Search Results - "Russell, Timothy W"
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Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts
Published in The Lancet global health (01-04-2020)“…Isolation of cases and contact tracing is used to control outbreaks of infectious diseases, and has been used for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Whether…”
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Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England
Published in Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (09-04-2021)“…A severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variant, VOC 202012/01 (lineage B.1.1.7), emerged in southeast England in September 2020 and is…”
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Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020
Published in Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles (26-03-2020)“…Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond…”
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Detecting changes in generation and serial intervals under varying pathogen biology, contact patterns and outbreak response
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-03-2024)“…The epidemiological characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission have changed over the pandemic due to emergence of new variants. A decrease in the generation or…”
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Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study
Published in The Lancet. Public health (01-07-2020)“…Non-pharmaceutical interventions have been implemented to reduce transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the UK…”
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SARS-CoV-2 Dynamics in the Premier League Testing Program, United Kingdom
Published in Emerging infectious diseases (01-09-2024)“…During 2020-2022, players and staff in the English Premier League in the United Kingdom were tested regularly for SARS-CoV-2 with the aim of creating a…”
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Real-time surveillance of international SARS-CoV-2 prevalence using systematic traveller arrival screening: An observational study
Published in PLoS medicine (08-09-2023)“…Background Effective Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) response relies on good knowledge of population infection dynamics, but owing to under-ascertainment…”
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Relative role of border restrictions, case finding and contact tracing in controlling SARS-CoV-2 in the presence of undetected transmission: a mathematical modelling study
Published in BMC medicine (16-03-2023)“…Understanding the overall effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions to control the COVID-19 pandemic and reduce the burden of disease is crucial for…”
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The contribution of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections to transmission on the Diamond Princess cruise ship
Published in eLife (24-08-2020)“…A key unknown for SARS-CoV-2 is how asymptomatic infections contribute to transmission. We used a transmission model with asymptomatic and presymptomatic…”
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Impact of vaccinations, boosters and lockdowns on COVID-19 waves in French Polynesia
Published in Nature communications (13-11-2023)“…Estimating the impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 incidence is complicated by several factors, including successive…”
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COVID-19 in non-hospitalised adults caused by either SARS-CoV-2 sub-variants Omicron BA.1, BA.2, BA.4/5 or Delta associates with similar illness duration, symptom severity and viral kinetics, irrespective of vaccination history
Published in PloS one (21-03-2024)“…SARS-CoV-2 variant Omicron rapidly evolved over 2022, causing three waves of infection due to sub-variants BA.1, BA.2 and BA.4/5. We sought to characterise…”
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Combined analyses of within-host SARS-CoV-2 viral kinetics and information on past exposures to the virus in a human cohort identifies intrinsic differences of Omicron and Delta variants
Published in PLoS biology (30-01-2024)“…The emergence of successive Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants of concern (VOCs) during 2020 to 2022, each exhibiting…”
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The effect of travel restrictions on the geographical spread of COVID-19 between large cities in China: a modelling study
Published in BMC medicine (19-08-2020)“…To contain the spread of COVID-19, a cordon sanitaire was put in place in Wuhan prior to the Lunar New Year, on 23 January 2020. We assess the efficacy of the…”
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The local burden of disease during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in England: estimation using different data sources from changing surveillance practices
Published in BMC public health (11-04-2022)“…The COVID-19 epidemic has differentially impacted communities across England, with regional variation in rates of confirmed cases, hospitalisations and deaths…”
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Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths
Published in Wellcome open research (2020)“…We estimate the number of COVID-19 cases from newly reported deaths in a population without previous reports. Our results suggest that by the time a single…”
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Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study
Published in The Lancet infectious diseases (01-05-2020)“…An outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has led to 95 333 confirmed cases as of March 5, 2020. Understanding the early…”
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Association of tiered restrictions and a second lockdown with COVID-19 deaths and hospital admissions in England: a modelling study
Published in The Lancet infectious diseases (01-04-2021)“…A second wave of COVID-19 cases in autumn, 2020, in England led to localised, tiered restrictions (so-called alert levels) and, subsequently, a second national…”
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Age-dependent effects in the transmission and control of COVID-19 epidemics
Published in Nature medicine (01-08-2020)“…The COVID-19 pandemic has shown a markedly low proportion of cases among children 1 – 4 . Age disparities in observed cases could be explained by children…”
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Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study
Published in The Lancet infectious diseases (01-10-2020)“…The isolation of symptomatic cases and tracing of contacts has been used as an early COVID-19 containment measure in many countries, with additional physical…”
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Quantifying the impact of physical distance measures on the transmission of COVID-19 in the UK
Published in BMC medicine (07-05-2020)“…To mitigate and slow the spread of COVID-19, many countries have adopted unprecedented physical distancing policies, including the UK. We evaluate whether…”
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