Search Results - "Schaumburg, Julia"
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Predicting extreme value at risk: Nonparametric quantile regression with refinements from extreme value theory
Published in Computational statistics & data analysis (01-12-2012)“…A framework is introduced allowing us to apply nonparametric quantile regression to Value at Risk (VaR) prediction at any probability level of interest. A…”
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Vector autoregressions with dynamic factor coefficients and conditionally heteroskedastic errors
Published in Journal of econometrics (01-05-2024)“…We introduce a new and general methodology for analyzing vector autoregressive models with time-varying coefficient matrices and conditionally heteroskedastic…”
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Spillover dynamics for systemic risk measurement using spatial financial time series models
Published in Journal of econometrics (01-12-2016)“…We extend the well-known static spatial Durbin model by introducing a time-varying spatial dependence parameter. The updating steps for this model are…”
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Financial Network Systemic Risk Contributions
Published in Review of Finance (01-03-2015)“…We propose the realized systemic risk beta as a measure of financial companies' contribution to systemic risk, given network interdependence between firms'…”
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Do negative interest rates make banks less safe?
Published in Economics letters (01-10-2017)“…We study the impact of increasingly negative central bank policy rates on banks’ propensity to become undercapitalized in a financial crisis (‘SRisk’). We find…”
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Bank Business Models at Zero Interest Rates
Published in Journal of business & economic statistics (03-07-2019)“…We propose a novel observation-driven finite mixture model for the study of banking data. The model accommodates time-varying component means and covariance…”
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Forecasting systemic impact in financial networks
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-07-2014)“…We propose a methodology for forecasting the systemic impact of financial institutions in interconnected systems. Utilizing a five-year sample including the…”
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Financial Linkages and Sectoral Business Cycle Synchronization: Evidence from Europe
Published in IMF economic review (01-12-2022)“…We analyze whether financial integration leads to converging or diverging business cycles using a dynamic spatial model. Our model allows for contemporaneous…”
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Dynamic clustering of multivariate panel data
Published in Journal of econometrics (01-12-2023)Get full text
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Accounting for missing values in score-driven time-varying parameter models
Published in Economics letters (01-11-2016)“…Two alternative perspectives on dealing with missing data in the context of the score-driven time-varying parameter models of Creal et al. (2013) and Harvey…”
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Dynamic Nonparametric Clustering of Multivariate Panel Data
Published in Journal of financial econometrics (22-03-2024)“…Abstract We introduce a new dynamic clustering method for multivariate panel data characterized by time-variation in cluster locations and shapes, cluster…”
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Beyond Dimension two: A Test for Higher-Order Tail Risk
Published in Journal of financial econometrics (01-07-2016)“…In practice, multivariate dependencies between extreme risks are often only assessed in a pairwise way. We propose a test for detecting situations when such…”
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