Search Results - "Neelin, J. David"
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Increasing precipitation volatility in twenty-first-century California
Published in Nature climate change (01-05-2018)“…Mediterranean climate regimes are particularly susceptible to rapid shifts between drought and flood—of which, California’s rapid transition from record…”
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Thermodynamic versus Dynamic Controls on Extreme Precipitation in a Warming Climate from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble
Published in Journal of climate (01-02-2019)“…The moisture budget is evaluated as a function of the probability distribution of precipitation for the end of the twentieth century and projected end of the…”
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3
Regionally high risk increase for precipitation extreme events under global warming
Published in Scientific reports (05-04-2023)“…Daily precipitation extremes are projected to intensify with increasing moisture under global warming following the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) relationship at…”
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Changes in Frequency of Large Precipitation Accumulations over Land in a Warming Climate from the CESM Large Ensemble: The Roles of Moisture, Circulation, and Duration
Published in Journal of climate (01-09-2019)“…Projected changes in the frequency of major precipitation accumulations (hundreds of millimeters), integrated over rainfall events, over land in the late…”
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GoAmazon2014/5 campaign points to deep-inflow approach to deep convection across scales
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (01-05-2018)“…A substantial fraction of precipitation is associated with mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), which are currently poorly represented in climate models…”
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Evaluating the “Rich-Get-Richer” Mechanism in Tropical Precipitation Change under Global Warming
Published in Journal of climate (15-04-2009)“…Examining tropical regional precipitation anomalies under global warming in 10 coupled global climate models, several mechanisms are consistently found. The…”
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Climate models capture key features of extreme precipitation probabilities across regions
Published in Environmental research letters (01-02-2021)“…Quantitative simulation of precipitation in current climate has been an ongoing challenge for global climate models. Despite serious biases in correctly…”
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Analyzing ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP Models as a Measure of Model Fidelity in Simulating Precipitation
Published in Journal of climate (01-07-2013)“…The accurate representation of precipitation is a recurring issue in climate models. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) precipitation teleconnections provide…”
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Model spread in tropical low cloud feedback tied to overturning circulation response to warming
Published in Nature communications (19-11-2022)“…Among models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6), here we show that the magnitude of the tropical low cloud feedback,…”
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10
Tightening of tropical ascent and high clouds key to precipitation change in a warmer climate
Published in Nature communications (07-06-2017)“…The change of global-mean precipitation under global warming and interannual variability is predominantly controlled by the change of atmospheric longwave…”
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11
Rough parameter dependence in climate models and the role of Ruelle-Pollicott resonances
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS (04-02-2014)“…Despite the importance of uncertainties encountered in climate model simulations, the fundamental mechanisms at the origin of sensitive behavior of long-term…”
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Ruelle–Pollicott Resonances of Stochastic Systems in Reduced State Space. Part I: Theory
Published in Journal of statistical physics (01-06-2020)“…A theory of Ruelle–Pollicott (RP) resonances for stochastic differential systems is presented. These resonances are defined as the eigenvalues of the generator…”
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13
Muted extratropical low cloud seasonal cycle is closely linked to underestimated climate sensitivity in models
Published in Nature communications (11-09-2023)“…A large spread in model estimates of the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), defined as the global mean near-surface air-temperature increase following a…”
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14
Mechanisms of Global Warming Impacts on Regional Tropical Precipitation
Published in Journal of climate (01-07-2004)“…Mechanisms that determine the tropical precipitation anomalies under global warming are examined in an intermediate atmospheric model coupled with a simple…”
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15
Observed El Niño‐La Niña Asymmetry in a Linear Model
Published in Geophysical research letters (28-08-2019)“…Previous studies indicate an asymmetry in the amplitude and persistence of El Niño (EN) and La Niña (LN) events. We show that this observed EN‐LN asymmetry can…”
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Weakening and strengthening structures in the Hadley Circulation change under global warming and implications for cloud response and climate sensitivity
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres (27-05-2014)“…It has long been recognized that differences in climate model‐simulated cloud feedbacks are a primary source of uncertainties for the model‐predicted surface…”
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North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part I: Evaluation of Historical Simulations of Continental and Regional Climatology
Published in Journal of climate (01-12-2013)“…This is the first part of a three-part paper onNorth American climate in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) that evaluates the…”
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On the role of aerosols, humidity, and vertical wind shear in the transition of shallow-to-deep convection at the Green Ocean Amazon 2014/5 site
Published in Atmospheric chemistry and physics (10-08-2018)“…The preconditioning of the atmosphere for a shallow-to-deep convective transition during the dry-to-wet season transition period (August–November) is…”
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Spring Land Surface and Subsurface Temperature Anomalies and Subsequent Downstream Late Spring‐Summer Droughts/Floods in North America and East Asia
Published in Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres (27-05-2018)“…Sea surface temperature (SST) variability has been shown to have predictive value for land precipitation, although SSTs are unable to fully predict…”
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20
High-resolution precipitation monitoring with a dense seismic nodal array
Published in Scientific reports (15-07-2023)“…Accurate precipitation monitoring is crucial for understanding climate change and rainfall-driven hazards at a local scale. However, the current suite of…”
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