Search Results - "Minford, Patrick"
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1
The Prospects for Brexit: Two Views
Published in Economic affairs (Harlow) (01-10-2017)Get full text
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The effects of Brexit on the UK economy
Published in World economy (01-01-2019)“…I was astonished during late 2015 to discover that most economists in the UK favoured staying in the EU on the basis of what appeared to be neo‐protectionist…”
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Notes on the banking crisis and the economic outlook
Published in Welsh economic review (01-11-2008)“…Notes on the banking crisis and the economic outlook…”
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Modeling the effects of Brexit on the British economy
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-07-2024)“…We estimate the short run effects of Brexit border disruption on the UK economy. We estimate a structural VAR for the UK, where Brexit effects are identified…”
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A structural model of coronavirus behaviour: what do four waves of Covid tell us?
Published in Applied economics (09-08-2023)“…This paper extends Meenagh and Minford (2021) to the four waves of infection in the UK by end-2021, using the unique newly available sample-based estimates of…”
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A structural model of coronavirus behaviour for testing on data behaviour
Published in Applied economics (27-06-2021)“…We fit the logistic function, the reduced form of epidemic behaviour, to the data for deaths from Covid-19, for a wide variety of countries, with a view to…”
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Ruling out unstable equilibria in New Keynesian models
Published in Economics letters (01-09-2011)“…The Taylor rule is an incomplete description of monetary policy within a New Keynesian model. The NK model should be formulated with a money demand function…”
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STABILISATION POLICY, RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS AND PRICE-LEVEL VERSUS INFLATION TARGETING: A SURVEY
Published in Journal of economic surveys (01-04-2016)“…We survey literature comparing inflation targeting (IT) and price‐level targeting (PT) as macroeconomic stabilisation policies. Our focus is on New Keynesian…”
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Can a real business cycle model without price and wage stickiness explain UK real exchange rate behaviour?
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-10-2010)“…This paper establishes the ability of a Real Business Cycle model to account for UK real exchange rate behaviour. The model is tested by the method of indirect…”
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Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-11-2023)“…We carry out an indirect inference test of two versions of a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of world trade. One of these, the ‘classical’ model, is…”
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The Banking Crisis: A Rational Interpretation
Published in Political studies review (01-01-2010)“…Modern macroeconomic models have been widely criticised as relying too much on rationality and market efficiency. However, their predictions about this crisis…”
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Should Hong Kong switch to Taylor rule?-Evidence from DSGE model
Published in Applied economics (27-10-2022)“…This paper studies the economy of Hong Kong through the lens of a small open economy DSGE model with a currency board exchange rate commitment. It assumes…”
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Testing Macro Models for Policy Use-An Insurrection in Applied Modelling
Published in The Manchester school (01-09-2016)“…I describe a new departure in classical testing methods based on Indirect Inference. I argue that it gives policymakers, anxious to know if their models give…”
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Can Modern Monetary Theory fit the post‐Crisis US facts? Evidence from a full DSGE model
Published in International journal of finance and economics (26-02-2024)“…Abstract Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) claims that a monetarily sovereign government like the US is never confronted by a real budget constraint since it can…”
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Classical or Gravity? Which Trade Model Best Matches the UK Facts?
Published in Open economies review (01-07-2018)“…We examine the empirical evidence bearing on whether UK trade is governed by a Classical model or by a Gravity model, using annual data from 1965 to 2015 and…”
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Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias — Some Recent Results
Published in Open economies review (01-04-2024)“…Macroeconomic researchers use a variety of estimators to parameterise their models empirically. One such is FIML; another is indirect inference (II). One form…”
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Evaluation and indirect inference estimation of inattentive features in a New Keynesian framework
Published in Journal of forecasting (01-04-2023)“…We test the standard New Keynesian (NK) dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with and without inattentiveness features, where inattentiveness is…”
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Does inattentiveness matter for DSGE modeling? An empirical investigation
Published in Economic modelling (01-01-2023)“…The purpose of this paper is to investigate the empirical performance of the standard New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model in its…”
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Is housing collateral important to the business cycle? Evidence from China
Published in Journal of international money and finance (01-12-2020)“…•We study whether housing collateral is important to the business cycle in China.•Two competing models are tested using Indirect Inference.•The model with…”
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The role of energy prices in the Great Recession — A two-sector model with unfiltered data
Published in Energy economics (01-03-2018)“…We investigate the role of energy shocks during the Great Recession. We study the behaviour of the UK energy and non-energy intensive sectors firms in a real…”
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