik, Adrian, Sadeyen, Joëlle, Armstrong, J Scott, Peterson, Gary C, McLaren, Neal, Medina, Raul F

“…In the United States (US), the sugarcane aphid (SCA) Melanaphis sacchari (Zehnter) (Hemiptera: Aphididae) was introduced in the 1970s, however at that time it…”
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Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task by Graefe, Andreas, Armstrong, J. Scott

“…We conducted laboratory experiments for analyzing the accuracy of three structured approaches (nominal groups, Delphi, and prediction markets) relative to…”
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Gb8, a new gene conferring resistance to economically important greenbug biotypes in wheat by Xu, Xiangyang, Li, Genqiao, Carver, Brett F., Armstrong, J. Scott

“…Key message A new greenbug resistance gene Gb8 conferring broad resistance to US greenbug biotypes was identified in hard red winter wheat line PI 595379-1 and…”
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Evaluation of A3 cytoplasmic male sterile forage sorghum lines for resistance to sugarcane aphid by Carey, Camille, Armstrong, J. Scott, Hayes, Chad, Hoback, W. Wyatt, Zarrabi, Ali

“…Main conclusion Three known sugarcane aphid-resistant pollinator parents were sterilized in A3 cytoplasmic male sterility and were confirmed in this study to…”
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Combining forecasts: An application to elections by Graefe, Andreas, Armstrong, J. Scott, Jones, Randall J., Cuzán, Alfred G.

“…We summarize the literature on the effectiveness of combining forecasts by assessing the conditions under which combining is most valuable. Using data on the…”
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Sugarcane Aphid (Hemiptera: Aphididae): Host Range and Sorghum Resistance Including Cross-Resistance from Greenbug Sources by Armstrong, J. Scott, Rooney, William L, Peterson, Gary C, Villenueva, Raul T, Brewer, Michael J, Sekula-Ortiz, Danielle

“…The graminous host range and sources of sorghum [Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench.] plant resistance, including cross-resistance from greenbug, Schizaphis graminum…”
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Research with In-built replications: Comment and further suggestions for replication research by Evanschitzky, Heiner, Armstrong, J. Scott

“…This brief commentary on the paper Designing Research with In-built Differentiated Replication expands on concerns about a lack of replication research by…”
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Differential responses of sorghum genotypes to sugarcane aphid feeding by Paudyal, Sulochana, Armstrong, J. Scott, Giles, Kristopher L., Hoback, Wyatt, Aiken, Robert, Payton, Mark E.

“…Main conclusion The findings of this study suggest that known resistant sorghum genotypes compensate for feeding pressure of sugarcane aphid by…”
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Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries by Graefe, Andreas, Green, Kesten C, Armstrong, J Scott

“…Do conservative econometric models that comply with the Golden Rule of Forecasting provide more accurate forecasts? To test the effects of forecast accuracy,…”
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Resistance to Melanaphis sacchari (Hemiptera: Aphididae) in Forage and Grain Sorghums by Armstrong, J. Scott, Mbulwe, Lloyd, Sekula-Ortiz, Danielle, Villanueva, Raul T, Rooney, William L

“…The sugarcane aphid, Melanaphis sacchari (Zehntner), has established itself as a perennial pest of grain and forage sorghums in the United States since the…”
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Identification of a new Rsg1 allele conferring resistance to multiple greenbug biotypes from barley accessions PI 499276 and PI 566459 by Xu, Xiangyang, Mornhinweg, Dolores, Bai, Guihua, Li, Genqiao, Bian, Ruolin, Bernardo, Amy, Armstrong, J. Scott

“…Greenbug [Schizaphis graminum (Rondani)] is a major insect pest that significantly affects barley production worldwide. The identification of novel greenbug…”
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Characterization of Rsg3, a novel greenbug resistance gene from the Chinese barley landrace PI 565676 by Xu, Xiangyang, Mornhinweg, Dolores, Bai, Guihua, Li, Genqiao, Bian, Ruolin, Bernardo, Amy, Armstrong, J. Scott

“…Greenbug (Schizaphis graminum Rondani) is a pest that poses a serious threat to cereal production worldwide. Yield losses caused by greenbug are predicted to…”
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Differences in Microbiota Between Two Multilocus Lineages of the Sugarcane Aphid (Melanaphis sacchari) in the Continental United States by Holt, Jocelyn R, Styer, Alex, White, Jennifer A, Armstrong, J. Scott, Nibouche, Samuel, Costet, Laurent, Malacrinò, Antonino, Antwi, Josephine B, Wulff, Jason, Peterson, Gary, McLaren, Neal, Medina, Raul F

“…The sugarcane aphid (SCA), Melanaphis Sacchari (Zehntner) (Hemiptera: Aphididae), has been considered an invasive pest of sugarcane in the continental United…”
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Interactions between Sudangrass Lines Selected for Differing Nitrate Expression and Sorghum Aphid by Hayashida, Rafael, Carey, Camille, Springer, Tim, Knighten, Bailey, Armstrong, J. Scott, Hoback, W. Wyatt

“…Sudangrass (Sorghum sudanense Stapf) is widely cultivated as a summer annual forage across the southern Great Plains because of its robust forage yield…”
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The Discovery of Resistant Sources of Spring Barley, Hordeum vulgare ssp. spontaneum, and Unique Greenbug Biotypes by Scott Armstrong, J, Mornhinweg, Dolores W, Payton, Mark E, Puterka, Gary J

“…The genetic sources for host-plant resistance to the greenbug (Schizaphis graminum Rondani) in barley (Hordeum vulgare ssp. spontaneum) are limited in that…”
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Findings from evidence-based forecasting: Methods for reducing forecast error by Armstrong, J. Scott

“…Empirical comparisons of reasonable approaches provide evidence on the best forecasting procedures to use under given conditions. Based on this evidence, I…”
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Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you by Green, Kesten C., Armstrong, J. Scott, Graefe, Andreas

“…The Golden Rule of Forecasting is a general rule that applies to all forecasting problems. The Rule was developed using logic and was tested against evidence…”
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Evidence on the Effects of Mandatory Disclaimers in Advertising by Green, Kesten C., Armstrong, J. Scott

“…The authors find no evidence that consumers benefit from government-mandated disclaimers in advertising. Experiments and common experience show that…”
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High-quality chromosome scale genome assemblies of two important Sorghum inbred lines, Tx2783 and RTx436 by Wang, Bo, Chougule, Kapeel, Jiao, Yinping, Olson, Andrew, Kumar, Vivek, Gladman, Nicholas, Huang, Jian, Llaca, Victor, Fengler, Kevin, Wei, Xuehong, Wang, Liya, Wang, Xiaofei, Regulski, Michael, Drenkow, Jorg, Gingeras, Thomas, Hayes, Chad, Armstrong, J Scott, Huang, Yinghua, Xin, Zhanguo, Ware, Doreen

“…Abstract Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench is a significant grass crop globally, known for its genetic diversity. High quality genome sequences are needed to capture…”
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