Expected Changes in Evaporation in the Taiga Zone of European Russia in the XXI Century

Expected Changes in Evaporation in the Taiga Zone of European Russia in the XXI Century

Model estimates were made for changes in the actual evaporation of boreal forests in the taiga zone of European Russia caused by climate evolution in the XXI century. Climate changes were forecasted using the results of calculations by an MGO regional climate model. The space and time specification...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Water resources Vol. 50; no. 5; pp. 688 - 698
Main Authors: Nadyozhina, E. D., Shkol’nik, I. M., Sternzat, A. V., Pikalyova, A. A.
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Moscow Pleiades Publishing 01-10-2023
Springer Nature B.V
Subjects:
Aquatic Pollution
Arid climates
Atmospheric boundary layer
Boreal forests
Boundary layers
Climate change
Climate models
Climatic evolution
Dry periods
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Energy transport
Evaporation
Evolution
Forecasting data
Forests
Hydrogeology
Hydrology/Water Resources
Massifs
Modelling
Regional climate models
Regional climates
Studies of the Processes of Interaction between Land and the Atmosphere and the Hydrological Effects of Climate Change
Taiga
Taiga & tundra
Waste Water Technology
Water Management
Water Pollution Control
Russia
the actual and potential evaporation
estimation methods
climate changes
dry period
European Russia
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Summary:Model estimates were made for changes in the actual evaporation of boreal forests in the taiga zone of European Russia caused by climate evolution in the XXI century. Climate changes were forecasted using the results of calculations by an MGO regional climate model. The space and time specification of the forecast data was made with the use of a model of the atmospheric boundary layer. Variations of the forecasted changes due to the use of different methods to calculate evaporation were studied. Calculations based on an additional (complementary) relationship, determining the actual evaporation with the use of standard meteorological characteristics were compared with observations and calculations based on a detail model of energy transport in a forest massif. The model values of the actual evaporation in the XXI century increase all over the European Russia. The effect of the intensity of dry periods on the evolution of actual evaporation is analyzed. It is shown that, despite the arid climate, the effect of dry periods on taiga forests will be moderately negative.
ISSN:0097-8078
1608-344X
DOI:10.1134/S0097807823700033