Search Results - "Molodtsova, Tanya"
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Taylor rule deviations and out-of-sample exchange rate predictability
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-12-2016)“…•We use data from 1973 to 2014 for eight exchange rates vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar.•Strong evidence of predictability is found for the Taylor rule fundamentals…”
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Rationality and forecasting accuracy of exchange rate expectations: Evidence from survey-based forecasts
Published in Journal of international financial markets, institutions & money (01-03-2017)“…•Survey-based forecasts for developing countries are biased at all horizons.•For developed countries, the forecast bias is non-linear across forecast…”
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Stock return predictability and Taylor rules
Published in Review of financial economics (05-09-2024)“…Abstract This paper evaluates stock return predictability with inflation and output gap, which typically enter the Federal Reserve Bank's interest rate setting…”
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Out-of-sample exchange rate predictability with Taylor rule fundamentals
Published in Journal of international economics (01-04-2009)“…An extensive literature that studied the performance of empirical exchange rate models following Meese and Rogoff's [Meese, R.A., Rogoff, K., 1983a. Empirical…”
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Taylor Rules and the Euro
Published in Journal of money, credit and banking (01-03-2011)“…This article uses real-time data to show that inflation and either the output gap or unemployment, variables which normally enter central banks' Taylor rules,…”
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Taylor rules with real-time data: A tale of two countries and one exchange rate
Published in Journal of monetary economics (01-10-2008)“…Using real-time data that reflects information available to monetary authorities at the time they are formulating policy, we find that estimated Taylor rules…”
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