Search Results - "Patrizio Vanella"

Assessing excess mortality in times of pandemics based on principal component analysis of weekly mortality data—the case of COVID-19 by Vanella, Patrizio, Basellini, Ugofilippo, Lange, Berit

“…The COVID-19 outbreak has called for renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analyses to monitor mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess…”
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A Probabilistic Cohort-Component Model for Population Forecasting – The Case of Germany by Vanella, Patrizio, Deschermeier, Philipp

“…The future development of population size and structure is of importance since planning in many areas of politics and business is conducted based on…”
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Development of the reproduction number from coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 case data in Germany and implications for political measures by Khailaie, Sahamoddin, Mitra, Tanmay, Bandyopadhyay, Arnab, Schips, Marta, Mascheroni, Pietro, Vanella, Patrizio, Lange, Berit, Binder, Sebastian C, Meyer-Hermann, Michael

“…SARS-CoV-2 has induced a worldwide pandemic and subsequent non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to control the spread of the virus. As in many countries,…”
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A probabilistic projection of beneficiaries of long-term care insurance in Germany by severity of disability by Vanella, Patrizio, Heß, Moritz, Wilke, Christina B.

“…Demographic aging puts social insurance systems under immense pressure as frailty risks increase with age. The statutory long-term care insurance in Germany…”
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Parsimonious stochastic forecasting of international and internal migration on the NUTS-3 level – an outlook of regional depopulation trends in Germany by Vanella, Patrizio, Hellwagner, Timon, Deschermeier, Philipp

“…Substantiated knowledge of future demographic changes that is derived from sound statistical and mathematical methods is a crucial determinant of regional…”
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Correction to: A probabilistic projection of beneficiaries of long‑term care insurance in Germany by severity of disability by Vanella, Patrizio, Heß, Moritz, Wilke, Christina B.

“…An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper…”
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Stochastic Forecasting of Regional Age-Specific Fertility Rates: An Outlook for German NUTS-3 Regions by Vanella, Patrizio, Hassenstein, Max J.

“…Regional fertility forecasts are important for long-term planning in a variety of fields that include future birth numbers in their forecast, such as school or…”
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Infection and transmission risks of COVID-19 in schools and their contribution to population infections in Germany: A retrospective observational study using nationwide and regional health and education agency notification data by Heinsohn, Torben, Lange, Berit, Vanella, Patrizio, Rodiah, Isti, Glöckner, Stephan, Joachim, Alexander, Becker, Dennis, Brändle, Tobias, Dhein, Stefan, Ehehalt, Stefan, Fries, Mira, Galante-Gottschalk, Annette, Jehnichen, Stefanie, Kolkmann, Sarah, Kossow, Annelene, Hellmich, Martin, Dötsch, Jörg, Krause, Gérard

“…School-level infection control measures in Germany during the early Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic differed across the 16 federal states and…”
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Long-term effect of chronic hepatitis B on mortality in HIV-infected persons in a differential HBV transmission setting by Umutesi, Justine, Nsanzimana, Sabin, Yingkai Liu, Carol, Vanella, Patrizio, Ott, Jördis J, Krause, Gérard

“…There remain gaps in quantifying mortality risk among individuals co-infected with chronic hepatitis B (HBV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in…”
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Past and Future Trends in Refugee Migration on the Regional Level in Germany – An Analysis and Projection of Labor Market Effects by Vanella, Patrizio, Hellwagner, Timon, Deschermeier, Philipp

“…Since 2013, more than two million refugees have arrived in Germany and have been allocated across federal states and districts according to legal policies. A…”
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Impact of Demographic Developments and PCV13 Vaccination on the Future Burden of Pneumococcal Diseases in Germany—An Integrated Probabilistic Differential Equation Approach by Sarajan, Myka Harun, Mahreen, Kahkashan, Vanella, Patrizio, Kuhlmann, Alexander

“…Streptococcus pneumonia is the primary cause of morbidity and mortality in infants and children globally. Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence is…”
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Prevalence and Economic Costs of Absenteeism in an Aging Population—A Quasi-Stochastic Projection for Germany by Vanella, Patrizio, Wilke, Christina Benita, Söhnlein, Doris

“…Demographic change is leading to the aging of German society. As long as the baby boom cohorts are still of working age, the working population will also…”
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An Overview of Population Projections—Methodological Concepts, International Data Availability, and Use Cases by Vanella, Patrizio, Deschermeier, Philipp, Wilke, Christina B.

“…Population projections serve various actors at subnational, national, and international levels as a quantitative basis for political and economic…”
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Fertility Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic in Developed Countries – On Pre-pandemic Fertility Forecasts by Vanella, Patrizio, Greil, Arthur L., Deschermeier, Philipp

“…The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all areas of our lives. Among other outcomes, the academic literature and popular media both discuss the potential effects…”
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Data Quality—Concepts and Problems by Hassenstein, Max J., Vanella, Patrizio

“…Data Quality is, in essence, understood as the degree to which the data of interest satisfies the requirements, is free of flaws, and is suited for the…”
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Effect modification of the association between comorbidities and severe course of COVID-19 disease by age of study participants: a systematic review and meta-analysis by Fernández Villalobos, Nathalie Verónica, Ott, Jördis Jennifer, Klett-Tammen, Carolina Judith, Bockey, Annabelle, Vanella, Patrizio, Krause, Gérard, Lange, Berit

“…Abstract Background Comprehensive evidence synthesis on the associations between comorbidities and behavioural factors with hospitalisation, intensive care…”
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Migration Forecasting—Significance and Approaches by Fuchs, Johann, Söhnlein, Doris, Vanella, Patrizio

“…Migration is defined as the permanent change in an individual’s usual residence. Forecasting migration is an important requisite for population forecasts or…”
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Implementation of integrated care for type 2 diabetes Mellitus and Periodontitis in Germany: study protocol for a practice-based and cluster-randomized trial by Hennrich, Patrick, Queder, Annika, Altiner, Attila, Awounvo, Sinclair, Dyczmons, Jan, Eigendorf, Julian, Erdmann, Stella, Grobe, Thomas, Gutscher, Andreas, Herzig, Nicole, Jepsen, Søren, Kairies-Schwarz, Nadja, Kalmus, Olivier, Kliemannel, Fabian, Santos, Sara, Vanella, Patrizio, Wensing, Michel, Wilm, Stefan, Listl, Stefan

“…Type 2 Diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and periodontitis share common risk factors and influence one another. However, primary care and oral health care continue to…”
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Population Ageing and Future Demand for Old-Age and Disability Pensions in Germany – A Probabilistic Approach by Vanella, Patrizio, Rodriguez Gonzalez, Miguel, Wilke, Christina B.

“…Industrialised economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates – a situation that puts social security systems under severe…”
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Pitfalls and solutions in case fatality risk estimation – A multi-country analysis on the effects of demographics, surveillance, time lags between case reports and deaths and healthcare system capacity on COVID-19 CFR estimates by Vanella, Patrizio, Wiessner, Christian, Holz, Anja, Krause, Gérard, Möhl, Annika, Wiegel, Sarah, Lange, Berit, Becher, Heiko

“…Across European countries, there have been large differences in COVID-19 case fatality risk (CFR) estimates, and considerable variation in these estimates over…”
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