Search Results - "McSweeney, Carol"

influence of interpolation and station network density on the distributions and trends of climate variables in gridded daily data by Hofstra, Nynke, New, Mark, McSweeney, Carol

“…We study the influence of station network density on the distributions and trends in indices of area-average daily precipitation and temperature in the E-OBS…”
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Selecting Ensemble Members to Provide Regional Climate Change Information by McSweeney, Carol F., Jones, Richard G., Booth, Ben B. B.

“…Climate model ensembles, such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, phase 3 (CMIP3), are used to characterize broadscale ranges of projected regional…”
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Exploring the likelihood and mechanism of a climate-change-induced dieback of the Amazon rainforest by Malhi, Yadvinder, Aragão, Luiz E.O.C, Galbraith, David, Huntingford, Chris, Fisher, Rosie, Zelazowski, Przemyslaw, Sitch, Stephen, McSweeney, Carol, Meir, Patrick

“…We examine the evidence for the possibility that 21st-century climate change may cause a large-scale "dieback" or degradation of Amazonian rainforest. We…”
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Describing future UK winter precipitation in terms of changes in local circulation patterns by Sexton, David M. H., McSweeney, Carol F., Bett, Philip E., Fung, Fai, Thornton, Hazel E., Yamazaki, Kuniko

“…Social scientists have argued that good communication around risks in climate hazards requires information to be presented in a user-relevant way, allowing…”
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A perturbed parameter ensemble of HadGEM3-GC3.05 coupled model projections: part 2: global performance and future changes by Yamazaki, Kuniko, Sexton, David M. H., Rostron, John W., McSweeney, Carol F., Murphy, James M., Harris, Glen R.

“…This paper provides a quantitative assessment of large-scale features in a perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE) of Met Office Unified Model HadGEM-GC3.05 in…”
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A perturbed parameter ensemble of HadGEM3-GC3.05 coupled model projections: part 1: selecting the parameter combinations by Sexton, David M. H., McSweeney, Carol F., Rostron, John W., Yamazaki, Kuniko, Booth, Ben B. B., Murphy, James M., Regayre, Leighton, Johnson, Jill S., Karmalkar, Ambarish V.

“…This is the first of two papers that describe the generation of a 25-member perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE) of high-resolution, global coupled simulations…”
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No consensus on consensus: the challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections by McSweeney, Carol F., Jones, Richard G.

“…Communicating information about consistency in projections is crucial to the successful understanding, interpretation and appropriate application of…”
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Trends in the atmospheric jet streams are emerging in observations and could be linked to tropical warming by Woollings, Tim, Drouard, Marie, O’Reilly, Christopher H., Sexton, David M. H., McSweeney, Carol

“…Climate models predict a weak poleward shift of the jets in response to continuing climate change. Here we revisit observed jet trends using 40 years of…”
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West Africa climate extremes and climate change indices by Barry, A. A., Caesar, J., Klein Tank, A. M. G., Aguilar, E., McSweeney, Carol, Cyrille, Ahmed M., Nikiema, M. P., Narcisse, K. B., Sima, F., Stafford, G., Touray, L. M., Ayilari‐Naa, J. A., Mendes, C. L., Tounkara, M., Gar‐Glahn, Eugene V. S., Coulibaly, M. S., Dieh, M. F., Mouhaimouni, M., Oyegade, J.A, Sambou, E., Laogbessi, E. T.

“…ABSTRACT Observational analyses of changing climate extremes over the West Africa region have been limited by the availability of long and high‐quality…”
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Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe by Palmer, Tamzin E, McSweeney, Carol F, Booth, Ben B. B, Priestley, Matthew D. K, Davini, Paolo, Brunner, Lukas, Borchert, Leonard, Menary, Matthew B

“…We have created a performance-based assessment of CMIP6 models for Europe that can be used to inform the sub-selection of models for this region. Our…”
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The impact of performance filtering on climate feedbacks in a perturbed parameter ensemble by Rostron, John W., Sexton, David M. H., McSweeney, Carol F., Yamazaki, Kuniko, Andrews, Timothy, Furtado, Kalli, Ringer, Mark A., Tsushima, Yoko

“…A key contribution to the latest generation of climate projections for the UK (UKCP18) was a perturbed parameter ensemble (PPE) of global coupled models based…”
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Evaluation of dynamically downscaled ensemble climate simulations for Vietnam by Van Khiem, Mai, Redmond, Grace, McSweeney, Carol, Thuc, Tran

“…ABSTRACT This article presents an assessment of the skill of regional climate model PRECIS in simulating seasonal climate over Vietnam. The simulations were…”
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The importance of population, climate change and CO2 plant physiological forcing in determining future global water stress by Wiltshire, Andrew, Gornall, Jemma, Booth, Ben, Dennis, Emily, Falloon, Pete, Kay, Gillian, McNeall, Doug, McSweeney, Carol, Betts, Richard

“…•Population changes is the main driver of increasing future global water stress.•Carbon dioxide effects on plant water-use is likely to increase…”
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How representative is the spread of climate projections from the 5 CMIP5 GCMs used in ISI-MIP? by McSweeney, Carol F., Jones, Richard G.

“…In many studies that use data from Coupled Model Inter-comparisons Project Five (CMIP5) the large number of models included prohibits the use of data from all…”
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Assessing observational constraints on future European climate in an out-of-sample framework by O’Reilly, Christopher H., Brunner, Lukas, Qasmi, Saïd, Nogherotto, Rita, Ballinger, Andrew P., Booth, Ben, Befort, Daniel J., Knutti, Reto, Schurer, Andrew P., Ribes, Aurélien, Weisheimer, Antje, Coppola, Erika, McSweeney, Carol

“…Observations are increasingly used to constrain multi-model projections for future climate assessments. This study assesses the performance of five…”
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Erratum to: No consensus on consensus: the challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections by McSweeney, Carol F., Jones, Richard G.

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GCMeval – An interactive tool for evaluation and selection of climate model ensembles by Parding, Kajsa M., Dobler, Andreas, McSweeney, Carol F., Landgren, Oskar A., Benestad, Rasmus, Erlandsen, Helene B., Mezghani, Abdelkader, Gregow, Hilppa, Räty, Olle, Viktor, Elisabeth, El Zohbi, Juliane, Christensen, Ole B., Loukos, Harilaos

“…We present an interactive tool for selection and evaluation of global climate models. The tool is implemented as a web application using the ”Shiny” R-package…”
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An ensemble climate projection for Africa by Buontempo, Carlo, Mathison, Camilla, Jones, Richard, Williams, Karina, Wang, Changgui, McSweeney, Carol

“…The Met Office Hadley Centre’s PRECIS regional climate modelling system has been used to generate a five member ensemble of climate projections for Africa over…”
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Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework by Brunner, Lukas, McSweeney, Carol, Ballinger, Andrew P., Befort, Daniel J., Benassi, Marianna, Booth, Ben, Coppola, Erika, de Vries, Hylke, Harris, Glen, Hegerl, Gabriele C., Knutti, Reto, Lenderink, Geert, Lowe, Jason, Nogherotto, Rita, O’Reilly, Chris, Qasmi, Saïd, Ribes, Aurélien, Stocchi, Paolo, Undorf, Sabine

“…Political decisions, adaptation planning, and impact assessments need reliable estimates of future climate change and related uncertainties. To provide these…”
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Projected changes in tropical cyclones over Vietnam and the South China Sea using a 25 km regional climate model perturbed physics ensemble by Redmond, Grace, Hodges, Kevin I., Mcsweeney, Carol, Jones, Richard, Hein, David

“…The regional climate modelling system PRECIS, was run at 25 km horizontal resolution for 150 years (1949–2099) using global driving data from a five member…”
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