An Analysis and Forecasting of Covid-19 Spread in Tamil Nadu based on Additive Model for Non-Linear Pattern

Coronavirus2019 has been seen as an overall pandemic and spreads all over India. Tamilnadu is one of the most affected states in India. The study of the spread of this disease is essential to foresee the requirement in improving the health care facilities. A couple of assessments are being driven us...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:	2021 6th International Conference on Inventive Computation Technologies (ICICT) pp. 1279 - 1283
Main Authors:	C.S., Kanimozhi Selvi, K.S., Kalaivani, S.K.C., Abinayaa
Format:	Conference Proceeding
Language:	English
Published:	IEEE 20-01-2021
Subjects:	Analysis Analytical models COVID-19 Forecasting Government Medical services Prediction Predictive models Spread Tamil Nadu Time series analysis
Online Access:	Get full text
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Summary:	Coronavirus2019 has been seen as an overall pandemic and spreads all over India. Tamilnadu is one of the most affected states in India. The study of the spread of this disease is essential to foresee the requirement in improving the health care facilities. A couple of assessments are being driven using distinctive models to foresee the probable progression of this disease. To report the present scenario, the research uses exploratory data processing and uses time series forecasting approaches to estimate the future trend. Here, the spread of the disease is analyzed in Tamil Nadu and employed Prophet Model to forecast the transmission of COVID-19 in the forthcoming months. Results show that the spread of the disease will be gradually reduced and the state will be back to normal in the forthcoming months.
DOI:	10.1109/ICICT50816.2021.9358564