Effects of changes in climate and land use on soil erosion: a case study of the Vranjska Valley, Serbia

Effects of changes in climate and land use on soil erosion: a case study of the Vranjska Valley, Serbia

Climate change is expected to lead to more vigorous environmental changes, including soil erosion. As a reliable tool for predicting the impact of changes in climate and land use, the InVEST sediment delivery ratio model, integrated with the EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade University-Princeton Ocean Model) re...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Regional environmental change Vol. 19; no. 4; pp. 1035 - 1046
Main Authors: Perovic, VelÑko, Kadovic, Ratko, Djurdjevic, Vladimir, Braunovic, Sonja, Cakmak, Dragan, Mitrovic, Miroslava, Pavlovic, Pavle
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: Berlin/Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg 01-04-2019
Springer
Springer Nature B.V
Subjects:
Case studies
Climate Change
Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
Climate effects
Climate models
Comparative analysis
Earth and Environmental Science
Ecosystems
Environment
Environmental changes
Erosion rates
Geography
Global temperature changes
Impact prediction
Integrated approach
Land use
Nature Conservation
Ocean models
Oceanography
Original Article
Regional/Spatial Science
Sediments (Geology)
Soil erosion
Land use changes
Climate change
Soil erosion
A1B scenario
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:Climate change is expected to lead to more vigorous environmental changes, including soil erosion. As a reliable tool for predicting the impact of changes in climate and land use, the InVEST sediment delivery ratio model, integrated with the EBU-POM (Eta Belgrade University-Princeton Ocean Model) regional climate model, was used with the aim of quantifying erosion intensity in the Vranjska Valley region by the end of the twenty-first century. The effect of climate change on spatial and temporal patterns in the Vranjska Valley will lead to a 41.84% reduction in average soil loss by the end of the century when compared to the baseline period. The main reason for this decrease in the soil erosion rate in the second half of the century is a 17.19% fall in the total amount of precipitation, the impact of which will inevitably lead to changes in natural and artificial ecosystems. Furthermore, the results of this study highlight the advantages of an integrated approach, combining the effects of climate change and types of land use, for a better and more realistic estimate of future changes in soil erosion.
ISSN:1436-3798
1436-378X
DOI:10.1007/s10113-018-1456-x