Impacts of climate change on Capparis spinosa L. based on ecological niche modeling

Impacts of climate change on Capparis spinosa L. based on ecological niche modeling

Recent changes in climate are transforming the situation of life on Earth, including impacting the conservation status of many plant and animal species. This study aims to evaluate potential impacts of climate change on a medicinal plant that is known to be heat-tolerant, L. We used ecological niche...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:PeerJ (San Francisco, CA) Vol. 6; p. e5792
Main Authors: Ashraf, Uzma, Chaudhry, Muhammad N, Ahmad, Sajid R, Ashraf, Irfan, Arslan, Muhammad, Noor, Hassaan, Jabbar, Mobeen
Format: Journal Article
Language:English
Published: United States PeerJ. Ltd 16-10-2018
PeerJ, Inc
PeerJ Inc
Subjects:
Analysis
Biodiversity
Calibration
Capparis spinosa
Climate change
Climate Change Biology
Climatic changes
Conservation
Conservation Biology
Conservation status
Ecological niche modeling
Ecology
Environmental aspects
Environmental science
Epidemics
General circulation models
Human beings
Influence on nature
Medicinal plants
Potential distribution
Precipitation
Species
Variables
New York
Lahore Pakistan
Pakistan
United States > US
Europe
Capparis spinosa
Climate change
Potential distribution
Ecological niche modeling
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Summary:Recent changes in climate are transforming the situation of life on Earth, including impacting the conservation status of many plant and animal species. This study aims to evaluate potential impacts of climate change on a medicinal plant that is known to be heat-tolerant, L. We used ecological niche modeling to estimate current and future potential distributions for the species, considering two emissions scenarios and five climate models for two time periods (2050 and 2070). The results in terms of areal coverage at different suitability levels in the future were closely similar to its present-day distribution; indeed, only minor differences existed in highly suitable area, with increases of only 0.2-0.3% in suitable area for 2050 and 2070 under representative concentration pathway 4.5. Given that climate-mediated range shifts in the species are expected to be minor, conservation attention to this species can focus on minimizing local effects of anthropogenic activity.
Bibliography:ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
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ISSN:2167-8359
2167-8359
DOI:10.7717/peerj.5792