Search Results - "O'Regan, Suzanne M"
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Integrating data mining and transmission theory in the ecology of infectious diseases
Published in Ecology letters (01-08-2020)“…Our understanding of ecological processes is built on patterns inferred from data. Applying modern analytical tools such as machine learning to increasingly…”
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How Stochasticity Influences Leading Indicators of Critical Transitions
Published in Bulletin of mathematical biology (01-06-2018)“…Many complex systems exhibit critical transitions. Of considerable interest are bifurcations, small smooth changes in underlying drivers that produce abrupt…”
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Transient indicators of tipping points in infectious diseases
Published in Journal of the Royal Society interface (01-09-2020)“…The majority of known early warning indicators of critical transitions rely on asymptotic resilience and critical slowing down. In continuous systems, critical…”
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Theory of early warning signals of disease emergenceand leading indicators of elimination
Published in Theoretical ecology (01-08-2013)“…Anticipating infectious disease emergence and documenting progress in disease elimination are important applications for the theory of critical transitions. A…”
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How noise and coupling influence leading indicators of population extinction in a spatially extended ecological system
Published in Journal of biological dynamics (01-12-2018)“…Anticipating critical transitions in spatially extended systems is a key topic of interest to ecologists. Gradually declining metapopulations are an important…”
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Public control of rational and unpredictable epidemics
Published in Journal of economic behavior & organization (01-12-2016)“…Efforts to improve disease forecasting are often justified on the grounds that accurate and reliable forecasts offer opportunities to improve response to…”
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Interspecific Contact and Competition May Affect the Strength and Direction of Disease-Diversity Relationships for Directly Transmitted Microparasites
Published in The American naturalist (01-10-2015)“…The frequency of opportunities for transmission is key to the severity of directly transmitted disease outbreaks in multihost communities. Transmission…”
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Leading indicators of mosquito-borne disease elimination
Published in Theoretical ecology (01-09-2016)“…Mosquito-borne diseases contribute significantly to the global disease burden. High-profile elimination campaigns are currently underway for many parasites,…”
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Lyapunov functions for SIR and SIRS epidemic models
Published in Applied mathematics letters (01-04-2010)“…In this paper, we construct a new Lyapunov function for a variety of SIR and SIRS models in epidemiology. Global stability of the endemic equilibrium states of…”
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Impacts of host availability and temperature on mosquito‐borne parasite transmission
Published in Ecological monographs (01-05-2024)“…Global climate change is predicted to cause range shifts in the mosquito species that transmit pathogens to humans and wildlife. Recent modeling studies have…”
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The statistics of epidemic transitions
Published in PLoS computational biology (01-05-2019)“…Emerging and re-emerging pathogens exhibit very complex dynamics, are hard to model and difficult to predict. Their dynamics might appear intractable. However,…”
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A highly invasive chimeric ranavirus can decimate tadpole populations rapidly through multiple transmission pathways
Published in Ecological modelling (15-10-2019)“…•Experiments and models investigate the dynamics of a highly virulent ranavirus.•The roles of multiple transmission pathways and stages of infection are…”
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Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia
Published in PLoS biology (01-01-2015)“…In 2014, a major epidemic of human Ebola virus disease emerged in West Africa, where human-to-human transmission has now been sustained for greater than 12…”
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Transmission Models of Historical Ebola Outbreaks
Published in Emerging infectious diseases (01-08-2015)“…To guide the collection of data under emergent epidemic conditions, we reviewed compartmental models of historical Ebola outbreaks to determine their…”
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Multi-scale model of epidemic fade-out: Will local extirpation events inhibit the spread of white-nose syndrome?
Published in Ecological applications (01-04-2015)“…White-nose syndrome (WNS) is an emerging infectious disease that has resulted in severe declines of its hibernating bat hosts in North America. The ongoing…”
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Chaos in a seasonally perturbed SIR model: avian influenza in a seabird colony as a paradigm
Published in Journal of mathematical biology (01-08-2013)“…Seasonality is a complex force in nature that affects multiple processes in wild animal populations. In particular, seasonal variations in demographic…”
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The response of the woodpigeon ( Columba palumbus) to relaxation of intraspecific competition: A hybrid modelling approach
Published in Ecological modelling (10-01-2012)“…► The woodpigeon population of the British Isles has recently increased in number. ► To identify the mechanisms behind the sustained growth, we developed a…”
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Ebola Cases and Health System Demand in Liberia: e1002056
Published in PLoS biology (01-01-2015)“…In 2014, a major epidemic of human Ebola virus disease emerged in West Africa, where human-to-human transmission has now been sustained for greater than 12…”
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Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia
Published 30-10-2014“…In 2014, a major epidemic of human Ebola virus disease emerged in West Africa, where human-to-human transmission has now been been sustained for greater than…”
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