Search Results - "Ouillon, Guy"
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Earthquake precursors in the light of peroxy defects theory: Critical review of systematic observations
Published in The European physical journal. ST, Special topics (2021)“…Forecasting earthquakes implies that there are time-varying processes, which depend on the changing conditions deep in the Earth's crust prior to major seismic…”
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Global models for short-term earthquake forecasting and predictive skill assessment
Published in The European physical journal. ST, Special topics (2021)“…We present rigorous tests of global short-term earthquake forecasts using Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence models with two different time kernels (one with…”
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Are Large Earthquakes Preferentially Triggered by Other Large Events?
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth (01-08-2022)“…Fundamentally related to the ultraviolet (UV) divergence problem in physics, conventional wisdom in statistical seismology is that the smallest earthquakes,…”
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Objective estimation of spatially variable parameters of epidemic type aftershock sequence model: Application to California
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth (01-07-2017)“…The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely employed to model the spatiotemporal distribution of earthquakes, generally using spatially…”
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Democratizing earthquake predictability research: introducing the RichterX platform
Published in The European physical journal. ST, Special topics (2021)“…Predictability of earthquakes has been vigorously debated in the last decades with the dominant -albeit contested -view being that earthquakes are inherently…”
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6
Long-term statistical evidence proving the correspondence between tir anomalies and earthquakes is still absent
Published in The European physical journal. ST, Special topics (2021)“…Recently, researchers have conducted long-term statistical studies to prove the correspondence between earthquakes and thermal infrared (TIR) anomalies. Upon…”
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7
A paradigm for developing earthquake probability forecasts based on geoelectric data
Published in The European physical journal. ST, Special topics (2021)“…We examine the precursory behavior of geoelectric signals before large earthquakes by means of a previously published algorithm including an alarm-based model…”
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Coupled mechano-electrokinetic Burridge-Knopoff model of fault sliding events and transient geoelectric signals
Published in The European physical journal. ST, Special topics (2021)“…We introduce the first fully self-consistent numerical model combining seismic micro-ruptures, occurring within a generalized Burridge-Knopoff spring-block…”
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Using geoelectric field skewness and kurtosis to forecast the 2016/2/6, M_L 6.6 Meinong, Taiwan Earthquake
Published in Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (01-10-2017)“…The earthquake-alarm model developed by Chen and Chen (Nat. Hazards 2016) is investigated to validate its forecasting performance for the 2016/2/6, M_L 6.6…”
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10
Systematic assessment of the static stress triggering hypothesis using interearthquake time statistics
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth (01-03-2016)“…A likely source of earthquake clustering is static stress transfer between individual events. Previous attempts to quantify the role of static stress for…”
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11
Using geoelectric field skewness and kurtosis to forecast the 2016/2/6, ML 6.6 Meinong, Taiwan Earthquake
Published in TAO : Terrestrial, atmospheric, and oceanic sciences (01-10-2017)“…The earthquake-alarm model developed by Chen and Chen (Nat. Hazards 2016) is investigated to validate its forecasting performance for the 2016/2/6, ML 6.6…”
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12
Are aftershocks of large Californian earthquakes diffusing?
Published in Journal of Geophysical Research (01-10-2003)“…We analyze 21 aftershock sequences of California to test for evidence of space‐time diffusion. Aftershock diffusion may result from stress diffusion and is…”
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13
Is Seismicity Operating at a Critical Point?
Published in Physical review letters (26-03-2021)“…Seismicity and faulting within the Earth's crust are characterized by many scaling laws that are usually interpreted as qualifying the existence of underlying…”
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14
Spatially variable model for extracting TIR anomalies before earthquakes: Application to Chinese Mainland
Published in Remote sensing of environment (15-12-2021)“…There are several long-term statistical researches using the Molchan diagram (MD) to prove the relation between thermal infrared (TIR) anomalies and…”
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15
Magnitude of Earthquakes Controls the Size Distribution of Their Triggered Events
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth (01-03-2019)“…The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, has been that the…”
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16
Fault network reconstruction using agglomerative clustering: applications to southern Californian seismicity
Published in Natural hazards and earth system sciences (23-12-2020)“…In this paper we introduce a method for fault network reconstruction based on the 3D spatial distribution of seismicity. One of the major drawbacks of…”
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Forecasting the Rates of Future Aftershocks of All Generations Is Essential to Develop Better Earthquake Forecast Models
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth (01-08-2019)“…Currently, one of the best performing earthquake forecasting models relies on the working hypothesis that the “locations of past background earthquakes reveal…”
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Condensation of earthquake location distributions: Optimal spatial information encoding and application to multifractal analysis of south Californian seismicity
Published in Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics (01-08-2015)“…We present the "condensation" method that exploits the heterogeneity of the probability distribution functions (PDFs) of event locations to improve the spatial…”
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19
Triggering of large earthquakes is driven by their twins
Published 09-04-2021“…Fundamentally related to the UV divergence problem in Physics, conventional wisdom in seismology is that the smallest earthquakes, which are numerous and often…”
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20
Is seismicity operating at a critical point?
Published 02-03-2021“…Phys. Rev. Lett. 126, 128501 (2021) Seismicity and faulting within the Earth crust are characterized by many scaling laws that are usually interpreted as…”
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