Search Results - "Paya, Ivan"
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Higher order risk attitudes: new model insights and heterogeneity of preferences
Published in Experimental economics : a journal of the Economic Science Association (01-03-2023)“…It is now well established that higher-order risk preferences play a crucial role in determining the risky choices of decision makers in a wide range of…”
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Wealth fluctuations and investment in risky assets: The UK micro evidence on households asset allocation
Published in Journal of empirical finance (01-09-2016)“…This paper is the first to examine whether UK households exhibit constant or time-varying relative risk aversion within a microdata panel framework. We analyse…”
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On the predictions of cumulative prospect theory for third and fourth order risk preferences
Published in Theory and decision (01-08-2023)“…In this paper, we analyse higher-order risky choices by the representative cumulative prospect theory (CPT) decision maker from three alternative reference…”
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Forecasting monetary policy rules in South Africa
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-04-2012)“…This paper is the first one to: (i) provide in-sample estimates of linear and nonlinear Taylor rules, augmented with an indicator of financial stability, for…”
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Real exchange rates and time-varying trade costs
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-10-2011)“…This paper re-examines the empirical modeling of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) deviations in the presence of commodity market frictions. First, we show that a…”
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On the stability of the constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility under high degrees of uncertainty
Published in Economics letters (01-05-2012)“…Growth models under uncertainty and constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility are fragile in explaining consumers’ choice, as equilibrium consumption is…”
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Forecast Evaluation of Nonlinear Models: The Case of Long-Span Real Exchange Rates
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-11-2012)“…ABSTRACT This paper deals with the nonlinear modeling and forecasting of the dollar–sterling and franc–sterling real exchange rates using long spans of data…”
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A New Analysis of the Determinants of the Real Dollar-Sterling Exchange Rate: 1871-1994
Published in Journal of money, credit and banking (01-12-2006)“…The high persistence of both PPP deviations and the proxy variables for the equilibrium real rate might create a problem of spurious coefficient significance…”
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The Bank of Korea's nonlinear monetary policy rule
Published in Applied economics letters (01-08-2012)“…A new test for nonlinear causality and also nonparametric procedures suggest significant nonlinearity in the implementation of the Taylor rule by the Bank of…”
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Nonlinear dynamics in economics and finance and unit root testing
Published in The European journal of finance (01-07-2013)“…The recent financial crisis exposed the inability of traditional theoretical and empirical models to parsimoniously capture the rich dynamics of the economic…”
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Predicting real growth and the probability of recession in the Euro area using the yield spread
Published in International journal of forecasting (01-04-2005)“…Although the spread has been established as a leading indicator of economic activity, recent studies in US and European Union (EU) countries have documented,…”
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Systematic sampling of nonlinear models: Evidence on speed of adjustment in index futures markets
Published in The journal of futures markets (01-02-2011)“…Based on the cost‐of‐carry model of future prices, a number of studies have estimated nonlinear autoregressive models for the basis at different frequencies…”
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The forward premium puzzle in the interwar period and deviations from covered interest parity
Published in Economics letters (01-07-2010)“…We revisit the forward premium puzzle in the interwar period and find that, as the deviation from covered interest rate parity increases, the coefficient on…”
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The Kőszegi–Rabin expectations-based model and risk-apportionment tasks for elicitation of higher order risk preferences
Published in Journal of economic behavior & organization (01-08-2024)“…This paper examines the predictions of expectations-based reference-dependent models for risk-apportionment tasks that elicit higher-order risk attitudes. We…”
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Temporal aggregation of an ESTAR process: some implications for purchasing power parity adjustment
Published in Journal of applied econometrics (Chichester, England) (01-07-2006)“…Nonlinear models of deviations from PPP have recently provided an important, theoretically well motivated, contribution to the PPP puzzle. Most of these…”
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The process followed by PPP data. On the properties of linearity tests
Published in Applied economics (10-12-2005)“…Recent research has reported the lack of correct size in stationarity test for PPP deviations within a linear framework. However, theoretically well motivated…”
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Deterministic impulse response in a nonlinear model. An analytical expression
Published in Economics letters (01-06-2007)“…This paper derives an analytical expression of the “impulse response function” for the skeleton of a restricted version of the typical ESTAR model reported in…”
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On the speed of adjustment in ESTAR models when allowance is made for bias in estimation
Published in Economics letters (01-02-2006)“…The purpose of this letter is to show, via simulation and bootstrap methods, that the estimates of the speed of adjustment parameter obtained in ESTAR models…”
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Nonlinear Purchasing Power Parity under the Gold Standard
Published in Southern economic journal (01-10-2004)“…Hegwood and Papell (2002) conclude on the basis of analysis in a linear framework that long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) does not hold for 16 real…”
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On the contribution of the Markowitz model of utility to explain risky choice in experimental research
Published in Journal of economic behavior & organization (01-02-2021)“…•We illustrate new properties of the Markowitz model of utility.•We estimate mixture models for three prominent recent risky-choice data sets.•The Markowitz…”
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