Spatio-temporal variations of chlorophyll from satellite derived data and CMIP5 models along Indian coastal regions

Spatio-temporal variations of chlorophyll from satellite derived data and CMIP5 models along Indian coastal regions

Comparison of chlorophyll data of three sets of CMIP5 models for RCP 4.5 (MPI-ESM-MR, HadGEM2-ES and GFDL-ESM2M) and RCP 6.0 (IPSL-CM5A-LR, HadGEM2-ES and GFDL-ESM2M) were done with satellite derived data (OC-CCI) for the period of 1998–2017 along four Indian coastal regions. The monthly, yearly and...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Earth System Science Vol. 130; no. 3; p. 153
Main Authors: Joseph, Dhanya, Rojith, G, Zacharia, P U, Sajna, V H, Akash, S, George, Grinson
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: New Delhi Springer India 01-09-2021
Springer Nature B.V
Subjects:
Analysis
Bias
Chlorophyll
Chlorophylls
Climate change
Climate change research
Climate models
Coastal zone
Coasts
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Fish
Fish production
Fisheries
Fluid dynamics
General circulation models
Monsoons
Monthly variations
Regions
Satellite data
Satellites
Seasonal comparisons
Seasons
Space Exploration and Astronautics
Space Sciences (including Extraterrestrial Physics
Temporal variations
Time series
Wind
Indian Ocean
India
CMIP5
Chlorophyll
Indian Ocean
Indian coastal regions
RCP scenarios
climate change
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Summary:Comparison of chlorophyll data of three sets of CMIP5 models for RCP 4.5 (MPI-ESM-MR, HadGEM2-ES and GFDL-ESM2M) and RCP 6.0 (IPSL-CM5A-LR, HadGEM2-ES and GFDL-ESM2M) were done with satellite derived data (OC-CCI) for the period of 1998–2017 along four Indian coastal regions. The monthly, yearly and zone-wise seasonal comparison between model and satellite data were carried out. Analysis of monthly variations of chlorophyll during 1998–2017 reveals that the satellite data show maximum value of 0.53 mg/m 3 in September, whereas all other models show maximum in August. Yearly analysis indicates maximum satellite data in the year 2004, while minimum was observed in 2015. HadGEM2-ES exhibited maximum model value and the lowest was found for IPSL-CM5A-LR . It was observed that the maximum chlorophyll value of 2.56 mg/m 3 for satellite data was in the monsoon season and the lowest value of 0.14 mg/m 3 was in the pre-monsoon. Seasonal analysis reveals no clear match among model and satellite values in any of the coastal regions. In northwest and northeast regions, the satellite values were found higher than the model values in most of the years, whereas in other regions, the model values were found fluctuating with the satellite values. Owing to the mismatch of the model and the satellite values, the work cautions to apply biases or corrections on usage of RCP model data for regional marine climate change research. Research Highlights Regional and seasonal chlorophyll variations for Indian coastal regions were elucidated for three decades from CMIP5 models and satellite derived data and compared. The northwest region of India exhibits maximum chlorophyll values and variations compared to the southern coasts. The discrepancies among satellite and model chlorophyll data were evidenced from the respective shift of chlorophyll maximum values from September to August. The research emphasis the need to apply necessary bias corrections in regional marine climate forecasts.
ISSN:2347-4327
0253-4126
0973-774X
DOI:10.1007/s12040-021-01663-6